Stocks · Basic Materials · Gold

Collective Mining Ltd. CNL

$12.13 +0.58% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.12B

Expensive vs sector

Next earnings report: Nov 11, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. The diluted share count rose 17.8% in a year.
  2. The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
  3. The stock is 42% below its highest close of the past year.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Basic Materials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth—Not enough data

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

Quality7Very weak

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalBottom 5%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 48%
  • Interest coverBottom 5%
Value15Very weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 28%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 20%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 15%
Momentum21Very weak

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 49%
  • 6-month returnBottom 15%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 24%
  • Distance from 52-week highBottom 28%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 26%
Revisions31Weak

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 19%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 21%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 11%
Stability70Positive

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 27%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 33%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 15%

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Return on invested capital-36.4%—Bottom 5%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-5.8%
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
Net cash
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
-26.5×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
0.00%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
-9.02%
Shareholder yield
-9.02%
Share count change, 1 year
+17.8%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+15.5%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
0
Beats in the last 8 reports
0 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
-51.8%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
-1.5%
Positive 20 days after report
7 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$25.00
Target vs current price
+106.1%

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Aug 12, 2026-69.2%-1.9%+0.5%+3.4%—
May 13, 2026-30.0%+0.1%-13.0%-28.5%-21.7%
Mar 30, 2026-77.8%+6.7%+22.9%+31.7%-16.9%
Nov 12, 2025-30.0%+2.1%-3.5%+10.4%+72.1%
Aug 13, 2025-10.0%+0.7%+5.6%+42.8%+14.6%
May 13, 2025-162.5%-2.8%+1.3%+8.2%+4.0%
Mar 26, 2025-14.3%-12.5%-12.1%+5.6%-1.9%
Nov 13, 2024-23.3%-4.4%-3.9%+4.7%+72.4%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Aug 12, 2026-$0.22-$0.13-69.2%—
May 13, 2026-$0.13-$0.10-30.0%—
Mar 30, 2026-$0.16-$0.09-77.8%—
Nov 12, 2025-$0.13-$0.10-30.0%—
Aug 13, 2025-$0.11-$0.10-10.0%—
May 13, 2025-$0.21-$0.08-162.5%—
Mar 26, 2025-$0.08-$0.07-14.3%—
Nov 13, 2024-$0.09-$0.07-23.3%—

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
Free-cash-flow yield-5.57%——Bottom 20%
Earnings yield-5.28%——Bottom 28%

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
+2.4%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+1.5%
Distance from 50-day average
-13.7%
Distance from 200-day average
-22.2%
RSI (14)
36.9
Relative volume
0.54×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
59.8%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
36th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.61
Correlation with S&P 500
0.14
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-41.7%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-43.5%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Apr 20, 2026Jul 16, 2026-43.5%60 daysNot yet recovered
Oct 1, 2025Nov 20, 2025-33.3%36 days21 days (Dec 22, 2025)
Feb 27, 2026Mar 20, 2026-32.7%15 days20 days (Apr 20, 2026)
Jul 3, 2025Jul 28, 2025-24.4%16 days21 days (Aug 26, 2025)
Jan 28, 2026Feb 5, 2026-21.0%6 days12 days (Feb 24, 2026)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$1.12B
EPS, diluted (TTM)
-$0.64
Revenue (TTM)
$0
52-week range
$9.77 – $21.97
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$0$0$0$0$0
Gross profit-$6,606-$8,809-$22,430-$44,382-$97,498
Operating income-$10.2M-$16.4M-$19.4M-$23.8M-$42.0M
Net income-$17.3M-$17.3M-$19.1M-$26.9M-$49.9M
EPS (diluted)-$0.47-$0.36-$0.33-$0.33-$0.58
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
Net income-$6.3M-$9.6M-$16.9M-$8.5M-$10.8M-$13.6M-$12.4M-$20.1M
EPS (diluted)-$0.09—-$0.21-$0.11-$0.13-$0.16-$0.13-$0.22
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow-$7.9M-$14.2M-$16.9M-$22.6M-$35.9M
Capital expenditure-$234,030-$319,013-$353,506-$238,925-$5.9M
Free cash flow-$8.1M-$14.5M-$17.3M-$22.8M-$41.8M
Dividends paid$0$0$0$0$0
Net share buybacks$12.4M$7.9M$21.9M$47.3M$146.1M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$93.7M
Total assets
$168.8M
Total liabilities
$52.7M
Total debt
$13.2M
Net debt
-$80.6M
Shareholders’ equity
$116.1M

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).

Short interest

Shares sold short
1,889,017
Days to cover
11.18
Change vs previous report
+8.8%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

Jul 16, 2024
1-for-4