Stocks · Industrials · Railroads
CSX Corporation CSX
$47.43 +1.91% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $87.86B
High qualityLow risk
Next earnings report: Oct 21, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The shares trade at 27.4× trailing earnings, higher than 95% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 267 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $14.51B, up 2.5% from a year earlier, accelerating from -0.9% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth52Neutral
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 27%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 46%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 12%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 22%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 29%
Quality87Strong
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 31%
- Gross marginTop 8%
- Operating marginTop 2%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 44%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 44%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 38%
- Interest coverTop 38%
Value39Weak
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 35%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 25%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 47%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 10%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 6%
Momentum75Positive
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 25%
- 6-month returnTop 34%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 28%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 18%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 42%
Revisions33Weak
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 43%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 45%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 49%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 14%
Stability89Strong
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 14%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 17%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 38%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -0.9% | 2.5% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -2.4% | 6.8% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 34.6% | 54.9% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 34.6% | 34.2% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 14.2% | 34.6% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 2.5% | -0.9% | ↑ | Bottom 27% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 6.8% | -2.4% | ↑ | Bottom 46% |
| Gross margin | 54.9% | 34.6% | ↑ | Top 8% |
| Operating margin | 34.2% | 34.6% | ↓ | Top 2% |
| Net margin | 22.2% | 21.9% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 34.6% | 14.2% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 9.0% | — | Top 31% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -1.7% | — | Bottom 22% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.65×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.7%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +0.8 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 2.74×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 5.9×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 1.14%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.84%
- Shareholder yield
- 1.99%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -0.5%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -2.8%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 22, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +3.4%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 6 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $51.00
- Target vs current price
- +7.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 46
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 59%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | +4.2% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +0.7% | — |
| Apr 22, 2026 | +10.5% | -0.4% | +4.3% | +6.2% | +17.0% |
| Jan 22, 2026 | -5.1% | -2.1% | +2.3% | +14.1% | +18.6% |
| Oct 16, 2025 | +3.7% | -0.7% | -0.9% | -2.3% | -2.8% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | +5.8% | -0.7% | +0.5% | +3.7% | +2.9% |
| Apr 16, 2025 | -6.8% | -2.0% | -1.1% | +11.2% | +21.8% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | -4.5% | +1.3% | -0.8% | -2.3% | -16.7% |
| Oct 16, 2024 | -4.2% | -0.1% | -4.6% | +1.8% | -10.2% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $0.54 | $0.52 | +4.2% | $3.94B |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $0.43 | $0.39 | +10.5% | $3.48B |
| Jan 22, 2026 | $0.39 | $0.41 | -5.1% | $3.51B |
| Oct 16, 2025 | $0.44 | $0.42 | +3.7% | $4.46B |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $0.44 | $0.42 | +5.8% | $3.57B |
| Apr 16, 2025 | $0.34 | $0.37 | -6.8% | $3.42B |
| Jan 23, 2025 | $0.42 | $0.44 | -4.5% | $3.54B |
| Oct 16, 2024 | $0.46 | $0.48 | -4.2% | $3.62B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 27.4× | 19.0× | 95th | Top 35% |
| P/E (forward) | 23.7× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.8× | — | — | Top 47% |
| EV / Sales | 7.32× | — | — | Bottom 10% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 5.71% | — | — | Top 25% |
| Earnings yield | 3.65% | — | — | Top 35% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 14.7× – 28.9× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +35.5%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +6.8%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +33.7%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 267
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.3%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.8%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -4.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +7.1%
- RSI (14)
- 44.8
- Relative volume
- 1.03×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 21.7%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 46th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.68
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.46
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -10.9%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -30.5%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -30.5% | 275 days | 205 days (Feb 2, 2026) |
| Mar 30, 2022 | Oct 11, 2022 | -29.9% | 134 days | 342 days (Feb 22, 2024) |
| May 10, 2021 | Sep 21, 2021 | -13.6% | 93 days | 21 days (Oct 20, 2021) |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sep 21, 2026 | -13.6% | 40 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jan 11, 2021 | Jan 27, 2021 | -12.6% | 11 days | 41 days (Mar 26, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $87.86B
- P/E (TTM)
- 27.4
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.73
- Revenue (TTM)
- $14.51B
- Dividend yield
- 1.16%
- 52-week range
- $33.63 – $53.60
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.52B | $14.85B | $14.66B | $14.54B | $14.09B |
| Gross profit | $5.29B | $5.72B | $5.60B | $5.51B | $4.68B |
| Operating income | $5.16B | $5.95B | $5.47B | $5.37B | $4.52B |
| Net income | $3.78B | $4.11B | $3.67B | $3.47B | $2.89B |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.68 | $1.95 | $1.82 | $1.79 | $1.54 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.62B | $3.54B | $3.42B | $3.57B | $3.59B | $3.51B | $3.48B | $3.94B |
| Net income | $894.0M | $733.0M | $646.0M | $829.0M | $694.0M | $720.0M | $807.0M | $1.00B |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.46 | $0.38 | $0.34 | $0.44 | $0.37 | $0.39 | $0.43 | $0.54 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $5.10B | $5.62B | $5.51B | $5.25B | $4.61B |
| Capital expenditure | -$1.79B | -$2.13B | -$2.26B | -$2.53B | -$2.90B |
| Free cash flow | $3.31B | $3.49B | $3.26B | $2.72B | $1.71B |
| Dividends paid | -$839.0M | -$852.0M | -$882.0M | -$930.0M | -$972.0M |
| Net share buybacks | -$2.89B | -$4.73B | -$3.48B | -$2.24B | -$1.40B |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.39B
- Total assets
- $44.73B
- Total liabilities
- $30.64B
- Total debt
- $19.36B
- Net debt
- $18.35B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $14.08B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 22, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | $0.14 | Sep 15, 2026 |
| May 29, 2026 | $0.14 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | $0.14 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | $0.13 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | $0.13 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| May 30, 2025 | $0.13 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | $0.13 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | $0.12 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 40,751,812
- Days to cover
- 4.37
- Change vs previous report
- -0.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jun 29, 2021
- 3-for-1
- Jun 16, 2011
- 3-for-1
- Aug 16, 2006
- 2-for-1
- Dec 22, 1995
- 2-for-1
- Oct 26, 1983
- 3-for-1