Stocks · Basic Materials · Gold
Contango Ore, Inc. CTGO
$16.68 -1.01% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · AMEX · Market cap $539.4M
Weak trendExpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 12, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count rose 43.4% in a year.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- The stock is 50% below its highest close of the past year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Basic Materials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 2%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 13%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 5%
- Interest coverTop 31%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 20%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 11%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 15%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 14%
- 6-month returnBottom 33%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 12%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 18%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 26%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 3%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 50%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 6%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 12%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 29%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 30%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 24%
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on invested capital | 16.1% | — | Top 13% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 5.0%
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- Net cash
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 9.5×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.01%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.01%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +43.4%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +33.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Mar 31, 2026 (filed May 14, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $33.50
- Target vs current price
- +100.8%
- Analysts with a rating
- 4
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 100%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | +481.8% | -0.6% | +7.1% | -3.7% | — |
| May 14, 2026 | -227.1% | -6.3% | -19.7% | -39.4% | -25.9% |
| Mar 16, 2026 | +291.2% | -2.6% | -26.3% | +3.3% | -33.7% |
| Nov 13, 2025 | -58.1% | -3.5% | -10.7% | +14.7% | +20.1% |
| Aug 13, 2025 | -5526.7% | -2.9% | -9.4% | -3.0% | -7.5% |
| May 14, 2025 | +315.6% | -2.7% | +28.8% | +47.8% | +50.6% |
| Mar 17, 2025 | +4749.4% | +12.3% | +1.7% | +20.3% | +109.4% |
| Nov 14, 2024 | -550.0% | -0.8% | +4.4% | -35.4% | -44.5% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | $0.14 | -$0.04 | +481.8% | — |
| May 14, 2026 | -$0.83 | $0.65 | -227.1% | — |
| Mar 16, 2026 | $0.14 | -$0.08 | +291.2% | — |
| Nov 13, 2025 | $0.27 | $0.65 | -58.1% | $4.0M |
| Aug 13, 2025 | -$4.22 | -$0.08 | -5526.7% | — |
| May 14, 2025 | $0.69 | -$0.32 | +315.6% | — |
| Mar 17, 2025 | $1.24 | -$0.03 | +4749.4% | — |
| Nov 14, 2024 | -$0.81 | $0.18 | -550.0% | — |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 3.8× | — | — | — |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -9.75% | — | — | Bottom 11% |
| Earnings yield | -9.53% | — | — | Bottom 20% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +5.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.7%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -10.3%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -23.9%
- RSI (14)
- 38.1
- Relative volume
- 0.69×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 59.5%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 49th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.42
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.32
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -49.6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -64.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2023 | Mar 3, 2025 | -72.5% | 433 days | 224 days (Jan 22, 2026) |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Jun 24, 2026 | -55.2% | 105 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Jan 5, 2023 | -27.7% | 56 days | 68 days (Apr 14, 2023) |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Mar 17, 2021 | -25.3% | 30 days | 174 days (Nov 22, 2021) |
| Oct 2, 2020 | Oct 28, 2020 | -22.1% | 18 days | 27 days (Dec 7, 2020) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $539.4M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$1.59
- Revenue (TTM)
- $0
- 52-week range
- $14.50 – $34.38
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Gross profit | -$677,038 | -$662,780 | -$117,808 | -$711,337 | -$604,678 |
| Operating income | -$19.5M | -$38.8M | -$17.8M | $26.3M | $69.1M |
| Net income | -$23.5M | -$39.7M | -$81.5M | -$38.0M | -$36.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$3.49 | -$5.61 | -$4.44 | -$3.49 | -$2.80 |
| Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net income | -$18.5M | -$9.7M | $10.7M | -$22.5M | $15.9M | -$5.4M | -$24.1M | -$14.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.90 | -$0.81 | $0.88 | -$1.88 | $1.29 | -$0.44 | -$1.61 | -$0.83 |
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$13.9M | -$14.7M | -$9.4M | $698,987 | $25.7M |
| Capital expenditure | -$43,989 | $0 | -$7,331 | -$23,667 | -$162,492 |
| Free cash flow | -$14.0M | -$14.7M | -$9.4M | $675,320 | $25.6M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$2.3M | $18.5M | -$87,804 | $15.5M | -$659,279 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $97.5M
- Total assets
- $496.2M
- Total liabilities
- $174.7M
- Total debt
- $33.0M
- Net debt
- -$64.5M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $321.5M
As of Mar 31, 2026 (filed May 14, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 2,844,416
- Days to cover
- 8.33
- Change vs previous report
- +2.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.