Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Dollar Tree, Inc. DLTR
$112.16 -1.98% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $21.55B
High qualityInexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Dec 2, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- At 13.7× trailing earnings, the shares trade at the lowest P/E of the company's past five years.
- The diluted share count fell 8.1% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 6 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +40.2%).
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 12%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 34%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 27%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 4%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 15%
- Gross marginTop 41%
- Operating marginTop 34%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 44%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 20%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 45%
- Interest coverTop 18%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 15%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 32%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 27%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 41%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 5%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 10%
- 6-month returnTop 32%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 15%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 39%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 44%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 16%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 18%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 44%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 50%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 45%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 39%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 41%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 45%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -19.7% | -7.8% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 34.2% | 38.7% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 6.8% | 10.7% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 9.9% | 9.2% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -7.8% | -19.7% | ↑ | Bottom 12% |
| Gross margin | 38.7% | 34.2% | ↑ | Top 41% |
| Operating margin | 10.7% | 6.8% | ↑ | Top 34% |
| Net margin | 8.0% | -13.5% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 9.2% | 9.9% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 13.8% | — | Top 15% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 8.0% | — | Top 27% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.86×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -9.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.4%
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 2.29×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 29.1×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 8.48%
- Shareholder yield
- 8.48%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -8.1%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -4.7%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Aug 1, 2026 (filed Aug 27, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 6
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +40.2%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +1.5%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $139.33
- Target vs current price
- +24.2%
- Analysts with a rating
- 49
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 53%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | +134.8% | -3.9% | -0.2% | -14.1% | — |
| May 28, 2026 | +13.7% | +17.9% | +17.3% | +23.3% | +37.1% |
| Mar 16, 2026 | +1.2% | +6.4% | -1.4% | -5.0% | +4.4% |
| Dec 3, 2025 | +11.0% | +3.6% | +9.8% | +12.9% | +10.0% |
| Sep 3, 2025 | +84.8% | -8.4% | -13.5% | -15.2% | -5.1% |
| Jun 4, 2025 | +4.1% | -8.4% | -3.7% | +6.5% | +16.3% |
| Mar 26, 2025 | -4.1% | +3.1% | +12.2% | +24.3% | +47.0% |
| Dec 4, 2024 | +4.7% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +5.5% | -8.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | $2.70 | $1.15 | +134.8% | $4.89B |
| May 28, 2026 | $1.74 | $1.53 | +13.7% | $4.98B |
| Mar 16, 2026 | $2.56 | $2.53 | +1.2% | $5.45B |
| Dec 3, 2025 | $1.21 | $1.09 | +11.0% | $4.75B |
| Sep 3, 2025 | $0.77 | $0.42 | +84.8% | $4.57B |
| Jun 4, 2025 | $1.26 | $1.21 | +4.1% | $4.64B |
| Mar 26, 2025 | $2.11 | $2.20 | -4.1% | $5.00B |
| Dec 4, 2024 | $1.12 | $1.07 | +4.7% | $7.57B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 13.7× | 21.5× | 0th | Top 15% |
| P/E (forward) | 14.2× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 9.8× | — | — | Top 27% |
| EV / Sales | 1.40× | — | — | Bottom 41% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.60% | — | — | Top 32% |
| Earnings yield | 7.30% | — | — | Top 15% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 14.7× – 26.0× since Jul 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.3%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.3%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -9.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -4.4%
- RSI (14)
- 37.7
- Relative volume
- 0.56×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 33.9%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 31th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.48
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.19
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -20.6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -59.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | Nov 11, 2024 | -64.8% | 644 days | Not yet recovered |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Sep 24, 2021 | -29.1% | 121 days | 36 days (Nov 15, 2021) |
| Jan 7, 2021 | Feb 26, 2021 | -14.4% | 34 days | 21 days (Mar 29, 2021) |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Jan 21, 2022 | -13.9% | 39 days | 31 days (Mar 8, 2022) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $21.55B
- P/E (TTM)
- 13.7
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $8.19
- Revenue (TTM)
- $20.07B
- 52-week range
- $84.71 – $142.40
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $26.32B | $15.41B | $16.78B | $17.58B | $19.41B |
| Gross profit | $7.74B | $5.78B | $6.02B | $6.29B | $7.07B |
| Operating income | $1.81B | $2.10B | $1.77B | $1.46B | $1.60B |
| Net income | $1.33B | $1.62B | -$998.4M | -$3.03B | $1.28B |
| EPS (diluted) | $5.80 | $7.21 | -$4.55 | -$14.05 | $5.94 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.57B | $5.00B | $4.64B | $4.57B | $4.75B | $5.45B | $4.98B | $4.89B |
| Net income | $233.3M | -$3.70B | $343.4M | $188.4M | $244.6M | $506.1M | $347.3M | $514.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.08 | -$17.17 | $1.61 | $0.91 | $1.20 | $2.53 | $1.76 | $2.70 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $1.43B | $1.61B | $2.68B | $2.86B | $2.53B |
| Capital expenditure | -$1.02B | -$1.25B | -$2.11B | -$1.30B | -$1.13B |
| Free cash flow | $408.7M | $361.0M | $576.9M | $1.56B | $1.40B |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$950.0M | -$647.5M | -$500.0M | -$400.0M | -$1.54B |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.06B
- Total assets
- $14.03B
- Total liabilities
- $10.60B
- Total debt
- $7.67B
- Net debt
- $6.61B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $3.43B
As of Aug 1, 2026 (filed Aug 27, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 7,199,128
- Days to cover
- 2.73
- Change vs previous report
- -2.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jun 27, 2012
- 2-for-1
- Jun 25, 2010
- 3-for-2
- Jun 20, 2000
- 3-for-2
- Jun 30, 1998
- 3-for-2
- Jul 22, 1997
- 3-for-2