Stocks · Industrials · Industrial - Distribution
Ferguson plc FERG
$223.33 +0.83% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $43.31B
Next earnings report: Nov 5, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $31.89B, up 3.7% from a year earlier.
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $10.45, up 12.1% year over year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth13Very weak
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 32%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 47%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 31%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 1%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 22%
Quality50Neutral
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 10%
- Gross marginTop 44%
- Operating marginTop 42%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 11%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 8%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 50%
- Interest coverTop 17%
Value67Positive
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 22%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 46%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 46%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 37%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 43%
Momentum42Weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 38%
- 6-month returnBottom 39%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 42%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 34%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 40%
Revisions61Neutral
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 40%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 45%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 20%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 47%
Stability75Positive
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 20%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 20%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 44%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 50%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 4.7% | 3.7% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 31.8% | 12.1% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 30.7% | 30.6% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 8.5% | 9.0% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 5.2% | 4.0% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 3.7% | 4.7% | ↓ | Bottom 32% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 12.1% | 31.8% | ↓ | Top 47% |
| Gross margin | 30.6% | 30.7% | ↓ | Top 44% |
| Operating margin | 9.0% | 8.5% | ↑ | Top 42% |
| Net margin | 6.4% | 6.0% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 4.0% | 5.2% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 16.5% | — | Top 10% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -33.5% | — | Bottom 1% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 0.83×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 1.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.3%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +3.7 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 1.91×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 15.0×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 1.56%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 1.93%
- Shareholder yield
- 3.48%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -2.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -1.8%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 10, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +2.6%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.7%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 2 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $286.78
- Target vs current price
- +28.4%
- Analysts with a rating
- 17
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 76%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | +2.4% | +2.8% | -4.6% | -11.0% | — |
| May 5, 2026 | +5.6% | -3.1% | -6.4% | -12.7% | -13.2% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | +0.0% | +4.2% | +2.3% | -11.5% | -11.8% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | +2.5% | -8.0% | -8.3% | -9.7% | -6.3% |
| Sep 16, 2025 | +15.6% | +7.9% | +8.6% | +9.5% | +5.4% |
| Jun 3, 2025 | +24.4% | +17.2% | +18.6% | +22.5% | +30.4% |
| Mar 11, 2025 | -3.8% | -5.2% | -1.8% | -8.1% | +30.6% |
| Dec 10, 2024 | -6.5% | -10.5% | -14.7% | -21.0% | -24.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | $3.39 | $3.31 | +2.4% | $8.75B |
| May 5, 2026 | $2.28 | $2.16 | +5.6% | $7.47B |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $3.48 | $3.48 | +0.0% | $8.50B |
| Dec 9, 2025 | $2.84 | $2.77 | +2.5% | $8.17B |
| Sep 16, 2025 | $3.48 | $3.01 | +15.6% | $8.50B |
| Jun 3, 2025 | $2.50 | $2.01 | +24.4% | $7.62B |
| Mar 11, 2025 | $1.52 | $1.58 | -3.8% | $6.87B |
| Dec 10, 2024 | $2.45 | $2.62 | -6.5% | $7.77B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 21.4× | 19.8× | 52th | Top 22% |
| P/E (forward) | 17.7× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.8× | — | — | Top 46% |
| EV / Sales | 1.55× | — | — | Top 37% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.92% | — | — | Bottom 46% |
| Earnings yield | 4.68% | — | — | Top 22% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 10.7× – 26.4× since Jul 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -1.0%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +12.1%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +4.1%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.8%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -3.7%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -6.1%
- RSI (14)
- 48.4
- Relative volume
- 1.30×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 29.0%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 46th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.00
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.47
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -16.6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -33.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2022 | Oct 20, 2022 | -43.6% | 201 days | 286 days (Dec 11, 2023) |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -33.9% | 252 days | 62 days (Jul 9, 2025) |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Sep 17, 2026 | -20.0% | 96 days | Not yet recovered |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Mar 20, 2026 | -18.6% | 26 days | 28 days (Apr 30, 2026) |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Jan 7, 2026 | -12.7% | 38 days | 12 days (Jan 26, 2026) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $43.31B
- P/E (TTM)
- 21.4
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $10.45
- Revenue (TTM)
- $31.89B
- Dividend yield
- 1.59%
- 52-week range
- $212.13 – $271.64
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $28.57B | $29.73B | $29.64B | $30.76B | $8.75B |
| Gross profit | $8.76B | $9.03B | $9.05B | $9.44B | $2.71B |
| Operating income | $2.82B | $2.66B | $2.65B | $2.61B | $893.0M |
| Net income | $2.12B | $1.89B | $1.74B | $1.86B | $666.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $9.69 | $9.12 | $8.53 | $9.32 | $3.43 |
| Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | Q4 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.77B | $6.87B | $7.62B | $8.50B | $8.17B | $7.50B | $7.47B | $8.75B |
| Net income | $470.0M | $276.0M | $410.0M | $700.0M | $570.0M | $389.0M | $414.0M | $666.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.33 | $1.38 | $2.07 | $3.54 | $2.90 | $1.99 | $2.13 | $3.43 |
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $1.15B | $2.72B | $1.87B | $1.91B | $716.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$290.0M | -$441.0M | -$372.0M | -$305.0M | -$234.0M |
| Free cash flow | $859.0M | $2.28B | $1.50B | $1.60B | $482.0M |
| Dividends paid | -$538.0M | -$711.0M | -$784.0M | -$489.0M | -$347.0M |
| Net share buybacks | -$1.62B | -$891.0M | -$617.0M | -$948.0M | -$438.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $437.0M
- Total assets
- $19.30B
- Total liabilities
- $13.10B
- Total debt
- $6.41B
- Net debt
- $5.97B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $6.20B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 10, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | $0.89 | Oct 7, 2026 |
| May 15, 2026 | $0.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | $0.89 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Jan 2, 2026 | $0.89 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | $0.83 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Jun 20, 2025 | $0.83 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Mar 21, 2025 | $0.83 | May 6, 2025 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | $0.83 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 5,851,630
- Days to cover
- 4.46
- Change vs previous report
- +5.0%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jun 11, 2018
- 947-for-1,000
- Dec 9, 2013
- 967-for-1,000
- Dec 27, 2012
- 239-for-250
- Apr 8, 2009
- 1,199-for-500