Stocks · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
FTAI Aviation Ltd. FTAI
$167.03 -0.17% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $17.13B
Next earnings report: Oct 26, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $3.11B, up 44.7% from a year earlier, slowing from 47.6% a quarter earlier.
- Net debt is 3.1× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth79Positive
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 10%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 43%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 4%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 15%
Quality41Weak
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 9%
- Gross marginTop 45%
- Operating marginTop 4%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 2%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 1%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 30%
- Interest coverBottom 48%
Value32Weak
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 48%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 17%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 43%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 12%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 31%
Momentum22Very weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 48%
- 6-month returnBottom 10%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 39%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 21%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 15%
Revisions60Neutral
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 22%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 16%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 4%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 15%
Stability37Weak
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 28%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 47%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 45%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 30%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 47.6% | 44.7% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 1637.9% | 13.9% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 35.5% | 30.4% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 31.6% | 26.8% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -30.3% | -40.2% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 44.7% | 47.6% | ↓ | Top 10% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 13.9% | 1637.9% | ↓ | Top 43% |
| Gross margin | 30.4% | 35.5% | ↓ | Top 45% |
| Operating margin | 26.8% | 31.6% | ↓ | Top 4% |
| Net margin | 15.9% | 21.2% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -40.2% | -30.3% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 17.2% | — | Top 9% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 51.4% | — | Top 4% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- -0.89×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 20.9%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.8%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -107.5 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 3.05×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 3.4×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.90%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.90%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +1.2%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 31, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 1 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -13.2%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.3%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $321.25
- Target vs current price
- +92.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 18
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 100%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | -16.9% | -7.1% | +4.5% | -5.6% | — |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -14.0% | -1.3% | +13.1% | +15.9% | -0.0% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | -12.9% | -0.6% | -7.3% | -18.7% | -21.1% |
| Oct 27, 2025 | -9.1% | +1.7% | -5.0% | -13.4% | +61.3% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | +21.7% | -0.2% | +23.7% | +30.1% | +51.0% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | -8.9% | -1.9% | -1.0% | +8.3% | +7.4% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | -6.4% | +5.5% | -13.4% | -12.0% | -13.9% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | -1.3% | +1.3% | -3.0% | +19.9% | -30.3% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $1.13 | $1.36 | -16.9% | $953.1M |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $1.29 | $1.50 | -14.0% | $830.7M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $1.08 | $1.24 | -12.9% | $662.0M |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $1.10 | $1.21 | -9.1% | $667.1M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $1.57 | $1.29 | +21.7% | $676.2M |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $0.87 | $0.96 | -8.9% | $502.1M |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.84 | $0.90 | -6.4% | $498.8M |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $0.76 | $0.77 | -1.3% | $465.8M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 36.3× | 39.7× | 36th | Top 48% |
| P/E (forward) | 28.3× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 19.8× | — | — | Bottom 43% |
| EV / Sales | 6.51× | — | — | Bottom 12% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -7.30% | — | — | Bottom 17% |
| Earnings yield | 2.75% | — | — | Top 48% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 26.9× – 347.4× since Mar 31, 2023. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -3.5%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +13.9%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +31.5%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -9.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -15.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -29.1%
- RSI (14)
- 35.1
- Relative volume
- 0.84×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 60.4%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 73th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.01
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.22
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -46.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -52.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | Jan 21, 2025 | -52.1% | 38 days | 166 days (Sep 18, 2025) |
| Jun 22, 2021 | Jun 13, 2022 | -50.8% | 246 days | 250 days (Jun 12, 2023) |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | -46.1% | 149 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Nov 17, 2025 | -18.2% | 12 days | 29 days (Dec 30, 2025) |
| Mar 10, 2021 | May 19, 2021 | -14.8% | 49 days | 19 days (Jun 16, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $17.13B
- P/E (TTM)
- 36.3
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $4.60
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.11B
- Dividend yield
- 1.02%
- 52-week range
- $149.50 – $323.51
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $335.6M | $722.3M | $1.19B | $1.75B | $2.51B |
| Gross profit | $126.8M | $222.7M | $395.3M | $577.9M | $779.4M |
| Operating income | $99.8M | $157.1M | $357.0M | $552.4M | $769.9M |
| Net income | -$104.2M | -$193.2M | $243.8M | $8.7M | $501.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.45 | -$1.11 | $2.11 | -$0.32 | $4.60 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $469.5M | $502.9M | $502.1M | $676.2M | $667.1M | $662.0M | $830.7M | $953.1M |
| Net income | $86.5M | $102.4M | $102.4M | $165.4M | $117.7M | $115.6M | $137.9M | $125.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.76 | $0.84 | $0.87 | $1.57 | $1.10 | $1.08 | $1.29 | $1.13 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$22.0M | -$20.7M | $129.0M | -$188.0M | -$310.7M |
| Capital expenditure | -$767.6M | -$813.7M | -$776.9M | -$1.16B | -$752.4M |
| Free cash flow | -$789.7M | -$834.3M | -$647.9M | -$1.34B | -$1.06B |
| Dividends paid | -$118.0M | -$128.5M | -$119.8M | -$121.6M | -$128.2M |
| Net share buybacks | $323.1M | $0 | $5,000 | $0 | -$124.2M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $337.2M
- Total assets
- $4.49B
- Total liabilities
- $4.09B
- Total debt
- $3.45B
- Net debt
- $3.12B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $404.0M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 31, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | $0.50 | Aug 24, 2026 |
| May 13, 2026 | $0.45 | May 26, 2026 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | $0.40 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $0.35 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $0.30 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| May 16, 2025 | $0.30 | May 23, 2025 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | $0.30 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | $0.30 | Nov 25, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 6,021,650
- Days to cover
- 4.36
- Change vs previous report
- -10.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Aug 2, 2022
- 1,171-for-1,000