Stocks · Basic Materials · Chemicals
Green Plains Inc. GPRE
$15.23 +2.01% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.07B
Inexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count rose 29.4% in a year.
- Operating margin widened to 7.2% from -3.1% a year earlier.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $1.84B, down 23.3% from a year earlier, slowing from -21.0% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Basic Materials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth2Very weak
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 5%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 5%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 22%
Quality31Weak
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 34%
- Gross marginBottom 17%
- Operating marginBottom 44%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 21%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 21%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 48%
- Interest coverBottom 34%
Value99Exceptional
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 5%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 8%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 7%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 15%
Momentum79Positive
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 10%
- 6-month returnBottom 44%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 9%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 37%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 12%
Revisions92Exceptional
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 3%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 17%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 33%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 49%
Stability30Weak
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 32%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 3%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 37%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 48%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -21.0% | -23.3% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 5.4% | 10.0% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | -3.1% | 7.2% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -1.8% | 6.4% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -23.3% | -21.0% | ↓ | Bottom 5% |
| Gross margin | 10.0% | 5.4% | ↑ | Bottom 17% |
| Operating margin | 7.2% | -3.1% | ↑ | Bottom 44% |
| Net margin | 6.7% | -6.3% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 6.4% | -1.8% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 9.0% | — | Top 34% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -17.0% | — | Bottom 5% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.17×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -1.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +130.6 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 1.53×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.8×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.15%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 2.87%
- Shareholder yield
- 3.02%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +29.4%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +12.8%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 4
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +1.0%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $20.00
- Target vs current price
- +31.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 20
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 65%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | +53.4% | -7.8% | -8.4% | -7.7% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | +4300.0% | -3.0% | -0.9% | -11.1% | -1.9% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | +88.9% | +0.5% | +23.0% | +23.1% | +41.0% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | +1285.6% | +12.6% | +2.7% | +1.2% | +16.2% |
| Aug 11, 2025 | -289.3% | +19.5% | +14.1% | +36.5% | +41.2% |
| May 8, 2025 | -72.5% | +1.9% | +36.1% | +7.2% | +100.0% |
| Feb 7, 2025 | -290.9% | -20.4% | -21.1% | -30.8% | -55.4% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | +527.3% | +5.1% | +1.6% | -7.0% | -22.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $0.83 | $0.54 | +53.4% | $446.2M |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.42 | -$0.01 | +4300.0% | $445.8M |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.17 | $0.09 | +88.9% | $428.8M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.35 | -$0.03 | +1285.6% | $508.5M |
| Aug 11, 2025 | -$1.09 | -$0.28 | -289.3% | $552.8M |
| May 8, 2025 | -$0.88 | -$0.51 | -72.5% | $601.5M |
| Feb 7, 2025 | -$0.86 | -$0.22 | -290.9% | $584.0M |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $0.69 | $0.11 | +527.3% | $658.7M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 9.9× | — | — | Top 5% |
| P/E (forward) | 7.3× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 6.0× | — | — | Top 7% |
| EV / Sales | 0.78× | — | — | Top 15% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 11.08% | — | — | Top 8% |
| Earnings yield | 10.11% | — | — | Top 5% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 3
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -3.6%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +3.6%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -1.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +2.8%
- RSI (14)
- 51.6
- Relative volume
- 0.71×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 56.6%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 46th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.87
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.19
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -20.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -89.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2021 | Apr 21, 2025 | -92.5% | 864 days | Not yet recovered |
| Nov 10, 2020 | Dec 18, 2020 | -26.1% | 27 days | 12 days (Jan 7, 2021) |
| Apr 1, 2021 | Apr 20, 2021 | -24.0% | 12 days | 11 days (May 5, 2021) |
| May 6, 2021 | May 13, 2021 | -19.8% | 5 days | 12 days (Jun 1, 2021) |
| Aug 12, 2021 | Sep 24, 2021 | -17.9% | 30 days | 26 days (Nov 1, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.07B
- P/E (TTM)
- 9.9
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.54
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.84B
- 52-week range
- $8.93 – $19.65
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.83B | $3.66B | $3.30B | $2.46B | $2.09B |
| Gross profit | $179.0M | $112.7M | $164.8M | $130.4M | $38.5M |
| Operating income | $25.5M | -$98.9M | -$61.6M | -$47.5M | -$84.2M |
| Net income | -$66.0M | -$127.2M | -$93.4M | -$82.5M | -$121.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.41 | -$2.29 | -$1.59 | -$1.29 | -$1.80 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $658.7M | $584.0M | $601.5M | $552.8M | $508.5M | $428.8M | $455.2M | $446.2M |
| Net income | $48.2M | -$54.9M | -$72.9M | -$72.2M | $11.9M | $11.9M | $32.9M | $67.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.69 | -$0.86 | -$1.14 | -$1.09 | $0.15 | $0.17 | $0.39 | $0.83 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $4.2M | $69.7M | $56.3M | -$30.0M | $101.6M |
| Capital expenditure | -$187.2M | -$212.4M | -$108.1M | -$95.1M | -$37.2M |
| Free cash flow | -$182.9M | -$142.7M | -$51.7M | -$125.0M | $64.4M |
| Dividends paid | -$9.3M | $0 | -$22.7M | -$5.2M | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $356.0M | $0 | -$9.0M | -$4.7M | -$30.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $185.4M
- Total assets
- $1.66B
- Total liabilities
- $787.2M
- Total debt
- $548.6M
- Net debt
- $363.3M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $869.9M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2019 | $0.12 | Jun 14, 2019 |
| Feb 21, 2019 | $0.12 | Mar 15, 2019 |
| Nov 26, 2018 | $0.12 | Dec 14, 2018 |
| Aug 24, 2018 | $0.12 | Sep 14, 2018 |
| May 24, 2018 | $0.12 | Jun 15, 2018 |
| Feb 22, 2018 | $0.12 | Mar 15, 2018 |
| Nov 24, 2017 | $0.12 | Dec 15, 2017 |
| Aug 24, 2017 | $0.12 | Sep 15, 2017 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 11,921,238
- Days to cover
- 7.15
- Change vs previous report
- -10.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.