Stocks · Technology · Information Technology Services

International Business Machines Corporation IBM

$222.64 -1.32% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $209.76B

Inexpensive vs sector

Next earnings report: Oct 21, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $11.30, up 83.4% year over year.
  2. Net debt is 3.6× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
  3. The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Technology sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth41Weak

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 37%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 21%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 47%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 44%
  • Revenue growth accelerationBottom 24%
Quality51Neutral

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalTop 25%
  • Gross marginTop 41%
  • Operating marginTop 18%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 36%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 25%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 13%
  • Interest coverTop 39%
Value81Strong

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldTop 17%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldTop 25%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 30%
  • Sales / enterprise valueTop 48%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 24%
Momentum22Very weak

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 31%
  • 6-month returnBottom 19%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 30%
  • Distance from 52-week highBottom 45%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 10%
Revisions7Very weak

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 36%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 12%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 25%
  • Upside to consensus price targetBottom 37%
Stability63Neutral

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 42%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 10%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 18%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 13%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)9.7%7.9%↓
EPS growth (YoY)94.7%83.4%↓
Gross margin57.6%58.4%↑
Operating margin17.1%17.9%↑
FCF margin18.4%19.7%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)7.9%9.7%↓Bottom 37%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)83.4%94.7%↓Top 21%
Gross margin58.4%57.6%↑Top 41%
Operating margin17.9%17.1%↑Top 18%
Net margin15.5%9.1%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin19.7%18.4%↑—
Return on invested capital10.4%—Top 25%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR3.7%—Bottom 44%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
1.39×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-2.7%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
2.0%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
+2.3 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
3.58×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
6.4×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
3.01%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
-0.12%
Shareholder yield
2.88%
Share count change, 1 year
+0.6%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+1.2%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 23, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
0
Beats in the last 8 reports
7 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+4.6%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+0.2%
Positive 20 days after report
4 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$256.69
Target vs current price
+15.3%
Analysts with a rating
51
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
47%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Jul 22, 2026+0.0%-2.2%+8.1%+10.5%—
Apr 22, 2026+5.5%-1.5%-8.9%-13.0%-16.8%
Jan 28, 2026+4.9%+0.1%+0.2%-19.2%-21.4%
Oct 22, 2025+8.2%+1.9%+10.8%+2.8%+8.4%
Jul 23, 2025+5.7%+0.0%-6.9%-14.4%-0.4%
Apr 23, 2025+12.7%+1.9%-0.6%+10.8%+18.7%
Jan 29, 2025+4.0%+1.3%+17.2%+13.4%+1.6%
Oct 23, 2024+3.6%+0.2%-9.4%-9.5%-3.4%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Jul 22, 2026$2.93$2.93+0.0%$17.16B
Apr 22, 2026$1.91$1.81+5.5%$15.92B
Jan 28, 2026$4.52$4.31+4.9%$19.69B
Oct 22, 2025$2.65$2.45+8.2%$16.33B
Jul 23, 2025$2.80$2.65+5.7%$16.98B
Apr 23, 2025$1.60$1.42+12.7%$14.54B
Jan 29, 2025$3.92$3.77+4.0%$17.55B
Oct 23, 2024$2.30$2.22+3.6%$14.97B

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)19.7×23.0×19thTop 17%
P/E (forward)18.1×———
EV / EBITDA16.5×——Top 30%
EV / Sales3.88×——Top 48%
Free-cash-flow yield6.50%——Top 25%
Earnings yield5.08%——Top 17%

P/E over the past five years

Range 18.3× – 97.7× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
-22.3%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
+83.4%
Change in P/E multiple
-56.8%

Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
-4.1%
200-day average slope (20 days)
-2.7%
Distance from 50-day average
-4.0%
Distance from 200-day average
-12.9%
RSI (14)
41.5
Relative volume
1.34×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
67.9%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
95th percentile · High for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.93
Correlation with S&P 500
0.34
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-32.4%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-37.5%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Jun 2, 2026Jul 22, 2026-37.5%34 daysNot yet recovered
Nov 12, 2025May 13, 2026-31.9%124 days12 days (Jun 1, 2026)
Jun 30, 2025Aug 12, 2025-20.4%30 days52 days (Oct 24, 2025)
Jun 11, 2021Nov 26, 2021-19.9%117 days246 days (Nov 17, 2022)
Dec 13, 2022May 11, 2023-19.7%102 days130 days (Nov 15, 2023)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$209.76B
P/E (TTM)
19.7
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$11.30
Revenue (TTM)
$69.10B
Dividend yield
3.03%
52-week range
$199.19 – $332.46
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$57.35B$60.53B$61.86B$62.75B$67.54B
Gross profit$31.49B$32.69B$34.30B$35.55B$39.30B
Operating income$6.87B$8.17B$9.82B$10.07B$12.49B
Net income$5.74B$1.64B$7.50B$6.02B$10.59B
EPS (diluted)$6.35$1.80$8.14$6.43$11.17
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$14.97B$17.55B$14.54B$16.98B$16.33B$19.69B$15.92B$17.16B
Net income-$330.0M$2.91B$1.05B$2.19B$1.74B$5.60B$1.22B$2.17B
EPS (diluted)-$0.36$3.09$1.12$2.31$1.84$5.88$1.28$2.30
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$12.80B$10.44B$13.93B$13.45B$13.19B
Capital expenditure-$2.77B-$1.97B-$1.81B-$1.69B-$1.09B
Free cash flow$10.03B$8.46B$12.12B$11.76B$12.10B
Dividends paid-$5.87B-$5.95B-$6.04B-$6.15B-$6.25B
Net share buybacks-$319.0M-$407.0M-$402.0M$745.0M$710.0M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$8.13B
Total assets
$152.10B
Total liabilities
$117.56B
Total debt
$65.27B
Net debt
$58.10B
Shareholders’ equity
$34.45B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 23, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Aug 10, 2026$1.69Sep 10, 2026
May 8, 2026$1.69Jun 10, 2026
Feb 10, 2026$1.68Mar 10, 2026
Nov 10, 2025$1.68Dec 10, 2025
Aug 8, 2025$1.68Sep 10, 2025
May 9, 2025$1.68Jun 10, 2025
Feb 10, 2025$1.67Mar 10, 2025
Nov 12, 2024$1.67Dec 10, 2024

Short interest

Shares sold short
22,444,940
Days to cover
4.56
Change vs previous report
+1.9%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

Nov 4, 2021
523-for-500
May 27, 1999
2-for-1
May 28, 1997
2-for-1
Jun 1, 1979
4-for-1
May 29, 1973
5-for-4