Stocks · Industrials · Consulting Services
ICF International, Inc. ICFI
$81.86 -3.66% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.48B
Inexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 5, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Net debt is 3.2× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 50 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $1.82B, down 7.9% from a year earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 8%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 30%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 22%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 36%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 47%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 44%
- Gross marginTop 33%
- Operating marginTop 46%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 20%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 31%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 29%
- Interest coverTop 43%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 12%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 4%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 25%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 24%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 25%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 35%
- 6-month returnTop 27%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 31%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 29%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 42%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 35%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 39%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 29%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 46%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 38%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 27%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 21%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 29%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -9.5% | -7.9% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -20.8% | -16.0% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 37.1% | 35.6% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 8.1% | 8.0% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 6.0% | 10.9% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -7.9% | -9.5% | ↑ | Bottom 8% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -16.0% | -20.8% | ↑ | Bottom 30% |
| Gross margin | 35.6% | 37.1% | ↓ | Top 33% |
| Operating margin | 8.0% | 8.1% | ↓ | Top 46% |
| Net margin | 4.9% | 5.5% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 10.9% | 6.0% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 6.8% | — | Top 44% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 1.7% | — | Bottom 36% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 2.48×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -6.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +7.2 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 3.19×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 5.1×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.69%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 3.14%
- Shareholder yield
- 3.83%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -2.2%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -1.6%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +0.3%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $110.00
- Target vs current price
- +34.4%
- Analysts with a rating
- 13
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 69%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | +12.7% | +0.6% | +5.6% | +4.1% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | -3.2% | +1.3% | -18.6% | -6.5% | +14.3% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | -3.9% | +6.1% | +0.6% | -12.0% | -9.5% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | -4.6% | -0.2% | -2.8% | -7.7% | +9.3% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | +1.8% | +1.3% | +9.5% | +20.6% | +9.7% |
| May 1, 2025 | +11.5% | +0.4% | -0.7% | +1.2% | -0.7% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | -1.1% | -0.9% | -18.8% | -16.4% | -12.7% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | +6.2% | -1.5% | -0.8% | -20.1% | -30.7% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $1.86 | $1.65 | +12.7% | $474.5M |
| May 7, 2026 | $1.50 | $1.55 | -3.2% | $437.5M |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $1.47 | $1.53 | -3.9% | $443.7M |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $1.67 | $1.75 | -4.6% | $465.4M |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $1.66 | $1.63 | +1.8% | $476.2M |
| May 1, 2025 | $1.94 | $1.74 | +11.5% | $487.6M |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $1.87 | $1.89 | -1.1% | $496.3M |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $1.88 | $1.77 | +6.2% | $517.0M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 16.9× | 27.6× | 29th | Top 12% |
| P/E (forward) | 11.5× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 11.6× | — | — | Top 25% |
| EV / Sales | 1.12× | — | — | Top 24% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 13.40% | — | — | Top 4% |
| Earnings yield | 5.90% | — | — | Top 12% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 13.6× – 37.3× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -13.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -16.0%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +14.8%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 50
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +4.6%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -5.3%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +4.0%
- RSI (14)
- 38.3
- Relative volume
- 0.64×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 37.0%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 80th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.73
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.26
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -15.7%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -66.0%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | May 13, 2026 | -66.0% | 393 days | Not yet recovered |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Mar 1, 2022 | -21.1% | 66 days | 117 days (Aug 17, 2022) |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Jan 19, 2023 | -19.9% | 55 days | 96 days (Jun 7, 2023) |
| Mar 4, 2024 | Jul 10, 2024 | -17.5% | 88 days | 17 days (Aug 2, 2024) |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | -12.1% | 18 days | 35 days (Nov 14, 2023) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.48B
- P/E (TTM)
- 16.9
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $4.83
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.82B
- Dividend yield
- 0.68%
- 52-week range
- $58.83 – $98.03
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.55B | $1.78B | $1.96B | $2.02B | $1.87B |
| Gross profit | $573.5M | $645.5M | $698.2M | $737.8M | $637.9M |
| Operating income | $110.9M | $108.8M | $132.3M | $165.8M | $151.7M |
| Net income | $71.1M | $64.2M | $82.6M | $110.2M | $91.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.72 | $3.38 | $4.35 | $5.82 | $4.95 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $517.0M | $496.3M | $487.6M | $476.2M | $465.4M | $443.7M | $437.5M | $474.5M |
| Net income | $32.7M | $24.6M | $26.9M | $23.7M | $23.8M | $17.3M | $20.5M | $26.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.73 | $1.30 | $1.44 | $1.28 | $1.28 | $0.94 | $1.12 | $1.49 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $110.2M | $162.2M | $152.4M | $171.5M | $141.9M |
| Capital expenditure | -$19.9M | -$24.5M | -$22.3M | -$21.4M | -$21.7M |
| Free cash flow | $90.3M | $137.7M | $130.0M | $150.1M | $120.2M |
| Dividends paid | -$10.6M | -$10.5M | -$10.5M | -$10.5M | -$10.4M |
| Net share buybacks | -$20.0M | -$21.2M | -$19.1M | -$47.8M | -$55.3M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $4.6M
- Total assets
- $2.10B
- Total liabilities
- $1.05B
- Total debt
- $564.8M
- Net debt
- $560.1M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $1.05B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | $0.14 | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | $0.14 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | $0.14 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | $0.14 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | $0.14 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Jun 6, 2025 | $0.14 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | $0.14 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | $0.14 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 612,161
- Days to cover
- 3.48
- Change vs previous report
- -3.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.