Stocks · Industrials · Industrial - Machinery

Illinois Tool Works Inc. ITW

$262.92 +0.80% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $75.64B

High qualityLow risk

Next earnings report: Oct 23, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 14 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +2.1%).
  2. Revenue over the last four quarters was $16.47B, up 4.3% from a year earlier.
  3. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $11.03, down 3.3% year over year.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth29Very weak

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 35%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 37%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 47%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 29%
  • Revenue growth accelerationTop 49%
Quality81Strong

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalTop 3%
  • Gross marginTop 19%
  • Operating marginTop 4%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 19%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 20%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 49%
  • Interest coverTop 17%
Value56Neutral

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldTop 26%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldTop 42%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 46%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 18%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 32%
Momentum49Neutral

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 45%
  • 6-month returnBottom 49%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 45%
  • Distance from 52-week highTop 23%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 40%
Revisions29Very weak

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 39%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsTop 5%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 8%
  • Upside to consensus price targetBottom 13%
Stability95Exceptional

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 6%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 3%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 15%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 49%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)2.9%4.3%↑
EPS growth (YoY)-5.3%-3.3%↑
Gross margin43.3%44.2%↑
Operating margin26.0%26.5%↑
FCF margin17.3%17.7%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)4.3%2.9%↑Bottom 35%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)-3.3%-5.3%↑Bottom 37%
Gross margin44.2%43.3%↑Top 19%
Operating margin26.5%26.0%↑Top 4%
Net margin19.4%21.3%↓—
Free-cash-flow margin17.7%17.3%↑—
Return on invested capital24.7%—Top 3%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR0.2%—Bottom 29%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
1.04×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-0.8%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
0.4%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
+3.0 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
1.91×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
14.5×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
2.42%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
2.39%
Shareholder yield
4.81%
Share count change, 1 year
-2.0%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
-1.9%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
14
Beats in the last 8 reports
8 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+2.1%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+0.2%
Positive 20 days after report
5 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$280.71
Target vs current price
+6.8%
Analysts with a rating
28
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
21%
Consensus rating
Hold

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Jul 28, 2026+1.8%+3.6%+1.3%-0.3%—
Apr 30, 2026+3.5%-2.9%-1.9%-6.0%+7.2%
Feb 3, 2026+1.1%+5.6%+10.0%+8.2%+0.6%
Oct 24, 2025+2.2%-4.5%-5.4%-6.3%+1.0%
Jul 30, 2025+0.8%-2.2%-1.3%+2.6%-2.5%
Apr 30, 2025+1.7%-0.8%-0.8%+0.9%+8.3%
Feb 5, 2025+2.0%-0.2%+1.6%+2.5%-6.1%
Oct 30, 2024+55.2%+3.2%+4.1%+8.0%+1.0%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Jul 28, 2026$2.84$2.79+1.8%$4.30B
Apr 30, 2026$2.66$2.57+3.5%$4.02B
Feb 3, 2026$2.72$2.69+1.1%$4.09B
Oct 24, 2025$2.81$2.75+2.2%$4.06B
Jul 30, 2025$2.58$2.56+0.8%$4.05B
Apr 30, 2025$2.38$2.34+1.7%$3.84B
Feb 5, 2025$2.54$2.49+2.0%$3.93B
Oct 30, 2024$3.91$2.52+55.2%$3.97B

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)23.8×23.9×38thTop 26%
P/E (forward)23.0×———
EV / EBITDA18.2×——Bottom 46%
EV / Sales5.13×——Bottom 18%
Free-cash-flow yield3.86%——Top 42%
Earnings yield4.20%——Top 26%

P/E over the past five years

Range 21.0× – 28.6× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
+1.2%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
-3.3%
Change in P/E multiple
+20.9%

Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
-0.5%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+0.7%
Distance from 50-day average
-5.7%
Distance from 200-day average
-2.1%
RSI (14)
40.0
Relative volume
0.82×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
22.3%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
65th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.65
Correlation with S&P 500
0.47
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-12.2%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-21.6%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Jan 4, 2022Jul 14, 2022-28.9%131 days140 days (Feb 2, 2023)
Dec 2, 2024Apr 8, 2025-21.6%86 days206 days (Feb 3, 2026)
Feb 13, 2026Jun 1, 2026-17.9%73 daysNot yet recovered
Jul 31, 2023Oct 23, 2023-15.5%59 days44 days (Dec 26, 2023)
Mar 21, 2024Jul 5, 2024-13.8%72 days87 days (Nov 6, 2024)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$75.64B
P/E (TTM)
23.8
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$11.03
Revenue (TTM)
$16.47B
Dividend yield
2.49%
52-week range
$238.82 – $303.15
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$14.46B$15.93B$16.11B$15.90B$16.04B
Gross profit$5.83B$6.37B$6.68B$6.94B$7.08B
Operating income$3.48B$3.79B$4.04B$4.26B$4.22B
Net income$2.69B$3.03B$2.96B$3.49B$3.07B
EPS (diluted)$8.51$9.77$9.74$11.71$10.49
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$3.97B$3.93B$3.84B$4.05B$4.06B$4.09B$4.02B$4.30B
Net income$1.16B$750.0M$700.0M$755.0M$821.0M$790.0M$768.0M$815.0M
EPS (diluted)$3.91$2.54$2.38$2.58$2.81$2.72$2.66$2.84
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$2.56B$2.35B$3.54B$3.28B$3.13B
Capital expenditure-$296.0M-$412.0M-$455.0M-$437.0M-$419.0M
Free cash flow$2.26B$1.94B$3.08B$2.84B$2.71B
Dividends paid-$1.46B-$1.54B-$1.61B-$1.70B-$1.78B
Net share buybacks-$950.0M-$1.72B-$1.45B-$1.45B-$1.44B

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$839.0M
Total assets
$16.50B
Total liabilities
$13.60B
Total debt
$9.69B
Net debt
$8.86B
Shareholders’ equity
$2.89B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Sep 30, 2026$1.72Oct 9, 2026
Jun 30, 2026$1.61Jul 10, 2026
Mar 31, 2026$1.61Apr 9, 2026
Dec 31, 2025$1.61Jan 9, 2026
Sep 30, 2025$1.61Oct 10, 2025
Jun 30, 2025$1.50Jul 11, 2025
Mar 31, 2025$1.50Apr 10, 2025
Dec 31, 2024$1.50Jan 10, 2025

Short interest

Shares sold short
8,757,539
Days to cover
7.18
Change vs previous report
-0.0%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

May 26, 2006
2-for-1
May 28, 1997
2-for-1
Jun 21, 1993
2-for-1
May 27, 1987
2-for-1
May 23, 1984
2-for-1