Stocks · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock KDK
$1.64 -1.80% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $316.8M
Weak trendExpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 11, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin narrowed to -2100.2% from -445.4% a year earlier.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $7.2M, down 55.5% from a year earlier, accelerating from -74.0% a quarter earlier.
- The stock is 85% below its highest close of the past year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Technology sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 1%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 6%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 2%
- Gross marginBottom 1%
- Operating marginBottom 2%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 2%
- Interest coverBottom 10%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 2%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 2%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 1%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 6%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 14%
- 6-month returnBottom 1%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 3%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 2%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 10%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 5%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 12%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 5%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 1%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 29%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 9%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 41%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -74.0% | -55.5% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 100.0% | -298.8% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -445.4% | -2100.2% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -264.4% | -2621.4% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -55.5% | -74.0% | ↑ | Bottom 1% |
| Gross margin | -298.8% | 100.0% | ↓ | Bottom 1% |
| Operating margin | -2100.2% | -445.4% | ↓ | Bottom 2% |
| Net margin | -4259.6% | -1712.7% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -2621.4% | -264.4% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -83.0% | — | Bottom 2% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -76.5%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -25.1 pp
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -43.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -44.28%
- Shareholder yield
- -44.28%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +6.6%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jun 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 1 of 5
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +2.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 1 of 4
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $9.80
- Target vs current price
- +497.6%
- Analysts with a rating
- 3
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 100%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -187.0% | +3.1% | -2.4% | -15.6% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | +150.0% | +3.1% | -9.5% | -22.1% | -51.5% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | -162.5% | +1.6% | -0.7% | -10.6% | -20.5% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | -2331.3% | +0.6% | -13.8% | +3.5% | +14.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -$0.50 | -$0.17 | -187.0% | $3.5M |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.10 | -$0.20 | +150.0% | $1.8M |
| Mar 10, 2026 | -$0.42 | -$0.16 | -162.5% | $1.1M |
| Nov 12, 2025 | -$3.89 | -$0.16 | -2331.3% | $770,000 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | -$1.26 | -$0.28 | -354.9% | $501,500 |
| May 15, 2025 | -$0.71 | — | — | $1.5M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 44.44× | — | — | Bottom 6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -59.19% | — | — | Bottom 2% |
| Earnings yield | -285.98% | — | — | Bottom 2% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -15.9%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -5.0%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -55.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -76.0%
- RSI (14)
- 15.3
- Relative volume
- 2.30×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 76.1%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.30
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.17
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -85.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -85.0%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | Oct 2, 2026 | -85.0% | 189 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Dec 2, 2025 | -43.0% | 37 days | 13 days (Dec 19, 2025) |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Oct 1, 2025 | -25.0% | 4 days | 3 days (Oct 6, 2025) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $316.8M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$4.69
- Revenue (TTM)
- $7.2M
- 52-week range
- $1.58 – $11.35
| FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.9M | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Gross profit | $16.9M | $14.9M | -$21.0M |
| Operating income | -$53.8M | -$61.7M | -$112.6M |
| Net income | -$56.9M | -$69.5M | -$585.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.31 | -$0.38 | -$6.42 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.1M | $7.1M | $1.5M | $503,000 | $770,000 | $1.1M | $1.8M | $3.5M |
| Net income | -$16.7M | -$16.7M | -$128.2M | -$113.7M | -$269.9M | -$73.7M | $26.5M | $12.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.19 | -$0.19 | -$0.71 | -$0.71 | -$3.89 | -$0.42 | $0.12 | -$0.50 |
| FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$43.8M | -$51.0M | -$94.4M |
| Capital expenditure | -$3.3M | -$3.2M | -$22.0M |
| Free cash flow | -$47.1M | -$54.2M | -$116.5M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $0 | $146.5M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $151.1M
- Total assets
- $194.4M
- Total liabilities
- $160.1M
- Total debt
- $47.8M
- Net debt
- $1.1M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $34.3M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jun 30, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 10,036,415
- Days to cover
- 7.68
- Change vs previous report
- +12.4%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.