Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Stride, Inc. LRN
$78.89 +1.77% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $3.35B
High qualityWeak trendInexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The shares trade at 11.0× trailing earnings, lower than 95% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 5 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +18.4%).
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 43%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 30%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 40%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 18%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 8%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 13%
- Gross marginTop 43%
- Operating marginTop 13%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 26%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 31%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 15%
- Interest coverTop 11%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 6%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 23%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 5%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 50%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 15%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 14%
- 6-month returnBottom 40%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 14%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 17%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 29%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 23%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 23%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 3%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 24%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 29%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 27%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 15%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.9% | 4.7% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 1.1% | 18.6% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 39.2% | 37.8% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 15.0% | 17.9% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 15.5% | 14.1% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 4.7% | 10.9% | ↓ | Top 43% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 18.6% | 1.1% | ↑ | Top 30% |
| Gross margin | 37.8% | 39.2% | ↓ | Top 43% |
| Operating margin | 17.9% | 15.0% | ↑ | Top 13% |
| Net margin | 13.4% | 12.0% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 14.1% | 15.5% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 15.6% | — | Top 13% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 11.1% | — | Top 18% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.28×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -3.9%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.6%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +14.1 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -0.36×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 38.3×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 5.62%
- Shareholder yield
- 5.62%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -4.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +3.4%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 5
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +18.4%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.3%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 6 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $38.00
- Target vs current price
- -51.8%
- Analysts with a rating
- 17
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 29%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | +6.7% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +8.2% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | +19.2% | -5.3% | -5.7% | -8.5% | -12.0% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | +5.5% | +1.2% | +20.9% | +15.7% | +42.5% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | +42.1% | +0.6% | -53.0% | -58.6% | -52.0% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | +25.1% | -1.6% | +15.4% | +24.1% | +17.8% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | -3.3% | +1.2% | +14.1% | +8.9% | -8.3% |
| Jan 28, 2025 | +5.7% | +1.5% | +15.8% | +11.8% | +17.9% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | +327.3% | -0.2% | +40.8% | +57.1% | +76.7% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.75 | $1.64 | +6.7% | $636.1M |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $2.30 | $1.93 | +19.2% | $629.9M |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $2.12 | $2.01 | +5.5% | $631.3M |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $1.52 | $1.07 | +42.1% | $620.9M |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $2.29 | $1.83 | +25.1% | $653.6M |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $2.02 | $2.09 | -3.3% | $613.4M |
| Jan 28, 2025 | $2.03 | $1.92 | +5.7% | $587.2M |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $0.94 | $0.22 | +327.3% | $551.1M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 11.0× | 16.3× | 5th | Top 6% |
| P/E (forward) | 10.6× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.4× | — | — | Top 5% |
| EV / Sales | 1.25× | — | — | Top 50% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 10.58% | — | — | Top 23% |
| Earnings yield | 9.05% | — | — | Top 6% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 10.8× – 27.8× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -45.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +18.6%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -53.0%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -3.6%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.0%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -4.7%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -6.7%
- RSI (14)
- 44.6
- Relative volume
- 0.98×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 48.9%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 70th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.22
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.05
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -48.6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -64.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2025 | Dec 4, 2025 | -64.1% | 69 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | -32.8% | 48 days | 205 days (Oct 25, 2023) |
| Oct 13, 2020 | Jan 6, 2021 | -32.6% | 58 days | 55 days (Mar 26, 2021) |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Jan 21, 2022 | -28.7% | 56 days | 61 days (Apr 20, 2022) |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Oct 16, 2024 | -24.9% | 12 days | 5 days (Oct 23, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $3.35B
- P/E (TTM)
- 11.0
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $7.14
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.52B
- 52-week range
- $60.61 – $155.06
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.69B | $1.84B | $2.04B | $2.41B | $2.52B |
| Gross profit | $596.5M | $647.1M | $763.6M | $943.9M | $950.6M |
| Operating income | $156.6M | $165.5M | $249.6M | $360.1M | $450.8M |
| Net income | $107.1M | $126.9M | $204.2M | $287.9M | $338.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.52 | $2.97 | $4.69 | $5.95 | $7.14 |
| Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | Q4 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $551.1M | $587.2M | $613.4M | $653.6M | $620.9M | $631.3M | $629.9M | $636.1M |
| Net income | $40.9M | $96.4M | $99.3M | $51.3M | $68.8M | $99.5M | $88.5M | $81.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.94 | $2.03 | $2.02 | $1.03 | $1.40 | $2.12 | $1.93 | $1.69 |
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $206.9M | $203.2M | $278.8M | $432.8M | $433.8M |
| Capital expenditure | -$67.6M | -$66.5M | -$61.6M | -$60.0M | -$78.8M |
| Free cash flow | $139.3M | $136.6M | $217.2M | $372.8M | $355.0M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$37.9M | -$13.5M | -$8.2M | -$21.5M | -$188.7M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $958.0M
- Total assets
- $2.44B
- Total liabilities
- $803.2M
- Total debt
- $546.0M
- Net debt
- -$208.5M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $1.63B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 8,017,474
- Days to cover
- 11.68
- Change vs previous report
- +6.7%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.