Stocks · Financial Services · Financial - Credit Services

Mastercard Incorporated MA

$552.26 +0.41% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $484.35B

High quality

Next earnings report: Oct 29, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 14 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +6.0%).
  2. The shares trade at 30.4× trailing earnings, lower than 95% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
  3. The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 59 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Financial Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth49Neutral

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 27%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 47%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 33%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 47%
  • Revenue growth accelerationBottom 46%
Quality98Exceptional

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalTop 2%
  • Gross marginTop 1%
  • Operating marginTop 5%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 43%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 26%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 42%
  • Interest coverTop 5%
Value37Weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 33%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 31%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 38%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 6%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 8%
Momentum42Weak

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 34%
  • 6-month returnTop 35%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 29%
  • Distance from 52-week highTop 40%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Top 48%
Revisions95Exceptional

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 44%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsTop 2%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 12%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 35%
Stability61Neutral

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 44%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 28%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 40%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 42%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)16.8%16.0%↓
EPS growth (YoY)21.2%22.6%↑
Gross margin100.0%100.0%→
Operating margin57.7%59.8%↑
FCF margin53.7%46.9%↓

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)16.0%16.8%↓Top 27%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)22.6%21.2%↑Top 47%
Gross margin100.0%100.0%→Top 1%
Operating margin59.8%57.7%↑Top 5%
Net margin46.3%44.9%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin46.9%53.7%↓—
Return on invested capital48.1%—Top 2%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR13.8%—Bottom 47%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
1.07×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-1.9%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
1.4%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
+4.6 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
0.60×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
28.1×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
0.60%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
1.55%
Shareholder yield
2.15%
Share count change, 1 year
-2.9%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
-2.4%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
14
Beats in the last 8 reports
8 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+6.0%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+0.5%
Positive 20 days after report
5 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$666.67
Target vs current price
+20.7%
Analysts with a rating
65
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
80%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Jul 30, 2026+5.7%+2.5%+1.3%+6.2%—
Apr 30, 2026+4.5%-4.2%-6.3%-6.0%+5.0%
Jan 29, 2026+12.3%+4.3%+6.2%-1.3%-3.3%
Oct 30, 2025+1.4%-0.2%-0.2%-1.7%-6.2%
Jul 31, 2025+3.0%+1.3%+1.8%+5.6%+2.6%
May 1, 2025+4.2%-0.3%+3.3%+5.4%+3.7%
Jan 30, 2025+3.0%+3.1%+3.2%+2.9%-2.8%
Oct 31, 2024+4.0%-2.7%+1.4%+3.6%+6.8%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Jul 30, 2026$5.04$4.77+5.7%$9.28B
Apr 30, 2026$4.60$4.40+4.5%$9.28B
Jan 29, 2026$4.76$4.24+12.3%$8.81B
Oct 30, 2025$4.38$4.32+1.4%$8.60B
Jul 31, 2025$4.15$4.03+3.0%$8.13B
May 1, 2025$3.73$3.58+4.2%$7.25B
Jan 30, 2025$3.82$3.71+3.0%$7.49B
Oct 31, 2024$3.89$3.74+4.0%$7.37B

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)30.4×37.0×5thBottom 33%
P/E (forward)27.7×———
EV / EBITDA22.5×——Bottom 38%
EV / Sales14.19×——Bottom 6%
Free-cash-flow yield3.40%——Bottom 31%
Earnings yield3.29%——Bottom 33%

P/E over the past five years

Range 29.1× – 54.0× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
-3.7%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
+22.6%
Change in P/E multiple
-16.9%

Most of the move came from earnings growth.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✓ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
59
50-day average slope (20 days)
+2.7%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+0.4%
Distance from 50-day average
-3.2%
Distance from 200-day average
+3.8%
RSI (14)
38.9
Relative volume
0.89×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
19.6%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
46th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.79
Correlation with S&P 500
0.57
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-7.9%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-21.3%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Feb 2, 2022Oct 12, 2022-28.6%174 days185 days (Jul 11, 2023)
Apr 28, 2021Dec 1, 2021-22.6%151 days43 days (Feb 2, 2022)
Aug 22, 2025Jun 3, 2026-21.3%195 days56 days (Aug 24, 2026)
Oct 9, 2020Oct 30, 2020-18.1%15 days41 days (Dec 30, 2020)
Feb 28, 2025Apr 8, 2025-16.7%27 days23 days (May 12, 2025)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$484.35B
P/E (TTM)
30.4
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$18.18
Revenue (TTM)
$35.08B
Dividend yield
0.77%
52-week range
$464.52 – $601.23
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$18.88B$22.24B$25.10B$28.17B$32.79B
Gross profit$18.88B$22.24B$25.10B$28.17B$32.79B
Operating income$10.08B$12.72B$14.63B$16.33B$19.51B
Net income$8.69B$9.93B$11.20B$12.87B$14.97B
EPS (diluted)$8.76$10.23$11.83$13.89$16.52
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$7.37B$7.49B$7.25B$8.13B$8.60B$8.81B$8.40B$9.28B
Net income$3.26B$3.34B$3.28B$3.70B$3.93B$4.06B$3.88B$4.39B
EPS (diluted)$3.53$3.64$3.59$4.07$4.34$4.52$4.35$4.97
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$9.46B$11.20B$11.98B$14.78B$17.40B
Capital expenditure-$814.0M-$1.10B-$371.0M-$474.0M-$489.0M
Free cash flow$8.65B$10.10B$11.61B$14.31B$16.91B
Dividends paid-$1.74B-$1.90B-$2.16B-$2.45B-$2.76B
Net share buybacks-$5.90B-$8.75B-$9.03B-$11.04B-$11.52B

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$11.61B
Total assets
$57.69B
Total liabilities
$52.09B
Total debt
$24.64B
Net debt
$13.35B
Shareholders’ equity
$5.61B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Oct 9, 2026$0.87Nov 9, 2026
Jul 9, 2026$0.87Aug 7, 2026
Apr 9, 2026$0.87May 8, 2026
Jan 9, 2026$0.87Feb 9, 2026
Oct 9, 2025$0.76Nov 7, 2025
Jul 9, 2025$0.76Aug 8, 2025
Apr 9, 2025$0.76May 9, 2025
Jan 10, 2025$0.76Feb 7, 2025

Short interest

Shares sold short
7,201,181
Days to cover
3.17
Change vs previous report
-5.1%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

Jan 22, 2014
10-for-1