Stocks · Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Mistras Group, Inc. MG
$20.65 +0.10% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $657.0M
Strong trendInexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $0.83, up 128.1% year over year.
- Over the past year the stock returned +101.9%, ahead of the S&P 500 by 86.8 percentage points.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 5 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +100.0%).
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 39%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 9%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 31%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 36%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 45%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 31%
- Gross marginBottom 49%
- Operating marginTop 49%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 32%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 44%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 47%
- Interest coverTop 49%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 29%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 40%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 18%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 24%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 30%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 5%
- 6-month returnTop 19%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 5%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 7%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 10%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 4%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 24%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 16%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 13%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 43%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 34%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 36%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 47%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.5% | 5.2% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 48.6% | 128.1% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 27.8% | 27.5% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 5.1% | 7.5% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 2.8% | 3.6% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 5.2% | 3.5% | ↑ | Bottom 39% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 128.1% | 48.6% | ↑ | Top 9% |
| Gross margin | 27.5% | 27.8% | ↓ | Bottom 49% |
| Operating margin | 7.5% | 5.1% | ↑ | Top 49% |
| Net margin | 3.6% | 1.6% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 3.6% | 2.8% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 8.9% | — | Top 31% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 1.7% | — | Bottom 36% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 2.01×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.7%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.9%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -4.0 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 2.19×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 3.9×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.00%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +3.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +2.4%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 10, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 5
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.3%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $22.00
- Target vs current price
- +6.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 18
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 33%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | +17.9% | -1.8% | +12.6% | +18.9% | — |
| May 5, 2026 | +1500.0% | +1.2% | -4.9% | -3.5% | -18.8% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | +25.0% | +1.6% | -6.7% | -4.3% | +14.0% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | +58.6% | -0.2% | +36.3% | +22.0% | +47.4% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +11.8% | +0.8% | +15.7% | +19.6% | +22.3% |
| May 7, 2025 | -106.3% | -1.6% | -17.0% | -20.3% | -18.4% |
| Mar 5, 2025 | +84.6% | -1.2% | +6.7% | +12.8% | -20.5% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | -25.9% | -1.5% | -22.2% | -18.1% | -11.2% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | $0.28 | $0.24 | +17.9% | $193.1M |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.08 | $0.01 | +1500.0% | $169.0M |
| Mar 4, 2026 | $0.25 | $0.20 | +25.0% | $181.5M |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.46 | $0.29 | +58.6% | $195.5M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.19 | $0.17 | +11.8% | $185.4M |
| May 7, 2025 | -$0.01 | $0.16 | -106.3% | $161.6M |
| Mar 5, 2025 | $0.24 | $0.13 | +84.6% | $172.7M |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $0.20 | $0.27 | -25.9% | $182.7M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 24.8× | 28.0× | 35th | Top 29% |
| P/E (forward) | 20.3× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.2× | — | — | Top 18% |
| EV / Sales | 1.13× | — | — | Top 24% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.06% | — | — | Top 40% |
| Earnings yield | 4.03% | — | — | Top 29% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 16.5× – 129.9× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +101.9%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +128.1%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -23.4%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 38
- Days above the 200-day average
- 288
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +8.9%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +5.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +10.8%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +24.5%
- RSI (14)
- 57.2
- Relative volume
- 0.67×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 48.7%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 66th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.90
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.33
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -4.4%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -40.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | Nov 21, 2022 | -68.2% | 393 days | 437 days (Aug 20, 2024) |
| Oct 17, 2024 | May 28, 2025 | -40.8% | 151 days | 115 days (Nov 10, 2025) |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Jan 29, 2021 | -25.3% | 12 days | 24 days (Mar 5, 2021) |
| May 1, 2026 | Jul 29, 2026 | -22.2% | 60 days | 15 days (Aug 19, 2026) |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Nov 20, 2025 | -14.5% | 8 days | 22 days (Dec 23, 2025) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $657.0M
- P/E (TTM)
- 24.8
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.83
- Revenue (TTM)
- $739.2M
- 52-week range
- $9.37 – $21.77
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $677.1M | $687.4M | $705.5M | $729.6M | $724.0M |
| Gross profit | $197.1M | $198.2M | $203.8M | $213.1M | $194.1M |
| Operating income | $18.2M | $19.8M | -$1.9M | $39.8M | $53.2M |
| Net income | $3.9M | $6.5M | -$17.5M | $19.0M | $16.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.13 | $0.22 | -$0.58 | $0.60 | $0.53 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $182.7M | $172.7M | $161.6M | $185.4M | $195.5M | $181.5M | $169.0M | $193.1M |
| Net income | $6.4M | $5.2M | -$3.2M | $3.0M | $13.1M | $3.9M | $2.4M | $7.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.20 | $0.17 | -$0.10 | $0.10 | $0.41 | $0.12 | $0.07 | $0.23 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $42.3M | $26.4M | $26.7M | $50.1M | $33.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$19.3M | -$13.4M | -$23.6M | -$23.0M | -$24.7M |
| Free cash flow | $23.0M | $13.0M | $3.1M | $27.1M | $8.3M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$1.4M | -$977,000 | -$1.6M | -$1.3M | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $22.0M
- Total assets
- $584.1M
- Total liabilities
- $343.9M
- Total debt
- $200.3M
- Net debt
- $178.3M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $240.0M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 10, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,074,399
- Days to cover
- 4.82
- Change vs previous report
- -2.1%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Mar 26, 2015
- 1-for-2