Stocks · Industrials · Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication
Mueller Industries, Inc. MLI
$62.56 +2.02% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $13.84B
Low risk
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The shares trade at 16.3× trailing earnings, higher than 86% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $4.66B, up 14.8% from a year earlier, accelerating from 11.5% a quarter earlier.
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $3.84, up 21.9% year over year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth56Neutral
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 29%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 36%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 26%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 35%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 31%
Quality76Positive
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 6%
- Gross marginBottom 47%
- Operating marginTop 9%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 7%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 3%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 9%
- Interest coverTop 1%
Value60Neutral
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 10%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 45%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 19%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 40%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 21%
Momentum74Positive
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 36%
- 6-month returnTop 37%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 34%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 19%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 27%
Revisions23Very weak
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 47%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 45%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 5%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 33%
Stability93Exceptional
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 21%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 11%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 43%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 9%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 11.5% | 14.8% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 39.2% | 21.9% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 28.5% | 27.3% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 21.9% | 21.6% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 14.5% | 8.0% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 14.8% | 11.5% | ↑ | Top 29% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 21.9% | 39.2% | ↓ | Top 36% |
| Gross margin | 27.3% | 28.5% | ↓ | Bottom 47% |
| Operating margin | 21.6% | 21.9% | ↓ | Top 9% |
| Net margin | 18.2% | 17.5% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 8.0% | 14.5% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 20.7% | — | Top 6% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 1.6% | — | Bottom 35% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 0.53×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 9.4%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +13.8 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -1.14×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 14809.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.94%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.94%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -0.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -1.0%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 27, 2026 (filed Jul 22, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +6.3%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +3.4%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 7 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $75.00
- Target vs current price
- +19.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 6
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 17%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | +3.7% | +5.6% | +8.8% | +13.0% | — |
| Apr 21, 2026 | +44.4% | +11.4% | +12.9% | +12.6% | -2.4% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | -17.4% | -11.2% | -16.7% | -15.0% | -4.5% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | -5.5% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +4.5% | +30.4% |
| Jul 22, 2025 | +18.8% | +2.7% | +5.4% | +10.4% | +19.8% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | +5.3% | +2.7% | +6.4% | +14.7% | +25.4% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | +8.9% | -2.2% | +3.1% | +0.2% | -5.7% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | +12.1% | +14.1% | +15.2% | +25.4% | +13.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | $1.13 | $1.09 | +3.7% | $1.43B |
| Apr 21, 2026 | $1.08 | $0.75 | +44.4% | $1.19B |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $0.69 | $0.84 | -17.4% | $962.4M |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $0.94 | $1.00 | -5.5% | $1.08B |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $0.98 | $0.83 | +18.8% | $1.14B |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $0.69 | $0.66 | +5.3% | $1.00B |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $0.61 | $0.56 | +8.9% | $923.5M |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $0.74 | $0.66 | +12.1% | $997.8M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 16.3× | 9.8× | 86th | Top 10% |
| P/E (forward) | 15.0× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.4× | — | — | Top 19% |
| EV / Sales | 2.68× | — | — | Bottom 40% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.70% | — | — | Bottom 45% |
| Earnings yield | 6.14% | — | — | Top 10% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 5.4× – 17.7× since Jun 26, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +25.2%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +21.9%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +18.0%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 1
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.0%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -1.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +0.3%
- RSI (14)
- 56.0
- Relative volume
- 0.70×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 29.5%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 34th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.99
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.45
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -11.2%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -28.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | Apr 21, 2025 | -28.2% | 108 days | 88 days (Aug 26, 2025) |
| Jul 24, 2023 | Oct 23, 2023 | -23.6% | 64 days | 40 days (Dec 19, 2023) |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Mar 20, 2026 | -22.6% | 33 days | 34 days (May 8, 2026) |
| May 8, 2026 | Jul 7, 2026 | -20.9% | 39 days | Not yet recovered |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Jun 16, 2022 | -19.3% | 149 days | 23 days (Jul 21, 2022) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $13.84B
- P/E (TTM)
- 16.3
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $3.84
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.66B
- Dividend yield
- 1.80%
- 52-week range
- $48.27 – $71.12
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.77B | $3.98B | $3.42B | $3.77B | $4.18B |
| Gross profit | $830.4M | $1.12B | $986.8M | $1.04B | $1.14B |
| Operating income | $655.8M | $877.1M | $756.1M | $770.4M | $895.3M |
| Net income | $468.5M | $658.3M | $602.9M | $604.9M | $765.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.07 | $2.91 | $2.65 | $2.66 | $3.43 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $997.8M | $923.5M | $1.00B | $1.14B | $1.08B | $962.4M | $1.19B | $1.43B |
| Net income | $168.7M | $137.7M | $157.4M | $245.9M | $208.1M | $153.7M | $239.0M | $249.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.74 | $0.61 | $0.70 | $1.11 | $0.94 | $0.69 | $1.08 | $1.13 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $311.7M | $723.9M | $672.8M | $645.9M | $755.4M |
| Capital expenditure | -$31.8M | -$37.6M | -$54.0M | -$80.2M | -$68.8M |
| Free cash flow | $279.9M | $686.3M | $618.7M | $565.7M | $686.6M |
| Dividends paid | -$29.1M | -$55.8M | -$66.9M | -$89.1M | -$109.0M |
| Net share buybacks | -$4.9M | -$38.1M | -$19.3M | -$48.7M | -$243.6M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.42B
- Total assets
- $4.26B
- Total liabilities
- $683.3M
- Total debt
- $24.7M
- Net debt
- -$1.36B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $3.55B
As of Jun 27, 2026 (filed Jul 22, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | $0.18 | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | $0.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | $0.35 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | $0.25 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | $0.25 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Jun 6, 2025 | $0.25 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | $0.25 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | $0.20 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 5,355,366
- Days to cover
- 3.82
- Change vs previous report
- +11.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jul 1, 2026
- 2-for-1
- Oct 23, 2023
- 2-for-1
- Mar 31, 2014
- 2-for-1
- May 28, 1998
- 2-for-1
- Oct 2, 1995
- 2-for-1