Stocks · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

$422.33 +0.52% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $123.29B

Strong growthStrong trendInexpensive vs sector

Next earnings report: Nov 3, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $29.05, up 330.4% year over year.
  2. Over the past year the stock returned +119.6%, ahead of the S&P 500 by 104.5 percentage points.
  3. The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 171 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Energy sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth90Exceptional

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 38%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 6%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 11%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 27%
  • Revenue growth accelerationTop 18%
Quality57Neutral

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalTop 16%
  • Gross marginBottom 20%
  • Operating marginBottom 37%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 50%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 38%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 47%
  • Interest coverTop 30%
Value86Strong

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldTop 32%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldTop 23%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 43%
  • Sales / enterprise valueTop 18%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 36%
Momentum98Exceptional

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthTop 8%
  • 6-month returnTop 2%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 5%
  • Distance from 52-week highTop 1%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Top 5%
Revisions74Positive

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 20%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsTop 21%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 22%
  • Upside to consensus price targetBottom 8%
Stability53Neutral

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 39%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 42%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 47%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 47%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)-1.4%15.3%↑
EPS growth (YoY)115.3%330.4%↑
Gross margin6.2%11.6%↑
Operating margin3.3%8.0%↑
FCF margin2.7%8.4%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)15.3%-1.4%↑Top 38%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)330.4%115.3%↑Top 6%
Gross margin11.6%6.2%↑Bottom 20%
Operating margin8.0%3.3%↑Bottom 37%
Net margin5.6%1.6%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin8.4%2.7%↑—
Return on invested capital14.2%—Top 16%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR-9.2%—Bottom 27%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
2.00×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-9.1%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
0.0%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
+26.2 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
1.52×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
7.9×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
0.94%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
4.00%
Shareholder yield
4.94%
Share count change, 1 year
-5.8%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
-11.4%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
3
Beats in the last 8 reports
7 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+48.2%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+2.0%
Positive 20 days after report
6 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$405.00
Target vs current price
-4.1%
Analysts with a rating
33
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
76%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Aug 4, 2026+24.2%+1.8%+4.3%+21.6%—
May 5, 2026+123.3%+3.2%-0.0%+4.2%+24.4%
Feb 3, 2026+49.6%+6.0%+15.5%+19.8%+36.7%
Nov 4, 2025-4.4%-6.1%+0.3%-1.6%-10.0%
Aug 5, 2025+22.2%+0.6%-5.6%+7.3%+14.4%
May 6, 2025+55.7%+0.9%+10.3%+13.0%+18.7%
Feb 4, 2025+3401.6%+6.7%+4.6%-3.0%-6.5%
Nov 5, 2024+90.8%+3.2%+7.7%+7.3%+1.4%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Aug 4, 2026$17.73$14.27+24.2%$52.34B
May 5, 2026$1.65$0.74+123.3%$34.57B
Feb 3, 2026$4.07$2.72+49.6%$33.42B
Nov 4, 2025$3.01$3.15-4.4%$34.81B
Aug 5, 2025$3.96$3.24+22.2%$33.80B
May 6, 2025-$0.24-$0.54+55.7%$31.85B
Feb 4, 2025$0.77$0.02+3401.6%$33.47B
Nov 5, 2024$1.87$0.98+90.8%$35.37B

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)14.5×11.3×55thTop 32%
P/E (forward)7.3×———
EV / EBITDA8.6×——Top 43%
EV / Sales0.97×——Top 18%
Free-cash-flow yield10.46%——Top 23%
Earnings yield6.88%——Top 32%

P/E over the past five years

Range 3.5× – 36.6× since Sep 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
+119.6%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
+330.4%
Change in P/E multiple
-57.0%

Most of the move came from earnings growth.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✓ Price above 20-day average
  • ✓ Price above 50-day average
  • ✓ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
70
Days above the 200-day average
171
50-day average slope (20 days)
+14.5%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+8.7%
Distance from 50-day average
+15.6%
Distance from 200-day average
+61.4%
RSI (14)
68.9
Relative volume
0.72×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
35.3%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
69th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.49
Correlation with S&P 500
0.19
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-0.6%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-45.9%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Apr 5, 2024Apr 8, 2025-45.9%252 days226 days (Mar 4, 2026)
Jun 7, 2022Jul 6, 2022-30.2%19 days80 days (Oct 27, 2022)
Apr 3, 2023May 31, 2023-22.7%40 days43 days (Aug 2, 2023)
Jun 8, 2021Jul 19, 2021-20.6%28 days58 days (Oct 8, 2021)
Nov 22, 2022Dec 9, 2022-15.6%12 days28 days (Jan 23, 2023)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$123.29B
P/E (TTM)
14.5
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$29.05
Revenue (TTM)
$153.94B
Dividend yield
0.95%
52-week range
$161.93 – $431.08
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$119.98B$177.45B$148.38B$138.86B$132.70B
Gross profit$6.61B$22.57B$16.51B$9.29B$10.00B
Operating income$4.30B$18.97B$12.59B$5.25B$5.77B
Net income$9.74B$14.52B$9.68B$3.44B$4.05B
EPS (diluted)$2.69$28.12$23.65$10.09$13.27
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$35.11B$33.14B$31.52B$33.80B$34.81B$32.57B$34.57B$51.99B
Net income$622.0M$371.0M-$74.0M$1.22B$1.37B$1.53B$511.0M$5.14B
EPS (diluted)$1.87$1.16-$0.24$3.96$4.51$5.13$1.73$17.68
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$4.36B$16.36B$14.12B$8.66B$8.25B
Capital expenditure-$1.46B-$2.42B-$1.89B-$2.53B-$3.49B
Free cash flow$2.90B$13.94B$12.23B$6.13B$4.77B
Dividends paid-$1.48B-$1.28B-$1.26B-$1.15B-$1.14B
Net share buybacks-$4.55B-$11.68B-$11.51B-$9.16B-$3.46B

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$7.77B
Total assets
$94.31B
Total liabilities
$68.59B
Total debt
$34.29B
Net debt
$26.52B
Shareholders’ equity
$19.08B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Aug 19, 2026$1.00Sep 10, 2026
May 20, 2026$1.00Jun 10, 2026
Feb 18, 2026$1.00Mar 10, 2026
Nov 19, 2025$1.00Dec 10, 2025
Aug 20, 2025$0.91Sep 10, 2025
May 21, 2025$0.91Jun 10, 2025
Feb 19, 2025$0.91Mar 10, 2025
Nov 20, 2024$0.91Dec 10, 2024

Short interest

Shares sold short
7,715,203
Days to cover
3.22
Change vs previous report
+1.5%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

Jun 11, 2015
2-for-1