Stocks · Financial Services · Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
MSCI Inc. MSCI
$535.95 -1.73% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $38.96B
High qualityWeak trend
Next earnings report: Oct 20, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- At 29.5× trailing earnings, the shares trade at the lowest P/E of the company's past five years.
- Net debt is 3.0× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Financial Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 35%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 49%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 43%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 36%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 38%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 2%
- Gross marginTop 12%
- Operating marginTop 6%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 47%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 16%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 34%
- Interest coverTop 17%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 34%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 33%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 38%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 6%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 3%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 31%
- 6-month returnBottom 18%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 30%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 29%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 9%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 33%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 17%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 18%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 19%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 25%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 40%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 33%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 34%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.9% | 11.6% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 19.4% | 20.2% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 82.2% | 83.0% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 53.9% | 55.7% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 48.4% | 47.9% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 11.6% | 10.9% | ↑ | Top 35% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 20.2% | 19.4% | ↑ | Top 49% |
| Gross margin | 83.0% | 82.2% | ↑ | Top 12% |
| Operating margin | 55.7% | 53.9% | ↑ | Top 6% |
| Net margin | 40.7% | 39.5% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 47.9% | 48.4% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 39.4% | — | Top 2% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 11.7% | — | Bottom 36% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.20×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 3.6%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +0.2 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 3.02×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 7.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 1.47%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 6.96%
- Shareholder yield
- 8.43%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -5.7%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -2.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 21, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +1.2%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $701.71
- Target vs current price
- +30.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 27
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 74%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | -1.0% | -10.1% | -8.7% | -11.9% | — |
| Apr 21, 2026 | +2.5% | +5.4% | +4.2% | +3.0% | +12.4% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | +1.3% | +5.7% | -0.0% | -4.3% | +2.8% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | +2.1% | +8.6% | +6.3% | +1.8% | +7.8% |
| Jul 22, 2025 | +0.5% | -8.9% | -4.4% | -3.9% | -4.2% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | +2.0% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +7.3% | +8.8% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | +5.8% | -5.6% | -7.0% | -7.8% | -15.6% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | +2.4% | -2.7% | -1.0% | -0.4% | +4.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | $4.94 | $4.99 | -1.0% | $867.0M |
| Apr 21, 2026 | $4.55 | $4.44 | +2.5% | $850.8M |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $4.66 | $4.60 | +1.3% | $822.5M |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $4.47 | $4.38 | +2.1% | $793.4M |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $4.17 | $4.15 | +0.5% | $772.7M |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $4.00 | $3.92 | +2.0% | $745.8M |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $4.18 | $3.95 | +5.8% | $743.5M |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $3.86 | $3.77 | +2.4% | $724.7M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 29.5× | 41.1× | 0th | Bottom 34% |
| P/E (forward) | 27.2× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 22.1× | — | — | Bottom 38% |
| EV / Sales | 13.54× | — | — | Bottom 6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.10% | — | — | Bottom 33% |
| Earnings yield | 3.39% | — | — | Bottom 34% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 30.4× – 78.0× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -3.0%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +20.2%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -11.2%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -3.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.0%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -4.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -6.4%
- RSI (14)
- 39.3
- Relative volume
- 0.84×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 31.9%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 54th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.84
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.48
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -16.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -26.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | May 9, 2022 | -43.9% | 119 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Jan 27, 2021 | -13.2% | 10 days | 52 days (Apr 13, 2021) |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Oct 4, 2021 | -11.2% | 6 days | 19 days (Oct 29, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $38.96B
- P/E (TTM)
- 29.5
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $18.15
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.33B
- Dividend yield
- 1.48%
- 52-week range
- $501.08 – $644.77
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.04B | $2.25B | $2.53B | $2.86B | $3.13B |
| Gross profit | $1.68B | $1.84B | $2.08B | $2.34B | $2.58B |
| Operating income | $1.07B | $1.21B | $1.38B | $1.53B | $1.71B |
| Net income | $726.0M | $870.6M | $1.15B | $1.11B | $1.20B |
| EPS (diluted) | $8.70 | $10.72 | $14.39 | $14.05 | $15.56 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $724.7M | $743.5M | $745.8M | $772.7M | $793.4M | $822.5M | $850.8M | $867.0M |
| Net income | $280.9M | $305.5M | $288.6M | $303.6M | $325.4M | $284.7M | $406.0M | $342.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.57 | $3.90 | $3.71 | $3.92 | $4.24 | $3.68 | $5.53 | $4.70 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $936.1M | $1.10B | $1.24B | $1.50B | $1.59B |
| Capital expenditure | -$52.8M | -$72.9M | -$90.9M | -$33.8M | -$39.3M |
| Free cash flow | $883.3M | $1.02B | $1.15B | $1.47B | $1.55B |
| Dividends paid | -$302.4M | -$372.9M | -$441.0M | -$509.1M | -$556.5M |
| Net share buybacks | -$198.4M | -$1.40B | -$504.2M | -$885.3M | -$2.48B |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $356.4M
- Total assets
- $5.60B
- Total liabilities
- $8.29B
- Total debt
- $6.54B
- Net debt
- $6.19B
- Shareholders’ equity
- -$2.69B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 21, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | $2.05 | Aug 28, 2026 |
| May 15, 2026 | $2.05 | May 29, 2026 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | $2.05 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | $1.80 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | $1.80 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| May 16, 2025 | $1.80 | May 30, 2025 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | $1.80 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | $1.60 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,335,891
- Days to cover
- 2.77
- Change vs previous report
- +14.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.