Stocks · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Nextdecade Corp NEXT

$6.48 +2.69% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.72B

Expensive vs sectorHigh risk

Next earnings report: Oct 29, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 4 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +40.7%).
  2. The stock is 29% below its highest close of the past year.
  3. Over the past year the stock returned -1.8%, behind the S&P 500 by 16.9 percentage points.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Energy sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth—Not enough data

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

Quality5Very weak

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalBottom 15%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 15%
  • Interest coverBottom 14%
Value1Very weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 9%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 1%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 8%
Momentum30Weak

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 35%
  • 6-month returnBottom 28%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 31%
  • Distance from 52-week highBottom 31%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 45%
Revisions82Strong

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 23%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsTop 15%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 33%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 40%
Stability13Very weak

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 28%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 33%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 25%

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Return on invested capital-1.7%—Bottom 15%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-0.9%
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
-0.8×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
0.00%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
-0.89%
Shareholder yield
-0.89%
Share count change, 1 year
+1.7%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+20.7%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
4
Beats in the last 8 reports
5 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+40.7%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+1.1%
Positive 20 days after report
7 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$8.50
Target vs current price
+31.2%
Analysts with a rating
9
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
44%
Consensus rating
Hold

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Jul 30, 2026+62.1%+6.2%+1.3%+16.1%—
May 1, 2026+0.2%+0.0%-2.7%+1.0%-21.6%
Mar 2, 2026+73.5%+4.1%+4.3%+50.8%+55.3%
Oct 30, 2025+27.0%-1.7%+2.4%+2.2%-11.8%
Jul 31, 2025+0.0%+0.2%-3.1%-6.4%-48.5%
May 6, 2025+22.7%-0.9%+4.7%+11.1%+53.5%
Feb 27, 2025-66.7%+0.1%+5.4%+24.8%+2.5%
Nov 7, 2024-113.6%+0.9%+3.5%+2.3%+25.4%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Jul 30, 2026-$0.25-$0.66+62.1%—
May 1, 2026-$0.66-$0.66+0.2%—
Mar 2, 2026-$0.18-$0.68+73.5%—
Oct 30, 2025-$0.42-$0.58+27.0%—
Jul 31, 2025-$0.23-$0.23+0.0%—
May 6, 2025-$0.34-$0.44+22.7%—
Feb 27, 2025-$0.25-$0.15-66.7%—
Nov 7, 2024-$0.47-$0.22-113.6%—

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
Free-cash-flow yield-223.39%——Bottom 1%
Earnings yield-20.99%——Bottom 9%

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
-4.3%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+1.5%
Distance from 50-day average
-6.8%
Distance from 200-day average
-5.3%
RSI (14)
37.4
Relative volume
1.35×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
53.1%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
15th percentile · Low for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.89
Correlation with S&P 500
0.19
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-28.9%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-60.0%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Jun 8, 2021Feb 14, 2022-62.2%174 days28 days (Mar 25, 2022)
Jul 18, 2025Jan 12, 2026-60.0%122 daysNot yet recovered
Aug 18, 2022Mar 20, 2023-54.4%146 days459 days (Jan 16, 2025)
Dec 11, 2020Mar 17, 2021-51.0%64 days56 days (Jun 7, 2021)
May 27, 2022Jul 1, 2022-43.3%23 days27 days (Aug 10, 2022)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$1.72B
EPS, diluted (TTM)
-$1.36
Revenue (TTM)
$0
52-week range
$4.75 – $9.24
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$0$0$0$0$0
Gross profit-$184,000-$162,000-$6.3M-$12.7M-$12.1M
Operating income-$19.5M-$54.5M-$122.7M-$171.1M-$225.9M
Net income-$22.0M-$60.1M-$162.3M-$61.8M-$306.4M
EPS (diluted)-$0.34-$0.65-$0.94-$0.24-$1.17
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
Net income-$123.2M$65.7M-$88.8M-$60.9M-$109.5M-$47.3M-$136.4M-$65.4M
EPS (diluted)-$0.47$0.25-$0.34-$0.23-$0.42-$0.18-$0.51-$0.25
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow-$18.0M-$40.1M-$73.6M-$95.6M-$169.4M
Capital expenditure-$12.1M-$33.8M-$1.74B-$2.57B-$4.85B
Free cash flow-$30.1M-$73.8M-$1.81B-$2.66B-$5.02B
Dividends paid$0$0$0$0$0
Net share buybacks$557,000$115.0M$244.8M-$6.7M-$16.9M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$83.7M
Total assets
$15.21B
Total liabilities
$12.39B
Total debt
$10.54B
Net debt
$10.45B
Shareholders’ equity
-$57.3M

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).

Short interest

Shares sold short
21,741,027
Days to cover
9.96
Change vs previous report
+0.7%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.