Stocks · Financial Services · Insurance - Brokers

Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. NP

$27.43 +0.70% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $2.57B

High qualityHigh risk

Next earnings report: Nov 11, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. The diluted share count rose 5.9% in a year.
  2. The stock is 22% below its highest close of the past year.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Financial Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth—Not enough data

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

Quality97Exceptional

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalTop 2%
  • Gross marginTop 46%
  • Operating marginTop 6%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 21%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 42%
  • Interest coverTop 21%
Value24Very weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 41%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 29%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 31%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 5%
Momentum43Weak

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthTop 19%
  • 6-month returnTop 41%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 43%
  • Distance from 52-week highBottom 21%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 27%
Revisions55Neutral

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 42%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 43%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 47%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 29%
Stability11Very weak

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 14%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 22%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 42%

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Gross margin67.1%—Top 46%
Operating margin54.1%—Top 6%
Net margin28.4%——
Free-cash-flow margin53.1%——
Return on invested capital49.1%—Top 2%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
1.87×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-33.2%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
18.2%
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
2.03×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
4.3×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
0.00%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
-0.05%
Shareholder yield
-0.05%
Share count change, 1 year
+5.9%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 27, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
1
Beats in the last 8 reports
2 of 4
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+3.3%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
-2.9%
Positive 20 days after report
2 of 4

Analysts

Consensus price target
$33.86
Target vs current price
+23.4%
Analysts with a rating
14
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
50%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Jul 21, 2026+3.5%-4.0%-2.4%-0.3%—
Apr 22, 2026-0.9%+0.8%-4.4%-4.1%+11.4%
Feb 18, 2026+11.5%-6.5%+5.2%+21.0%+44.1%
Nov 12, 2025-0.7%-1.8%-10.3%+5.5%-9.1%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Jul 21, 2026$0.15$0.14+3.5%$55.9M
Apr 22, 2026$0.09$0.09-0.9%$37.8M
Feb 18, 2026$0.11$0.10+11.5%$43.8M
Nov 12, 2025$0.11$0.11-0.7%$44.4M
Sep 3, 2025$0.10——$42.1M
May 4, 2022$0.63$0.38+65.8%$284.8M
Feb 16, 2022$0.45$0.54-16.7%$264.3M
Nov 2, 2021$0.38$0.43-11.6%$267.9M

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)20.0×——Bottom 41%
P/E (forward)50.1×———
EV / EBITDA33.2×——Bottom 31%
EV / Sales19.94×——Bottom 5%
Free-cash-flow yield2.84%——Bottom 29%
Earnings yield5.00%——Bottom 41%

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
-2.5%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+1.7%
Distance from 50-day average
-12.2%
Distance from 200-day average
-0.0%
RSI (14)
31.3
Relative volume
1.31×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
41.6%
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
1.57
Correlation with S&P 500
0.37
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-21.9%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-43.8%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Dec 24, 2025Feb 12, 2026-43.8%33 days60 days (May 11, 2026)
Oct 3, 2025Nov 18, 2025-24.3%32 days25 days (Dec 24, 2025)
Jul 29, 2026Sep 24, 2026-22.8%40 daysNot yet recovered
May 11, 2026Jun 4, 2026-21.5%17 days17 days (Jun 30, 2026)
Jul 1, 2026Jul 23, 2026-12.3%15 days4 days (Jul 29, 2026)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$2.57B
P/E (TTM)
20.0
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$1.37
Revenue (TTM)
$137.4M
52-week range
$14.78 – $35.15
FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$84.9M$119.3M$159.6M
Gross profit$54.5M$79.2M$103.1M
Operating income$45.4M$68.4M$79.9M
Net income$17.9M$34.6M$37.4M
EPS (diluted)$1.04$1.58$0.27
Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$29.4M$42.1M$0$43.8M$37.8M$55.9M
Net income$9.9M$11.6M$11.5M$4.3M$7.3M$15.8M
EPS (diluted)$0.07$0.08$1.18$0.03$0.05$0.11
FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$18.6M$49.9M$51.7M
Capital expenditure-$4.0M-$3.7M-$4.0M
Free cash flow$14.6M$46.2M$47.7M
Dividends paid-$339.0M$0-$175.0M
Net share buybacks$0$0$15.7M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$72.0M
Total assets
$102.2M
Total liabilities
$324.5M
Total debt
$240.0M
Net debt
$168.0M
Shareholders’ equity
-$222.2M

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 27, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
May 12, 2022$0.48Jun 2, 2022
Feb 17, 2022$0.48Mar 2, 2022
Nov 10, 2021$0.48Dec 2, 2021
Aug 12, 2021$0.47Sep 2, 2021
May 13, 2021$0.47Jun 2, 2021
Feb 11, 2021$0.47Mar 2, 2021
Nov 12, 2020$0.47Dec 2, 2020
Aug 13, 2020$0.47Sep 2, 2020

Short interest

Shares sold short
1,807,146
Days to cover
4.54
Change vs previous report
-16.6%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.