Stocks · Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. NSSC
$36.17 -0.06% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.29B
High quality
Next earnings report: Nov 2, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 5 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +16.5%).
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $202.3M, up 11.4% from a year earlier, accelerating from 8.8% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth60Neutral
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 38%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 40%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 45%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 44%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 38%
Quality99Exceptional
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 6%
- Gross marginTop 6%
- Operating marginTop 7%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 45%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 25%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 5%
Value51Neutral
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 39%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 35%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 35%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 14%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 28%
Momentum29Very weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 24%
- 6-month returnBottom 31%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 29%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 40%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 40%
Revisions92Exceptional
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 26%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 24%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 25%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 34%
Stability66Positive
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 16%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 27%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 38%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 5%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.8% | 11.4% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -15.6% | 1.7% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 55.6% | 59.2% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 25.5% | 22.6% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 28.3% | 29.3% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 11.4% | 8.8% | ↑ | Top 38% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 1.7% | -15.6% | ↑ | Bottom 40% |
| Gross margin | 59.2% | 55.6% | ↑ | Top 6% |
| Operating margin | 22.6% | 25.5% | ↓ | Top 7% |
| Net margin | 21.3% | 23.9% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 29.3% | 28.3% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 20.1% | — | Top 6% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 6.0% | — | Top 44% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.42×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -7.6%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +8.1 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -2.44×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 1.57%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -0.05%
- Shareholder yield
- 1.52%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -1.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -1.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 24, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 5
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +16.5%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -5.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $52.00
- Target vs current price
- +43.8%
- Analysts with a rating
- 11
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 73%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | +29.3% | -1.3% | -7.2% | -6.0% | — |
| May 4, 2026 | +11.4% | -15.2% | -12.6% | -24.5% | -22.2% |
| Feb 2, 2026 | +15.2% | +11.2% | +18.3% | +21.1% | +23.7% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | +10.1% | -7.7% | -4.6% | -14.4% | -13.3% |
| Aug 25, 2025 | +17.9% | +6.1% | +20.0% | +33.8% | +26.9% |
| May 5, 2025 | +0.0% | +3.7% | +10.9% | +18.0% | +30.2% |
| Feb 3, 2025 | -17.6% | -26.6% | -29.9% | -35.7% | -37.7% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | -14.3% | -10.6% | +0.2% | +3.5% | -4.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | $0.50 | $0.39 | +29.3% | $55.8M |
| May 4, 2026 | $0.39 | $0.35 | +11.4% | $49.2M |
| Feb 2, 2026 | $0.38 | $0.33 | +15.2% | $48.2M |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $0.34 | $0.31 | +10.1% | $49.2M |
| Aug 25, 2025 | $0.33 | $0.28 | +17.9% | $50.7M |
| May 5, 2025 | $0.28 | $0.28 | +0.0% | $44.0M |
| Feb 3, 2025 | $0.28 | $0.34 | -17.6% | $42.9M |
| Nov 4, 2024 | $0.30 | $0.35 | -14.3% | $44.0M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 30.1× | 34.8× | 33th | Top 39% |
| P/E (forward) | 22.0× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 23.5× | — | — | Bottom 35% |
| EV / Sales | 5.79× | — | — | Bottom 14% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.58% | — | — | Top 35% |
| Earnings yield | 3.32% | — | — | Top 39% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 20.2× – 54.7× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -15.3%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +1.7%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +9.9%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.9%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.1%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -2.2%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -8.7%
- RSI (14)
- 50.0
- Relative volume
- 0.61×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 27.0%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 0th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.19
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.40
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -23.4%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -65.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -65.8% | 159 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jun 12, 2023 | Oct 31, 2023 | -54.3% | 98 days | 65 days (Feb 5, 2024) |
| Dec 27, 2021 | May 11, 2022 | -38.7% | 94 days | 48 days (Jul 21, 2022) |
| Mar 27, 2023 | May 4, 2023 | -30.2% | 27 days | 12 days (May 22, 2023) |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Nov 4, 2022 | -20.4% | 40 days | 61 days (Feb 3, 2023) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.29B
- P/E (TTM)
- 30.1
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.20
- Revenue (TTM)
- $202.3M
- Dividend yield
- 1.69%
- 52-week range
- $33.91 – $51.77
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $143.6M | $170.0M | $188.8M | $181.6M | $202.3M |
| Gross profit | $59.2M | $73.2M | $101.8M | $101.0M | $119.8M |
| Operating income | $18.2M | $30.3M | $53.8M | $46.3M | $45.6M |
| Net income | $19.6M | $27.1M | $49.8M | $43.4M | $43.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.53 | $0.73 | $1.34 | $1.19 | $1.20 |
| Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | Q4 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $44.0M | $42.9M | $44.0M | $50.7M | $49.2M | $48.2M | $49.2M | $55.8M |
| Net income | $11.2M | $10.5M | $10.1M | $11.6M | $12.2M | $13.5M | -$408,000 | $17.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.30 | $0.28 | $0.28 | $0.32 | $0.34 | $0.38 | -$0.01 | $0.49 |
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $8.3M | $24.7M | $45.4M | $53.5M | $61.1M |
| Capital expenditure | -$1.5M | -$3.0M | -$1.6M | -$2.1M | -$1.9M |
| Free cash flow | $6.8M | $21.7M | $43.8M | $51.4M | $59.2M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | -$2.3M | -$13.3M | -$13.6M | -$20.3M |
| Net share buybacks | $155,000 | $85,000 | $427,000 | -$36.8M | $628,000 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $137.6M
- Total assets
- $238.7M
- Total liabilities
- $47.7M
- Total debt
- $5.2M
- Net debt
- -$121.7M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $191.0M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 24, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | $0.17 | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | $0.15 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | $0.15 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | $0.14 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | $0.14 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | $0.14 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | $0.13 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | $0.13 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 2,592,809
- Days to cover
- 6.64
- Change vs previous report
- -2.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jan 5, 2022
- 2-for-1
- Jun 8, 2006
- 3-for-2
- Dec 29, 2005
- 3-for-2
- Nov 18, 2004
- 6-for-5
- Apr 28, 2004
- 2-for-1