Stocks · Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals
Nova Minerals Corp NVA
$5.76 +5.69% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · AMEX · Market cap $98.7M
High risk
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The stock is 60% below its highest close of the past year.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Over the past year the stock returned +49.2%, ahead of the S&P 500 by 34.2 percentage points.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Basic Materials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 14%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 22%
- 6-month returnTop 45%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 12%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 9%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 42%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 15%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 23%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 24%
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on invested capital | -11.4% | — | Bottom 14% |
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 1 of 3
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | — | -3.6% | -15.5% | -5.6% | +9.0% |
| Sep 29, 2025 | — | +7.2% | +42.8% | +108.8% | +132.4% |
| Mar 12, 2025 | — | -0.9% | +2.2% | -18.7% | +25.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | -$2.66 | — | — | $2.6M |
| Sep 29, 2025 | -$1.12 | — | — | — |
| Mar 12, 2025 | -$0.00 | — | — | $1.1M |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 2
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +9.3%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -4.2%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +5.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -9.2%
- RSI (14)
- 52.4
- Relative volume
- 1.00×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 72.5%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 13th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.42
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.16
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -59.9%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -70.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Jul 20, 2026 | -70.2% | 190 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Apr 7, 2025 | -48.4% | 62 days | 122 days (Oct 1, 2025) |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Nov 18, 2024 | -32.9% | 15 days | 16 days (Dec 11, 2024) |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Sep 24, 2024 | -25.5% | 5 days | 8 days (Oct 4, 2024) |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Aug 15, 2024 | -18.3% | 3 days | 2 days (Aug 19, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $98.7M
- 52-week range
- $3.88 – $16.28
| FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0 | $0 |
| Gross profit | -$460,418 | $0 |
| Operating income | -$5.8M | -$24.1M |
| Net income | -$9.8M | $11.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$2.30 | -$43.20 |
| Q2 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net income | -$1.8M | -$7.9M | -$11.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.45 | -$1.71 | -$19.80 |
| FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$7.6M | -$8.8M |
| Capital expenditure | -$5.7M | $0 |
| Free cash flow | -$13.4M | -$8.8M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $8.5M | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $59.1M
- Total assets
- $185.5M
- Total liabilities
- $30.5M
- Total debt
- $6.1M
- Net debt
- -$53.0M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $147.5M
As of Dec 31, 2025 (filed Apr 29, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,277,591
- Days to cover
- 3.08
- Change vs previous report
- +1.3%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Oct 29, 2025
- 5-for-1