Stocks · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Origin Bancorp, Inc. OBK

$53.62 +1.90% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $1.66B

Strong growthStrong trend

Next earnings report: Oct 28, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $3.20, up 42.9% year over year.
  2. The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 216 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
  3. The shares trade at 16.8× trailing earnings, higher than 81% of the company's own readings over the past five years.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Financial Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth87Strong

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 43%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 24%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 27%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 43%
  • Revenue growth accelerationTop 15%
Quality51Neutral

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalBottom 14%
  • Gross marginBottom 42%
  • Operating marginBottom 48%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 19%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 33%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 37%
  • Interest coverBottom 37%
Value56Neutral

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 47%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldTop 32%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 39%
  • Sales / enterprise valueTop 40%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 25%
Momentum96Exceptional

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthTop 5%
  • 6-month returnTop 11%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 5%
  • Distance from 52-week highTop 16%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Top 27%
Revisions33Weak

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 13%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 43%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 12%
  • Upside to consensus price targetBottom 19%
Stability56Neutral

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 29%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 48%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 27%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 37%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)-2.2%4.5%↑
EPS growth (YoY)5.7%42.9%↑
Gross margin58.5%62.4%↑
Operating margin15.2%21.3%↑
FCF margin18.6%28.7%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)4.5%-2.2%↑Bottom 43%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)42.9%5.7%↑Top 24%
Gross margin62.4%58.5%↑Bottom 42%
Operating margin21.3%15.2%↑Bottom 48%
Net margin16.3%12.0%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin28.7%18.6%↑—
Return on invested capital-1.2%—Bottom 14%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR16.6%—Top 43%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
1.96×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-0.9%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
1.5%
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
0.36×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
0.7×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
1.32%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
1.42%
Shareholder yield
2.74%
Share count change, 1 year
-0.5%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+0.3%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
1
Beats in the last 8 reports
3 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
-13.3%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
-0.1%
Positive 20 days after report
6 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$56.00
Target vs current price
+4.4%
Analysts with a rating
5
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
80%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Jul 22, 2026+9.4%-0.3%+6.6%+3.4%—
Apr 22, 2026-1.1%-1.2%+4.4%+1.0%+15.3%
Jan 28, 2026+8.0%-0.7%+8.0%+5.0%+13.6%
Oct 22, 2025-69.7%+0.4%+1.7%-0.8%+18.1%
Jul 23, 2025-39.7%-0.2%-0.1%-2.8%-10.4%
Apr 23, 2025+4.4%+2.0%+2.6%+8.9%+22.5%
Jan 22, 2025-11.5%-0.9%+8.9%+10.5%-14.9%
Oct 23, 2024-6.3%+0.3%-1.6%+6.2%+11.5%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Jul 22, 2026$1.09$1.00+9.4%$107.6M
Apr 22, 2026$0.89$0.90-1.1%$104.0M
Jan 28, 2026$0.95$0.88+8.0%$103.4M
Oct 22, 2025$0.27$0.89-69.7%$108.3M
Jul 23, 2025$0.47$0.78-39.7%$84.7M
Apr 23, 2025$0.71$0.68+4.4%$95.2M
Jan 22, 2025$0.46$0.52-11.5%$77.6M
Oct 23, 2024$0.60$0.64-6.3%$90.0M

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)16.8×11.7×81thBottom 47%
P/E (forward)13.1×———
EV / EBITDA12.3×——Top 39%
EV / Sales2.79×——Top 40%
Free-cash-flow yield10.58%——Top 32%
Earnings yield5.97%——Bottom 47%

P/E over the past five years

Range 8.8× – 18.6× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
+56.2%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
+42.9%
Change in P/E multiple
+7.4%

Most of the move came from earnings growth.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✓ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✓ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
216
50-day average slope (20 days)
+1.5%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+3.7%
Distance from 50-day average
-0.2%
Distance from 200-day average
+14.2%
RSI (14)
52.5
Relative volume
1.18×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
16.9%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
0th percentile · Low for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.90
Correlation with S&P 500
0.51
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-2.9%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-28.2%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Aug 15, 2022May 11, 2023-44.0%186 days741 days (Apr 27, 2026)
Nov 11, 2021May 19, 2022-20.6%130 days59 days (Aug 15, 2022)
Jun 8, 2021Sep 14, 2021-15.5%68 days36 days (Nov 3, 2021)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$1.66B
P/E (TTM)
16.8
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$3.20
Revenue (TTM)
$611.3M
Dividend yield
1.49%
52-week range
$32.13 – $55.57
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$290.5M$377.8M$576.7M$616.8M$598.6M
Gross profit$275.8M$301.8M$336.1M$345.1M$348.5M
Operating income$132.4M$107.4M$105.9M$97.3M$98.8M
Net income$108.5M$87.7M$83.8M$76.5M$75.2M
EPS (diluted)$4.60$3.28$2.71$2.45$2.40
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$159.5M$139.1M$149.2M$137.2M$160.7M$151.4M$148.1M$151.1M
Net income$18.6M$14.3M$22.4M$14.6M$8.6M$29.5M$27.7M$33.8M
EPS (diluted)$0.60$0.46$0.71$0.47$0.27$0.95$0.89$1.09
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$171.5M$145.6M$129.9M$108.5M$158.9M
Capital expenditure-$5.0M-$8.5M-$26.8M-$22.0M-$7.9M
Free cash flow$166.5M$137.2M$103.1M$86.4M$151.1M
Dividends paid-$11.5M-$15.9M-$18.6M-$18.7M-$18.9M
Net share buybacks-$1.1M$2.9M$3.1M$1.9M-$14.9M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$125.0M
Total assets
$10.28B
Total liabilities
$9.00B
Total debt
$136.9M
Net debt
$49.6M
Shareholders’ equity
$1.28B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Aug 14, 2026$0.25Aug 31, 2026
May 15, 2026$0.25May 29, 2026
Feb 13, 2026$0.15Feb 27, 2026
Nov 14, 2025$0.15Nov 28, 2025
Aug 15, 2025$0.15Aug 29, 2025
May 15, 2025$0.15May 30, 2025
Feb 14, 2025$0.15Feb 28, 2025
Nov 15, 2024$0.15Nov 29, 2024

Short interest

Shares sold short
719,604
Days to cover
5.03
Change vs previous report
+2.6%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.