Stocks · Industrials · Industrial - Machinery
Douglas Dynamics, Inc. PLOW
$40.51 +2.04% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $936.8M
Inexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 2, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 9 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +58.7%).
- Net debt is 3.0× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 23%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 26%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 35%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 38%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 22%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 28%
- Gross marginBottom 47%
- Operating marginTop 32%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 28%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 24%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 31%
- Interest coverTop 32%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 16%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 30%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 32%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 42%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 22%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 28%
- 6-month returnBottom 42%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 32%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 48%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 40%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 11%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 12%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 37%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 39%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 21%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 15%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 19%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 31%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 15.5% | 20.1% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -18.3% | -21.0% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 26.6% | 27.3% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 17.0% | 11.3% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 6.4% | 7.0% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 20.1% | 15.5% | ↑ | Top 23% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -21.0% | -18.3% | ↓ | Bottom 26% |
| Gross margin | 27.3% | 26.6% | ↑ | Bottom 47% |
| Operating margin | 11.3% | 17.0% | ↓ | Top 32% |
| Net margin | 7.5% | 11.4% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 7.0% | 6.4% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 9.4% | — | Top 28% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 2.1% | — | Bottom 38% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.18×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -1.3%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -9.1 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 3.03×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 7.1×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 3.01%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.64%
- Shareholder yield
- 3.65%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -0.4%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +0.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 3, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 9
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 8 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +58.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -1.2%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $56.50
- Target vs current price
- +39.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 8
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 50%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | +13.0% | -4.8% | +0.5% | -5.2% | — |
| May 4, 2026 | +200.0% | -3.3% | -1.8% | -4.8% | -7.0% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | +10.7% | -0.4% | +7.3% | -5.4% | +3.4% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | +11.1% | -1.8% | +1.8% | +5.8% | +24.0% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | +35.7% | +1.5% | +10.6% | +20.6% | +12.6% |
| May 5, 2025 | +156.3% | -0.6% | +11.1% | +11.0% | +15.6% |
| Feb 24, 2025 | +5.4% | -1.6% | +4.8% | -8.2% | +11.0% |
| Oct 28, 2024 | +4.3% | +1.6% | -10.5% | -1.4% | +0.5% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | $1.22 | $1.08 | +13.0% | $214.6M |
| May 4, 2026 | $0.36 | $0.12 | +200.0% | $137.8M |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $0.62 | $0.56 | +10.7% | $184.5M |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $0.40 | $0.36 | +11.1% | $162.1M |
| Aug 4, 2025 | $1.14 | $0.84 | +35.7% | $194.3M |
| May 5, 2025 | $0.09 | -$0.16 | +156.3% | $115.1M |
| Feb 24, 2025 | $0.39 | $0.37 | +5.4% | $143.5M |
| Oct 28, 2024 | $0.24 | $0.23 | +4.3% | $129.4M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 18.4× | 22.3× | 24th | Top 16% |
| P/E (forward) | 12.6× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 12.9× | — | — | Top 32% |
| EV / Sales | 1.75× | — | — | Top 42% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 5.22% | — | — | Top 30% |
| Earnings yield | 5.43% | — | — | Top 16% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 9.4× – 28.0× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +29.7%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -21.0%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +85.3%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -6.4%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.0%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -2.8%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -4.7%
- RSI (14)
- 49.9
- Relative volume
- 0.85×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 29.8%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 41th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.71
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.32
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -25.3%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -31.6%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | Jul 9, 2024 | -58.1% | 835 days | 492 days (Jun 25, 2026) |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | -27.6% | 65 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Jan 27, 2021 | -10.8% | 10 days | 6 days (Feb 4, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $936.8M
- P/E (TTM)
- 18.4
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $2.20
- Revenue (TTM)
- $699.1M
- Dividend yield
- 2.91%
- 52-week range
- $28.52 – $55.00
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $541.5M | $616.1M | $568.2M | $568.5M | $656.1M |
| Gross profit | $141.9M | $151.5M | $134.3M | $146.8M | $174.7M |
| Operating income | $51.1M | $58.8M | $44.9M | $47.6M | $73.6M |
| Net income | $30.7M | $38.6M | $23.7M | $56.2M | $46.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.29 | $1.63 | $1.01 | $2.36 | $1.97 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $129.4M | $143.5M | $115.1M | $194.3M | $162.1M | $184.5M | $137.8M | $214.6M |
| Net income | $32.3M | $7.9M | $148,000 | $26.0M | $8.0M | $12.8M | $6.4M | $25.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.36 | $0.33 | $0.01 | $1.09 | $0.33 | $0.54 | $0.26 | $1.07 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $60.5M | $40.0M | $12.5M | $41.1M | $74.7M |
| Capital expenditure | -$11.2M | -$12.0M | -$10.5M | -$7.8M | -$11.1M |
| Free cash flow | $49.3M | $28.0M | $1.9M | $33.3M | $63.6M |
| Dividends paid | -$26.5M | -$27.0M | -$27.4M | -$27.5M | -$27.9M |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | -$6.0M | $0 | $0 | -$6.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.9M
- Total assets
- $725.7M
- Total liabilities
- $430.0M
- Total debt
- $290.2M
- Net debt
- $288.3M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $299.7M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 3, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | $0.30 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | $0.30 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | $0.30 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | $0.30 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Sep 16, 2025 | $0.30 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Jun 17, 2025 | $0.30 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Mar 18, 2025 | $0.30 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Dec 16, 2024 | $0.30 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 494,017
- Days to cover
- 2.82
- Change vs previous report
- +7.5%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- May 7, 2010
- 23-for-1