Stocks · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Redwire Corp RDW
$10.88 +2.93% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $2.60B
Strong growthExpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count rose 146.2% in a year.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $426.3M, up 63.1% from a year earlier, accelerating from 33.6% a quarter earlier.
- The stock is 58% below its highest close of the past year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 6%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 9%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 4%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 11%
- Gross marginBottom 30%
- Operating marginBottom 7%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 21%
- Interest coverBottom 9%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 18%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 20%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 11%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 19%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 45%
- 6-month returnTop 39%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 40%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 13%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 40%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 6%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 16%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 16%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 43%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 12%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 12%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 2%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 33.6% | 63.1% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 2.5% | 20.1% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | -52.7% | -50.3% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -59.3% | -24.1% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 63.1% | 33.6% | ↑ | Top 6% |
| Gross margin | 20.1% | 2.5% | ↑ | Bottom 30% |
| Operating margin | -50.3% | -52.7% | ↑ | Bottom 7% |
| Net margin | -57.3% | -72.0% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -24.1% | -59.3% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -12.2% | — | Bottom 11% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 27.8% | — | Top 9% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -8.6%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 17.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -49.8 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- Net cash
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -13.7×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -29.18%
- Shareholder yield
- -29.18%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +146.2%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +50.8%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 1 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.8%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $14.88
- Target vs current price
- +36.8%
- Analysts with a rating
- 10
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 80%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | -21.6% | +0.8% | +27.1% | -3.5% | — |
| May 6, 2026 | -150.0% | +11.1% | +33.2% | +114.5% | -0.7% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | -262.5% | +2.4% | +6.3% | +7.5% | +75.4% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -141.7% | +5.0% | -11.8% | -19.9% | +56.5% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | -1181.8% | -6.9% | -36.0% | -43.4% | -46.6% |
| May 12, 2025 | +54.5% | -6.6% | +8.1% | +76.5% | +21.1% |
| Mar 10, 2025 | -666.7% | -6.6% | -12.1% | -37.7% | +23.1% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | -146.7% | +7.3% | +25.8% | +64.8% | +198.6% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | -$0.19 | -$0.16 | -21.6% | $117.1M |
| May 6, 2026 | -$0.40 | -$0.16 | -150.0% | $97.0M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | -$0.58 | -$0.16 | -262.5% | $108.8M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -$0.29 | -$0.12 | -141.7% | $103.4M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | -$1.41 | -$0.11 | -1181.8% | $61.8M |
| May 12, 2025 | -$0.09 | -$0.20 | +54.5% | $61.4M |
| Mar 10, 2025 | -$1.38 | -$0.18 | -666.7% | $69.6M |
| Nov 6, 2024 | -$0.37 | -$0.15 | -146.7% | $68.6M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 4.99× | — | — | Bottom 19% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -3.96% | — | — | Bottom 20% |
| Earnings yield | -13.42% | — | — | Bottom 18% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +3.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +4.7%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -1.9%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -1.6%
- RSI (14)
- 48.0
- Relative volume
- 1.16×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 80.1%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 44th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 3.09
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.41
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -58.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -80.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | Dec 28, 2022 | -87.3% | 295 days | 480 days (Nov 25, 2024) |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Nov 20, 2025 | -80.3% | 194 days | 128 days (May 28, 2026) |
| May 28, 2026 | Jul 29, 2026 | -70.0% | 42 days | Not yet recovered |
| Sep 9, 2021 | Oct 6, 2021 | -31.5% | 19 days | 13 days (Oct 25, 2021) |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Jan 14, 2025 | -23.8% | 6 days | 4 days (Jan 21, 2025) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $2.60B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$1.46
- Revenue (TTM)
- $426.3M
- 52-week range
- $4.87 – $26.64
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $137.6M | $160.5M | $243.8M | $304.1M | $335.4M |
| Gross profit | $29.4M | $28.7M | $58.0M | $44.5M | $17.3M |
| Operating income | -$70.2M | -$146.4M | -$15.5M | -$42.2M | -$229.7M |
| Net income | -$61.5M | -$130.6M | -$27.3M | -$114.3M | -$226.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.98 | -$2.03 | -$0.73 | -$2.35 | -$2.28 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $68.6M | $69.6M | $61.4M | $61.8M | $103.4M | $108.8M | $97.0M | $117.1M |
| Net income | -$21.0M | -$67.2M | -$2.9M | -$97.0M | -$41.2M | -$85.5M | -$76.5M | -$41.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.37 | -$1.38 | -$0.09 | -$1.41 | -$0.29 | -$0.58 | -$0.40 | -$0.19 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$37.4M | -$31.7M | $1.2M | -$17.3M | -$177.3M |
| Capital expenditure | -$2.9M | -$4.2M | -$8.3M | -$6.4M | -$13.5M |
| Free cash flow | -$40.2M | -$35.8M | -$7.1M | -$23.7M | -$190.8M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $3.0M | $1.2M | $2.7M | $454.5M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $557.7M
- Total assets
- $1.94B
- Total liabilities
- $313.5M
- Total debt
- $87.1M
- Net debt
- -$470.6M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $1.63B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 42,660,715
- Days to cover
- 3.78
- Change vs previous report
- +6.1%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.