Stocks · Energy · Solar

Sunrun Inc. RUN

$7.71 +0.92% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.84B

Strong growthWeak trendHigh risk

Next earnings report: Nov 5, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Operating margin widened to 2.7% from -169.7% a year earlier.
  2. Revenue over the last four quarters was $3.48B, up 63.2% from a year earlier, accelerating from 52.4% a quarter earlier.
  3. Over the past year the stock returned -58.0%, behind the S&P 500 by 73.1 percentage points.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Energy sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth97Exceptional

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 8%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 27%
  • Revenue growth accelerationTop 29%
Quality6Very weak

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalBottom 20%
  • Gross marginTop 46%
  • Operating marginBottom 22%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 1%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 11%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 1%
  • Interest coverBottom 18%
Value23Very weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldTop 2%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 3%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 18%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 20%
Momentum4Very weak

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 5%
  • 6-month returnBottom 6%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 5%
  • Distance from 52-week highBottom 7%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Revisions99Exceptional

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 6%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsTop 5%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 41%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 5%
Stability5Very weak

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 20%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 14%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 10%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 1%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)52.4%63.2%↑
Gross margin18.5%34.5%↑
Operating margin-169.7%2.7%↑
FCF margin-108.0%-39.2%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)63.2%52.4%↑Top 8%
Gross margin34.5%18.5%↑Top 46%
Operating margin2.7%-169.7%↑Bottom 22%
Net margin2.3%-120.6%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin-39.2%-108.0%↑—
Return on invested capital0.4%—Bottom 20%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR8.4%—Top 27%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
-2.00×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
1.2%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
2.2%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
-37.0 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
20.41×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
0.1×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
0.00%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
-0.52%
Shareholder yield
-0.52%
Share count change, 1 year
+4.9%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+7.3%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
7
Beats in the last 8 reports
7 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+100.0%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
-1.7%
Positive 20 days after report
3 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$16.78
Target vs current price
+117.6%
Analysts with a rating
37
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
62%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Aug 5, 2026+86.3%-4.9%-9.1%-24.1%—
May 6, 2026+1340.0%-4.7%+4.8%+10.3%-27.1%
Feb 26, 2026+575.0%+4.5%-37.7%-33.3%-26.1%
Nov 6, 2025+500.0%-0.8%-5.6%-10.9%-10.3%
Aug 6, 2025+694.4%-3.7%+21.2%+74.9%+113.6%
May 7, 2025+190.9%+4.7%+68.6%+15.6%+39.5%
Feb 27, 2025+622.2%-5.7%-17.8%-26.0%-20.0%
Nov 7, 2024-131.3%-2.5%-13.7%-12.9%-26.7%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Aug 5, 2026$0.42$0.23+86.3%$870.0M
May 6, 2026$0.62-$0.05+1340.0%$722.2M
Feb 26, 2026$0.38-$0.08+575.0%$1.16B
Nov 6, 2025$0.06$0.01+500.0%$724.6M
Aug 6, 2025$1.07-$0.18+694.4%$569.3M
May 7, 2025$0.20-$0.22+190.9%$504.3M
Feb 27, 2025$1.41-$0.27+622.2%$518.5M
Nov 7, 2024-$0.37-$0.16-131.3%$537.2M

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)5.2×——Top 2%
P/E (forward)6.3×———
EV / EBITDA23.0×——Bottom 18%
EV / Sales4.70×——Bottom 20%
Free-cash-flow yield-74.05%——Bottom 3%
Earnings yield19.20%——Top 2%

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
-15.2%
200-day average slope (20 days)
-6.9%
Distance from 50-day average
-15.0%
Distance from 200-day average
-43.1%
RSI (14)
37.2
Relative volume
0.90×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
59.8%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
4th percentile · Low for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
1.27
Correlation with S&P 500
0.21
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-64.0%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-73.6%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Jan 8, 2021Apr 8, 2025-94.1%1066 daysNot yet recovered
Oct 1, 2020Oct 30, 2020-34.9%21 days45 days (Jan 6, 2021)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$1.84B
P/E (TTM)
5.2
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$1.48
Revenue (TTM)
$3.48B
52-week range
$7.47 – $22.44
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$1.61B$2.32B$2.26B$2.04B$2.96B
Gross profit$244.5M$298.7M$163.1M$328.6M$792.5M
Operating income-$666.2M-$662.2M-$1.98B-$3.70B-$126.1M
Net income-$79.4M$173.4M-$1.60B-$2.85B$449.9M
EPS (diluted)-$4.78$0.79-$7.41-$12.81$1.71
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$537.2M$518.5M$504.3M$569.3M$724.6M$1.16B$722.2M$870.0M
Net income-$83.8M-$2.81B$50.0M$280.4M$16.6M$103.6M$167.6M-$208.2M
EPS (diluted)-$1.84-$12.51$0.20$1.07$0.06$0.38$0.62$0.42
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow-$817.2M-$848.8M-$820.7M-$766.2M-$421.4M
Capital expenditure-$1.69B-$2.01B-$2.61B-$2.70B-$1.8M
Free cash flow-$2.50B-$2.86B-$3.43B-$3.47B-$423.2M
Dividends paid$0$0$0$0$0
Net share buybacks$36.1M$32.9M$22.6M$18.9M$16.8M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$712.4M
Total assets
$23.36B
Total liabilities
$18.15B
Total debt
$15.21B
Net debt
$14.49B
Shareholders’ equity
$3.49B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).

Short interest

Shares sold short
71,121,215
Days to cover
10.14
Change vs previous report
+3.8%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.