Stocks · Industrials · Industrial - Machinery
Serve Robotics Inc. SERV
$4.62 -2.74% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $357.1M
Strong growthWeak trendExpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 11, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $7.8M, up 426.4% from a year earlier, accelerating from 297.7% a quarter earlier.
- Operating margin widened to -2476.9% from -4032.2% a year earlier.
- The diluted share count rose 39.6% in a year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth100Exceptional
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 1%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 1%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 1%
Quality4Very weak
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 3%
- Gross marginBottom 1%
- Operating marginBottom 1%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 16%
- Interest coverBottom 1%
Value1Very weak
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 6%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 4%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 1%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 2%
Momentum7Very weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 5%
- 6-month returnBottom 4%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 5%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 5%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 40%
Revisions40Weak
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 21%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 16%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 29%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 27%
Stability8Very weak
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 22%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 11%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 6%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 297.7% | 426.4% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | -347.3% | -370.1% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -4032.2% | -2476.9% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -3790.9% | -2184.8% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 426.4% | 297.7% | ↑ | Top 1% |
| Gross margin | -370.1% | -347.3% | ↓ | Bottom 1% |
| Operating margin | -2476.9% | -4032.2% | ↑ | Bottom 1% |
| Net margin | -2316.0% | -3728.9% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -2184.8% | -3790.9% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -52.1% | — | Bottom 3% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 190.8% | — | Top 1% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -10.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 449.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +310.1 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- Net cash
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -30137.0×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -68.71%
- Shareholder yield
- -68.71%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +39.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +29.5%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 2 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -14.2%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +2.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 2 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $7.00
- Target vs current price
- +51.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 23
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 70%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -16.8% | +0.4% | -14.7% | -14.0% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | +0.0% | -5.1% | -9.9% | -12.2% | -41.0% |
| Mar 11, 2026 | +6.1% | +10.1% | -0.5% | -13.4% | -13.0% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | -45.9% | +1.4% | -13.2% | +18.3% | +3.4% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | -56.5% | +1.4% | +0.0% | -4.8% | +24.8% |
| May 8, 2025 | +23.8% | +9.5% | +50.8% | +91.3% | +75.8% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | -21.1% | -4.3% | -9.1% | -29.0% | +41.3% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | +0.0% | +7.3% | -17.1% | -5.6% | +59.1% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -$0.80 | -$0.69 | -16.8% | $3.2M |
| May 7, 2026 | -$0.65 | -$0.65 | +0.0% | $3.0M |
| Mar 11, 2026 | -$0.46 | -$0.49 | +6.1% | $882,000 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | -$0.54 | -$0.37 | -45.9% | $686,535 |
| Aug 7, 2025 | -$0.36 | -$0.23 | -56.5% | $642,000 |
| May 8, 2025 | -$0.16 | -$0.21 | +23.8% | $440,465 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | -$0.23 | -$0.19 | -21.1% | $175,842 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | -$0.20 | -$0.20 | +0.0% | $221,555 |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 36.92× | — | — | Bottom 2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -47.67% | — | — | Bottom 4% |
| Earnings yield | -53.03% | — | — | Bottom 6% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -9.9%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -7.2%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -3.2%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -43.0%
- RSI (14)
- 49.3
- Relative volume
- 0.92×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 69.0%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 7th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 2.39
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.40
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -73.9%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -81.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | Sep 16, 2026 | -81.3% | 398 days | Not yet recovered |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Jun 26, 2024 | -74.9% | 71 days | 16 days (Jul 19, 2024) |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Sep 10, 2024 | -65.3% | 30 days | 81 days (Jan 6, 2025) |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Jan 13, 2025 | -35.4% | 4 days | 22 days (Feb 13, 2025) |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Mar 12, 2024 | -24.8% | 1 days | 1 days (Mar 13, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $357.1M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$2.45
- Revenue (TTM)
- $7.8M
- 52-week range
- $4.17 – $18.64
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0 | $107,819 | $207,545 | $1.8M | $2.7M |
| Gross profit | -$42,469 | -$1.0M | -$1.5M | -$75,156 | -$15.4M |
| Operating income | -$10.6M | -$21.0M | -$20.7M | -$38.3M | -$112.8M |
| Net income | -$21.7M | -$21.9M | -$24.8M | -$39.2M | -$101.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.58 | -$0.59 | -$0.67 | -$1.07 | -$1.63 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $221,555 | $175,842 | $440,465 | $642,000 | $686,535 | $882,000 | $3.0M | $3.2M |
| Net income | -$8.0M | -$13.1M | -$13.2M | -$20.9M | -$33.0M | -$34.3M | -$49.0M | -$64.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.20 | -$0.36 | -$0.36 | -$0.36 | -$0.54 | -$0.46 | -$0.65 | -$0.80 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$10.7M | -$21.4M | -$16.0M | -$21.5M | -$80.2M |
| Capital expenditure | -$162,085 | -$3.6M | -$4,914 | -$10.3M | -$37.3M |
| Free cash flow | -$10.9M | -$25.0M | -$16.0M | -$31.8M | -$117.6M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $4,400 | $12.9M | -$3 | $113.4M | $261.4M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $235.4M
- Total assets
- $378.6M
- Total liabilities
- $26.8M
- Total debt
- $9.7M
- Net debt
- -$69.4M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $351.8M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2011 | $0.01 | Jul 15, 2011 |
| Mar 23, 2011 | $0.01 | Apr 15, 2011 |
| Dec 21, 2010 | $0.01 | Jan 10, 2011 |
| Sep 9, 2010 | $0.01 | Oct 4, 2010 |
| Jun 22, 2010 | $0.01 | Jul 15, 2010 |
| Mar 29, 2010 | $0.01 | Apr 21, 2010 |
| Dec 14, 2009 | $0.01 | Jan 5, 2010 |
| Sep 23, 2009 | $0.01 | Oct 12, 2009 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 32,083,311
- Days to cover
- 11.45
- Change vs previous report
- +4.7%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Oct 1, 2018
- 1,493-for-1,000