Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Smithfield Foods, Inc. SFD
$18.86 +1.51% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $7.42B
Inexpensive vs sectorLow risk
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- At 7.0× trailing earnings, the shares trade at the lowest P/E of the company's past five years.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 4 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +12.6%).
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 46%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 34%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 49%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 24%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 14%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 32%
- Gross marginBottom 13%
- Operating marginTop 40%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 16%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 10%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 27%
- Interest coverTop 12%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 1%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 22%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 4%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 17%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 5%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 47%
- 6-month returnBottom 7%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 42%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 32%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 35%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 27%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 2%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 16%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 21%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 28%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 35%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 27%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 7.5% | 4.0% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -3.0% | 14.0% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 13.6% | 13.2% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 8.1% | 8.7% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 5.0% | 5.2% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 4.0% | 7.5% | ↓ | Top 46% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 14.0% | -3.0% | ↑ | Top 34% |
| Gross margin | 13.2% | 13.6% | ↓ | Bottom 13% |
| Operating margin | 8.7% | 8.1% | ↑ | Top 40% |
| Net margin | 6.9% | 6.1% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 5.2% | 5.0% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 9.8% | — | Top 32% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -1.4% | — | Bottom 24% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.09×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -0.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +26.6 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 0.64×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 38.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 6.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 6.00%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.5%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 11, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 4
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +12.6%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 7
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $30.50
- Target vs current price
- +61.7%
- Analysts with a rating
- 4
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 100%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | +3.5% | -2.3% | -7.5% | -9.9% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | +10.3% | -6.4% | -7.4% | -8.6% | -9.2% |
| Mar 24, 2026 | +22.8% | +4.3% | +15.4% | +23.5% | +6.6% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | +13.7% | +4.8% | +1.8% | -2.0% | +5.5% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | -13.2% | -2.6% | +1.4% | -7.3% | -12.5% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | +23.4% | +8.8% | +13.5% | +15.1% | +19.5% |
| Mar 25, 2025 | -1.9% | -2.3% | +4.0% | +0.8% | +19.3% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $0.62 | $0.60 | +3.5% | $3.70B |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $0.64 | $0.58 | +10.3% | $3.80B |
| Mar 24, 2026 | $0.83 | $0.68 | +22.8% | $4.23B |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.58 | $0.51 | +13.7% | $3.75B |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $0.48 | $0.55 | -13.2% | $3.79B |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $0.58 | $0.47 | +23.4% | $3.77B |
| Mar 25, 2025 | $0.52 | $0.53 | -1.9% | $3.95B |
| Jan 21, 2025 | $0.52 | $0.54 | -3.4% | $3.33B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 7.0× | 9.9× | 0th | Top 1% |
| P/E (forward) | 8.5× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.1× | — | — | Top 4% |
| EV / Sales | 0.55× | — | — | Top 17% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 10.81% | — | — | Top 22% |
| Earnings yield | 14.21% | — | — | Top 1% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 8.1× – 14.2× since Sep 30, 2024. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -19.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +14.0%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -14.6%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -8.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.8%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -15.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -22.8%
- RSI (14)
- 25.1
- Relative volume
- 0.74×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 26.8%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 56th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.27
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.14
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -36.3%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -37.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Oct 1, 2026 | -37.2% | 121 days | Not yet recovered |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Nov 24, 2025 | -18.5% | 65 days | 84 days (Mar 27, 2026) |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Mar 10, 2025 | -14.7% | 24 days | 36 days (Apr 30, 2025) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $7.42B
- P/E (TTM)
- 7.0
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $2.68
- Revenue (TTM)
- $15.44B
- Dividend yield
- 6.30%
- 52-week range
- $18.51 – $29.81
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $15.01B | $16.20B | $14.64B | $14.14B | $15.53B |
| Gross profit | $1.57B | $1.50B | $889.0M | $1.90B | $2.09B |
| Operating income | $521.0M | $1.12B | -$56.0M | $1.12B | $1.29B |
| Net income | $472.0M | $870.0M | $17.0M | $953.0M | $987.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.20 | $2.21 | $0.04 | $2.42 | $2.51 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.33B | $3.95B | $3.77B | $3.79B | $3.75B | $4.23B | $3.80B | $3.67B |
| Net income | $292.0M | $204.0M | $224.0M | $188.0M | $248.0M | $327.0M | $245.0M | $238.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.74 | $0.55 | $0.58 | $0.48 | $0.63 | $0.83 | $0.62 | $0.60 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $786.0M | $517.0M | $1.03B | $1.14B | $1.06B |
| Capital expenditure | -$213.0M | -$338.0M | -$401.0M | -$350.0M | -$341.0M |
| Free cash flow | $573.0M | $179.0M | $633.0M | $787.0M | $718.0M |
| Dividends paid | -$192.0M | -$496.0M | -$323.0M | -$288.0M | -$396.0M |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $236.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.35B
- Total assets
- $12.01B
- Total liabilities
- $4.70B
- Total debt
- $2.40B
- Net debt
- $1.05B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $7.00B
As of Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 11, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | $0.31 | Aug 27, 2026 |
| May 14, 2026 | $0.31 | May 28, 2026 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | $0.31 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | $0.25 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | $0.25 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| May 15, 2025 | $0.25 | May 29, 2025 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | $0.25 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 5,613,748
- Days to cover
- 2.80
- Change vs previous report
- +22.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.