Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
The Simply Good Foods Company SMPL
$9.83 -0.51% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $869.4M
Weak trendHigh risk
Next earnings report: Oct 22, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $-2.17, down 251.7% year over year.
- The diluted share count fell 11.5% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
- Operating margin narrowed to 5.9% from 16.6% a year earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 21%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 7%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 21%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 28%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 11%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 27%
- Gross marginBottom 46%
- Operating marginBottom 49%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 10%
- Interest coverBottom 43%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 13%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 14%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 5%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 34%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 5%
- 6-month returnBottom 10%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 5%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 8%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 49%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 34%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 29%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 20%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 18%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 15%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 35%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 0.3% | -4.5% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -182.6% | -251.7% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 36.3% | 32.1% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 16.6% | 5.9% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 11.9% | 8.6% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -4.5% | 0.3% | ↓ | Bottom 21% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -251.7% | -182.6% | ↓ | Bottom 7% |
| Gross margin | 32.1% | 36.3% | ↓ | Bottom 46% |
| Operating margin | 5.9% | 16.6% | ↓ | Bottom 49% |
| Net margin | -14.3% | 10.0% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 8.6% | 11.9% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 3.2% | — | Bottom 27% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 7.5% | — | Top 28% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -16.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.6%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +6.8 pp
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 4.1×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 27.35%
- Shareholder yield
- 27.35%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -11.5%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -3.8%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through May 30, 2026 (filed Jul 9, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 3
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +9.4%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -2.2%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $14.89
- Target vs current price
- +51.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 24
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 63%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | +20.0% | +1.3% | -7.5% | -12.9% | -23.1% |
| Apr 9, 2026 | +12.5% | -18.1% | -18.7% | -12.4% | -10.1% |
| Jan 8, 2026 | +8.3% | +6.6% | +8.4% | -10.3% | -26.6% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | -3.1% | -17.3% | -21.1% | -22.3% | -15.8% |
| Jul 10, 2025 | +0.0% | -0.1% | +2.3% | -7.9% | -24.8% |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +14.7% | +9.2% | +13.6% | +6.6% | -4.9% |
| Jan 8, 2025 | +6.5% | -2.5% | -10.3% | +0.7% | -7.9% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | +0.9% | +3.3% | +5.2% | +21.4% | +15.2% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | $0.42 | $0.35 | +20.0% | $357.0M |
| Apr 9, 2026 | $0.45 | $0.40 | +12.5% | $326.0M |
| Jan 8, 2026 | $0.39 | $0.36 | +8.3% | $340.2M |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $0.46 | $0.47 | -3.1% | $369.0M |
| Jul 10, 2025 | $0.51 | $0.51 | +0.0% | $381.0M |
| Apr 9, 2025 | $0.46 | $0.40 | +14.7% | $359.7M |
| Jan 8, 2025 | $0.49 | $0.46 | +6.5% | $341.3M |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $0.50 | $0.50 | +0.9% | $375.7M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 6.0× | — | — | — |
| EV / Sales | 0.82× | — | — | Top 34% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 13.74% | — | — | Top 14% |
| Earnings yield | -22.08% | — | — | Bottom 13% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 19.4× – 247.8× since May 29, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -60.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -251.7%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -9.8%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -8.2%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -6.3%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -6.9%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -28.7%
- RSI (14)
- 43.7
- Relative volume
- 0.65×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 52.2%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 92th percentile · High for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.58
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.20
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -61.4%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -77.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | Sep 24, 2026 | -78.8% | 1112 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jan 4, 2022 | Jan 26, 2022 | -20.2% | 15 days | 55 days (Apr 14, 2022) |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Mar 24, 2021 | -17.4% | 5 days | 25 days (Apr 29, 2021) |
| Oct 2, 2020 | Oct 29, 2020 | -17.1% | 19 days | 10 days (Nov 12, 2020) |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Jan 19, 2021 | -13.9% | 11 days | 34 days (Mar 9, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $869.4M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$2.17
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.39B
- 52-week range
- $9.38 – $25.66
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.01B | $1.17B | $1.24B | $1.33B | $1.45B |
| Gross profit | $392.8M | $428.3M | $436.0M | $494.6M | $508.8M |
| Operating income | $180.9M | $203.3M | $204.9M | $221.0M | $218.6M |
| Net income | $40.9M | $108.6M | $133.6M | $139.3M | $103.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.42 | $1.08 | $1.32 | $1.38 | $1.02 |
| Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $375.7M | $341.3M | $359.7M | $381.0M | $369.0M | $340.2M | $326.0M | $357.0M |
| Net income | $29.3M | $38.1M | $36.7M | $41.1M | -$12.4M | $25.3M | -$159.7M | -$52.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.29 | $0.38 | $0.36 | $0.40 | -$0.12 | $0.26 | -$1.73 | -$0.58 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $132.1M | $110.1M | $168.4M | $214.5M | $178.5M |
| Capital expenditure | -$6.7M | -$5.8M | -$12.2M | -$6.5M | -$20.5M |
| Free cash flow | $125.4M | $104.3M | $156.2M | $208.0M | $157.9M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $700,000 | -$55.5M | -$11.2M | $4.3M | -$38.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $123.9M
- Total assets
- $2.06B
- Total liabilities
- $644.3M
- Total debt
- $397.0M
- Net debt
- $273.2M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $1.42B
As of May 30, 2026 (filed Jul 9, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | $0.09 | Feb 20, 2015 |
| Nov 6, 2014 | $0.09 | Nov 26, 2014 |
| Aug 13, 2014 | $0.09 | Aug 28, 2014 |
| May 13, 2014 | $0.09 | May 30, 2014 |
| Feb 12, 2014 | $0.08 | Feb 28, 2014 |
| Nov 7, 2013 | $0.08 | Nov 27, 2013 |
| Aug 15, 2013 | $0.08 | Aug 30, 2013 |
| May 9, 2013 | $0.08 | May 29, 2013 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 7,632,717
- Days to cover
- 3.42
- Change vs previous report
- +3.3%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.