Stocks · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. SPCE
$3.03 +1.34% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $389.5M
Expensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 12, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin narrowed to -24587.8% from -18967.7% a year earlier.
- The diluted share count rose 142.7% in a year.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $1.0M, down 38.9% from a year earlier, accelerating from -76.2% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 1%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 6%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 3%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 4%
- Gross marginBottom 1%
- Operating marginBottom 1%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 48%
- Interest coverBottom 7%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 2%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 2%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 2%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 1%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 18%
- 6-month returnTop 25%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 24%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 10%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 27%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 28%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 24%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 12%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 3%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 29%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 2%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 5%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -76.2% | -38.9% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | -4821.7% | -10262.8% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -18967.7% | -24587.8% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -27708.0% | -37231.3% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -38.9% | -76.2% | ↑ | Bottom 1% |
| Gross margin | -10262.8% | -4821.7% | ↓ | Bottom 1% |
| Operating margin | -24587.8% | -18967.7% | ↓ | Bottom 1% |
| Net margin | -23867.4% | -17828.0% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -37231.3% | -27708.0% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -38.5% | — | Bottom 4% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -12.6% | — | Bottom 6% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.3%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1509.0%
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -25.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -72.52%
- Shareholder yield
- -72.52%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +142.7%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +96.2%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 5
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +15.4%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -3.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 2 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $2.50
- Target vs current price
- -17.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 17
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 29%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | +22.2% | +0.3% | -3.0% | -10.0% | — |
| May 14, 2026 | +6.1% | +0.0% | -14.2% | +99.0% | +12.2% |
| Mar 30, 2026 | +5.3% | -4.0% | +35.8% | +12.4% | +20.8% |
| Nov 13, 2025 | +27.8% | -8.6% | -4.4% | -1.9% | -25.1% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +30.7% | -5.0% | -25.1% | -22.8% | +0.8% |
| May 15, 2025 | -6.7% | -5.6% | +4.8% | -15.2% | -16.3% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | +30.7% | -5.4% | -16.3% | -5.7% | -8.4% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | +35.1% | +3.5% | +2.6% | -3.2% | -31.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | -$0.50 | -$0.64 | +22.2% | $134,000 |
| May 14, 2026 | -$0.81 | -$0.86 | +6.1% | $227,000 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | -$0.98 | -$1.04 | +5.3% | $312,000 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | -$1.09 | -$1.51 | +27.8% | $365,000 |
| Aug 6, 2025 | -$1.47 | -$2.12 | +30.7% | $406,000 |
| May 15, 2025 | -$2.38 | -$2.23 | -6.7% | $461,000 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | -$2.53 | -$3.65 | +30.7% | $429,000 |
| Nov 6, 2024 | -$2.66 | -$4.10 | +35.1% | $402,000 |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 450.35× | — | — | Bottom 1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -99.23% | — | — | Bottom 2% |
| Earnings yield | -111.55% | — | — | Bottom 2% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 38
- Days above the 200-day average
- 12
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +5.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.1%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +1.2%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +1.6%
- RSI (14)
- 48.6
- Relative volume
- 0.67×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 59.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 4th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 2.55
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.36
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -59.7%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -96.0%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2021 | Mar 30, 2026 | -99.8% | 1287 days | Not yet recovered |
| Dec 7, 2020 | Jan 4, 2021 | -31.3% | 18 days | 13 days (Jan 22, 2021) |
| Oct 20, 2020 | Oct 30, 2020 | -24.4% | 8 days | 14 days (Nov 19, 2020) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $389.5M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$3.38
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.0M
- 52-week range
- $2.13 – $8.90
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.3M | $2.3M | $6.8M | $7.0M | $1.5M |
| Gross profit | $3.0M | $406,000 | -$43.7M | -$83.0M | -$87.7M |
| Operating income | -$319.5M | -$500.0M | -$531.5M | -$376.6M | -$283.1M |
| Net income | -$352.9M | -$500.2M | -$502.3M | -$346.7M | -$278.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$28.50 | -$37.80 | -$29.80 | -$13.89 | -$5.44 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $402,000 | $429,000 | $461,000 | $406,000 | $365,000 | $312,000 | $227,000 | $134,000 |
| Net income | -$74.5M | -$76.4M | -$84.5M | -$67.3M | -$64.4M | -$62.7M | -$64.7M | -$55.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$2.66 | -$2.53 | -$2.38 | -$1.47 | -$1.09 | -$0.98 | -$0.81 | -$0.50 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$230.8M | -$380.2M | -$448.2M | -$352.7M | -$240.1M |
| Capital expenditure | -$4.6M | -$16.5M | -$44.3M | -$121.9M | -$198.0M |
| Free cash flow | -$235.4M | -$396.7M | -$492.5M | -$474.6M | -$438.2M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $500.0M | $103.3M | $484.1M | $137.8M | $230.2M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $255.1M
- Total assets
- $816.3M
- Total liabilities
- $420.2M
- Total debt
- $265.3M
- Net debt
- $78.0M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $396.1M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 33,853,308
- Days to cover
- 6.85
- Change vs previous report
- -6.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jun 17, 2024
- 1-for-20