Stocks · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

TFS Financial Corporation TFSL

$16.82 +2.31% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $4.72B

Strong growth

Next earnings report: Oct 29, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Net debt is 38.4× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
  2. The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 130 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
  3. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $0.36, up 24.1% year over year.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Financial Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth81Strong

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 44%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 45%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 6%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 25%
  • Revenue growth accelerationBottom 48%
Quality16Very weak

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalBottom 47%
  • Gross marginBottom 15%
  • Operating marginBottom 33%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 35%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 33%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 3%
  • Interest coverBottom 16%
Value27Very weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 24%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 28%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 28%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 7%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 26%
Momentum68Positive

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthTop 20%
  • 6-month returnTop 23%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 23%
  • Distance from 52-week highBottom 38%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Top 48%
Revisions47Neutral

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 28%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 43%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 19%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 40%
Stability51Neutral

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 37%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 33%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 30%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 3%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)5.4%4.9%↓
EPS growth (YoY)14.6%24.1%↑
Gross margin39.6%41.1%↑
Operating margin13.5%14.9%↑
FCF margin3.2%10.5%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)4.9%5.4%↓Bottom 44%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)24.1%14.6%↑Top 45%
Gross margin41.1%39.6%↑Bottom 15%
Operating margin14.9%13.5%↑Bottom 33%
Net margin12.5%10.7%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin10.5%3.2%↑—
Return on invested capital1.2%—Bottom 47%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR22.3%—Top 25%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
0.96×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
0.0%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
1.4%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
+0.5 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
38.41×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
0.3×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
1.27%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
0.19%
Shareholder yield
1.45%
Share count change, 1 year
+0.2%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+0.2%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
1
Beats in the last 8 reports
3 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+9.7%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+0.5%
Positive 20 days after report
7 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$20.00
Target vs current price
+18.9%
Analysts with a rating
4
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
25%
Consensus rating
Hold

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Jul 30, 2026+37.5%-0.9%+0.6%-1.6%—
Apr 30, 2026+0.0%+2.2%+2.6%+7.5%+22.8%
Jan 29, 2026-11.1%+3.9%+4.2%+2.1%+3.8%
Oct 30, 2025+12.5%-1.2%+2.6%+7.5%+6.2%
Jul 30, 2025+0.0%-1.1%+0.9%+10.1%+4.2%
Apr 30, 2025+0.0%-1.1%+2.1%+1.1%-3.1%
Jan 30, 2025+33.3%+0.3%+7.5%+2.0%+1.5%
Oct 30, 2024+0.0%+2.2%+0.0%+10.4%-1.2%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Jul 30, 2026$0.11$0.08+37.5%$89.3M
Apr 30, 2026$0.08$0.08+0.0%$85.2M
Jan 29, 2026$0.08$0.09-11.1%$83.7M
Oct 30, 2025$0.09$0.08+12.5%$85.5M
Jul 30, 2025$0.08$0.08+0.0%$82.0M
Apr 30, 2025$0.07$0.07+0.0%$79.1M
Jan 30, 2025$0.08$0.06+33.3%$74.8M
Oct 30, 2024$0.06$0.06+0.0%$75.1M

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)46.3×49.5×29thBottom 24%
P/E (forward)46.7×———
EV / EBITDA69.7×——Bottom 28%
EV / Sales12.83×——Bottom 7%
Free-cash-flow yield1.83%——Bottom 28%
Earnings yield2.16%——Bottom 24%

P/E over the past five years

Range 39.2× – 68.6× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
+28.1%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
+24.1%
Change in P/E multiple
+13.5%

Most of the move came from earnings growth.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✓ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✓ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
130
50-day average slope (20 days)
-2.3%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+1.9%
Distance from 50-day average
-3.3%
Distance from 200-day average
+7.1%
RSI (14)
47.6
Relative volume
1.44×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
18.4%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
7th percentile · Low for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.40
Correlation with S&P 500
0.29
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-9.6%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-23.6%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Jun 4, 2021Oct 23, 2023-50.9%600 daysNot yet recovered
Jan 14, 2021Feb 3, 2021-10.4%13 days11 days (Feb 19, 2021)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$4.72B
P/E (TTM)
46.3
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$0.36
Revenue (TTM)
$818.1M
Dividend yield
6.93%
52-week range
$12.54 – $19.49
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$444.6M$433.1M$633.3M$758.8M$792.0M
Gross profit$295.9M$290.2M$306.5M$304.7M$319.0M
Operating income$100.1M$92.1M$93.4M$100.3M$114.7M
Net income$81.0M$74.6M$75.3M$79.6M$91.0M
EPS (diluted)$0.29$0.26$0.26$0.28$0.32
Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026Q3 2026
Revenue$194.9M$193.3M$193.0M$198.5M$207.2M$205.8M$202.9M$202.1M
Net income$18.2M$22.4M$21.0M$21.5M$26.0M$22.3M$23.2M$30.5M
EPS (diluted)$0.06$0.08$0.07$0.08$0.09$0.08$0.08$0.11
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$83.2M$38.9M$90.7M$88.6M$82.4M
Capital expenditure-$1.3M-$2.7M-$5.1M-$3.1M-$11.5M
Free cash flow$81.8M$36.2M$85.6M$85.5M$71.0M
Dividends paid-$56.6M-$58.3M-$58.3M-$59.0M-$59.5M
Net share buybacks-$5.6M-$6.3M-$6.0M-$1.9M-$4.0M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$28.6M
Total assets
$18.07B
Total liabilities
$16.12B
Total debt
$5.81B
Net debt
$5.78B
Shareholders’ equity
$1.96B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Sep 9, 2026$0.32Sep 23, 2026
Jun 10, 2026$0.28Jun 24, 2026
Mar 11, 2026$0.28Mar 25, 2026
Dec 2, 2025$0.28Dec 16, 2025
Sep 10, 2025$0.28Sep 24, 2025
Jun 10, 2025$0.28Jun 24, 2025
Mar 6, 2025$0.28Mar 20, 2025
Dec 3, 2024$0.28Dec 17, 2024

Short interest

Shares sold short
8,023,594
Days to cover
12.29
Change vs previous report
+3.0%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.