Stocks · Utilities · Independent Power Producers

Talen Energy Corporation TLN

$320.77 -0.72% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $14.56B

Expensive vs sectorHigh risk

Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $-4.11, down 217.4% year over year.
  2. Revenue over the last four quarters was $3.53B, up 65.8% from a year earlier, accelerating from 55.1% a quarter earlier.
  3. Net debt is 11.8× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Utilities sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth77Positive

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 1%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 1%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 46%
  • Revenue growth accelerationTop 3%
Quality9Very weak

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalBottom 11%
  • Gross marginBottom 48%
  • Operating marginBottom 13%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 9%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 1%
  • Interest coverBottom 8%
Value14Very weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 9%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldTop 14%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 7%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 13%
Momentum39Weak

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 3%
  • 6-month returnTop 18%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 8%
  • Distance from 52-week highBottom 20%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Top 9%
Revisions39Weak

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 3%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 14%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 3%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 19%
Stability8Very weak

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 11%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 23%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 1%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)55.1%65.8%↑
EPS growth (YoY)-106.4%-217.4%↓
Gross margin28.8%44.6%↑
Operating margin10.4%7.3%↓
FCF margin-7.5%14.5%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)65.8%55.1%↑Top 1%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)-217.4%-106.4%↓Bottom 1%
Gross margin44.6%28.8%↑Bottom 48%
Operating margin7.3%10.4%↓Bottom 13%
Net margin-5.2%8.8%↓—
Free-cash-flow margin14.5%-7.5%↑—
Return on invested capital1.9%—Bottom 11%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR2.9%—Bottom 46%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-6.5%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
15.7%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
-35.7 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
11.76×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
0.5×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
0.00%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
2.05%
Shareholder yield
2.05%
Share count change, 1 year
-4.2%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
-8.0%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
0
Beats in the last 8 reports
4 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
-100.0%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
-1.5%
Positive 20 days after report
4 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$467.90
Target vs current price
+45.9%
Analysts with a rating
13
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
85%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Aug 5, 2026-162.3%-3.0%+5.3%-13.6%—
May 5, 2026-73.5%+0.1%-0.3%+0.2%-13.5%
Feb 26, 2026-390.1%-0.4%-14.0%-16.1%-7.9%
Nov 5, 2025+33.6%+2.1%-5.2%-7.5%-13.8%
Aug 7, 2025+244.2%-0.8%+0.4%+0.5%+3.5%
May 8, 2025-385.4%-1.2%+5.9%+10.6%+68.9%
Feb 27, 2025+168.8%-7.3%-9.1%-6.7%+9.6%
Nov 14, 2024+430.2%-1.6%-0.2%+1.4%+14.5%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Aug 5, 2026-$2.00$3.21-162.3%$747.0M
May 5, 2026$1.33$5.01-73.5%$1.13B
Feb 26, 2026-$7.60$2.62-390.1%$749.0M
Nov 5, 2025$4.25$3.18+33.6%$812.0M
Aug 7, 2025$1.50-$1.04+244.2%$630.0M
May 8, 2025-$2.94$1.03-385.4%$390.0M
Feb 27, 2025$2.07$0.77+168.8%$467.0M
Nov 14, 2024$3.16$0.60+430.2%$650.0M

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (forward)15.6×———
EV / EBITDA30.1×——Bottom 7%
EV / Sales6.77×——Bottom 13%
Free-cash-flow yield3.50%——Top 14%
Earnings yield-1.28%——Bottom 9%

P/E over the past five years

Range 5.8× – 107.3× since Dec 31, 2023. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
-24.9%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
-217.4%
Change in P/E multiple
+706.3%

Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✓ Price above 20-day average
  • ✓ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✓ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
2
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
-8.7%
200-day average slope (20 days)
-1.8%
Distance from 50-day average
+0.5%
Distance from 200-day average
-8.8%
RSI (14)
56.4
Relative volume
1.31×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
50.7%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
41th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
1.48
Correlation with S&P 500
0.42
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-28.1%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-36.7%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Oct 8, 2025Sep 15, 2026-36.7%234 daysNot yet recovered
Feb 18, 2025Mar 10, 2025-33.8%14 days59 days (Jun 3, 2025)
Jan 22, 2025Jan 27, 2025-23.1%3 days15 days (Feb 18, 2025)
Jul 16, 2024Jul 25, 2024-18.7%7 days15 days (Aug 15, 2024)
Oct 4, 2024Oct 11, 2024-16.4%5 days18 days (Nov 6, 2024)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$14.56B
EPS, diluted (TTM)
-$4.11
Revenue (TTM)
$3.53B
52-week range
$279.77 – $451.28
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$1.77B$2.41B$2.44B$2.07B$2.63B
Gross profit$241.0M$770.0M$1.05B$664.0M$1.00B
Operating income-$446.0M$104.0M$84.0M$165.0M$16.0M
Net income-$989.0M-$1.29B$613.0M$998.0M-$219.0M
EPS (diluted)-$21.72-$28.66$10.38$17.67-$4.79
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$555.0M$488.0M$631.0M$454.0M$770.0M$771.0M$1.24B$747.0M
Net income$168.0M$82.0M-$135.0M$72.0M$207.0M-$363.0M$63.0M-$92.0M
EPS (diluted)$3.16$1.78-$2.94$1.50$4.26-$7.70$1.33-$2.00
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow-$294.0M$187.0M$864.0M$243.0M$615.0M
Capital expenditure-$224.0M-$312.0M-$348.0M-$189.0M-$206.0M
Free cash flow-$518.0M-$125.0M$516.0M$54.0M$409.0M
Dividends paid$0$0$0$0$0
Net share buybacks$0$0-$40.0M-$1.96B-$103.0M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$231.0M
Total assets
$15.07B
Total liabilities
$13.43B
Total debt
$9.57B
Net debt
$9.34B
Shareholders’ equity
$1.62B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).

Short interest

Shares sold short
2,708,803
Days to cover
3.58
Change vs previous report
+11.2%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.