Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco
Turning Point Brands, Inc. TPB
$55.64 +0.58% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $1.08B
Weak trend
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The stock is 61% below its highest close of the past year.
- The diluted share count rose 10.0% in a year.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth55Neutral
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 9%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 49%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 14%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 14%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 34%
Quality47Neutral
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 40%
- Gross marginTop 14%
- Operating marginTop 22%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 5%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 5%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 26%
- Interest coverBottom 34%
Value36Weak
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 44%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 19%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 41%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 26%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 46%
Momentum12Very weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 28%
- 6-month returnBottom 20%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 14%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 7%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Revisions89Strong
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 49%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 45%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 7%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 11%
Stability35Weak
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 24%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 35%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 28%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 26%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 25.2% | 24.5% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 28.9% | -2.5% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 56.2% | 59.2% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 21.6% | 14.9% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 12.8% | 3.9% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 24.5% | 25.2% | ↓ | Top 9% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -2.5% | 28.9% | ↓ | Bottom 49% |
| Gross margin | 59.2% | 56.2% | ↑ | Top 14% |
| Operating margin | 14.9% | 21.6% | ↓ | Top 22% |
| Net margin | 8.8% | 10.7% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 3.9% | 12.8% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 8.4% | — | Top 40% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 13.0% | — | Top 14% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 0.72×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 1.4%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.8%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -40.8 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 0.42×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 3.1×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.56%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -15.93%
- Shareholder yield
- -15.37%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +10.0%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.4%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +8.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +3.4%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 6 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $111.50
- Target vs current price
- +100.4%
- Analysts with a rating
- 13
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 92%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | +55.2% | +2.6% | +11.1% | +0.7% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | +1.7% | +11.0% | +10.5% | +7.9% | -1.0% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | -51.7% | -20.8% | -33.1% | -37.7% | -34.8% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | +29.6% | +6.3% | +5.6% | +2.5% | +31.4% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +24.1% | +14.2% | +22.0% | +19.5% | +8.7% |
| May 7, 2025 | +21.3% | +24.8% | +8.0% | +15.5% | +24.8% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | -79.3% | -8.1% | -11.6% | -10.3% | +10.9% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | +19.2% | -2.8% | +7.8% | +25.4% | +21.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $0.18 | $0.12 | +55.2% | $143.0M |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.61 | $0.60 | +1.7% | $124.3M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | $0.42 | $0.87 | -51.7% | $121.0M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $1.05 | $0.81 | +29.6% | $119.0M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.98 | $0.79 | +24.1% | $116.6M |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.91 | $0.75 | +21.3% | $106.4M |
| Mar 6, 2025 | $0.14 | $0.68 | -79.3% | $93.7M |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.87 | $0.73 | +19.2% | $157.5M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 23.9× | 29.0× | 48th | Top 44% |
| P/E (forward) | 44.4× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 11.2× | — | — | Top 41% |
| EV / Sales | 2.21× | — | — | Bottom 26% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 1.82% | — | — | Bottom 19% |
| Earnings yield | 4.19% | — | — | Top 44% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 11.7× – 79.8× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -42.9%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -2.5%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -13.5%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -8.6%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -3.7%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -26.7%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -39.1%
- RSI (14)
- 20.1
- Relative volume
- 1.04×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 48.9%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 75th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.78
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.23
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -61.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -61.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2021 | Dec 19, 2022 | -66.9% | 466 days | 480 days (Nov 15, 2024) |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Oct 1, 2026 | -61.3% | 151 days | Not yet recovered |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Apr 4, 2025 | -22.5% | 24 days | 22 days (May 7, 2025) |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Oct 8, 2025 | -17.3% | 11 days | 22 days (Nov 7, 2025) |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Jan 10, 2025 | -14.2% | 22 days | 18 days (Feb 6, 2025) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.08B
- P/E (TTM)
- 23.9
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $2.33
- Revenue (TTM)
- $507.2M
- Dividend yield
- 0.57%
- 52-week range
- $54.69 – $146.90
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $445.5M | $321.2M | $325.1M | $360.7M | $463.1M |
| Gross profit | $217.8M | $177.8M | $182.9M | $201.6M | $264.3M |
| Operating income | $90.3M | $79.2M | $80.2M | $86.7M | $95.3M |
| Net income | $52.1M | $11.6M | $38.5M | $39.8M | $58.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.52 | $0.64 | $2.01 | $2.14 | $3.11 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $90.7M | $93.7M | $106.4M | $116.6M | $119.0M | $121.0M | $124.3M | $143.0M |
| Net income | $12.4M | $2.4M | $14.4M | $14.5M | $21.1M | $8.2M | $11.7M | $3.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.68 | $0.13 | $0.79 | $0.79 | $1.13 | $0.42 | $0.60 | $0.18 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $68.2M | $30.3M | $66.9M | $67.1M | $57.4M |
| Capital expenditure | -$6.2M | -$7.7M | -$5.7M | -$4.6M | -$13.5M |
| Free cash flow | $62.1M | $22.6M | $61.2M | $62.4M | $43.8M |
| Dividends paid | -$4.1M | -$4.3M | -$4.5M | -$4.9M | -$5.5M |
| Net share buybacks | -$38.7M | -$29.2M | -$995,000 | -$6.3M | $116.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $268.3M
- Total assets
- $855.2M
- Total liabilities
- $401.2M
- Total debt
- $310.7M
- Net debt
- $42.4M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $430.1M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | $0.08 | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | $0.08 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | $0.08 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | $0.08 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | $0.08 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Jun 20, 2025 | $0.08 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Mar 21, 2025 | $0.08 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | $0.07 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 3,014,216
- Days to cover
- 12.14
- Change vs previous report
- +7.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.