Stocks · Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. ULCC
$6.19 +3.69% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.43B
Expensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin narrowed to -9.8% from -1.5% a year earlier.
- The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 94 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $4.15B, up 10.0% from a year earlier, accelerating from -0.5% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 42%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 45%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 9%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 16%
- Gross marginBottom 4%
- Operating marginBottom 13%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 46%
- Interest coverBottom 7%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 9%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 15%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 13%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 34%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 27%
- 6-month returnTop 7%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 20%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 48%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 27%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 17%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 34%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 4%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 9%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 26%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 21%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 8%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -0.5% | 10.0% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 3.3% | -5.2% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -1.5% | -9.8% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -11.4% | -3.0% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 10.0% | -0.5% | ↑ | Top 42% |
| Gross margin | -5.2% | 3.3% | ↓ | Bottom 4% |
| Operating margin | -9.8% | -1.5% | ↓ | Bottom 13% |
| Net margin | -9.3% | -0.9% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -3.0% | -11.4% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -6.6% | — | Bottom 16% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 3.8% | — | Bottom 45% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -3.7%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +25.9 pp
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -25.5×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.00%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +1.4%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 29, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 3
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -34.6%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.0%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $6.33
- Target vs current price
- +2.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 13
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 15%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | +78.7% | +4.3% | +28.3% | -4.2% | — |
| May 5, 2026 | +18.9% | +6.8% | +23.0% | +41.1% | +70.7% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | +130.0% | -7.9% | -11.7% | -41.9% | -8.9% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -366.2% | +6.9% | +5.3% | +35.8% | +41.1% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | -10.7% | -15.6% | -19.1% | +37.2% | -2.4% |
| May 1, 2025 | +13.6% | +4.4% | +17.1% | +37.2% | +51.7% |
| Feb 7, 2025 | +475.0% | +15.5% | +5.3% | -17.9% | -56.5% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | -78.6% | -14.4% | -21.6% | -20.9% | +15.1% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | -$0.10 | -$0.47 | +78.7% | $1.28B |
| May 5, 2026 | -$0.30 | -$0.37 | +18.9% | $1.06B |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $0.23 | $0.10 | +130.0% | $997.0M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -$0.34 | $0.13 | -366.2% | $886.0M |
| Aug 5, 2025 | -$0.31 | -$0.28 | -10.7% | $929.0M |
| May 1, 2025 | -$0.19 | -$0.22 | +13.6% | $912.0M |
| Feb 7, 2025 | $0.23 | $0.04 | +475.0% | $1.00B |
| Oct 29, 2024 | -$0.05 | -$0.03 | -78.6% | $935.0M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 1.38× | — | — | Top 34% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -8.84% | — | — | Bottom 15% |
| Earnings yield | -27.14% | — | — | Bottom 9% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 10.7× – 30.8× since Mar 31, 2023. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 94
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -6.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.2%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -0.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +15.5%
- RSI (14)
- 55.0
- Relative volume
- 1.12×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 64.8%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 42th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 2.29
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.41
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -23.2%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -70.4%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2021 | Aug 12, 2024 | -87.0% | 804 days | Not yet recovered |
| Apr 9, 2021 | May 20, 2021 | -12.2% | 29 days | 7 days (Jun 1, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.43B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$1.68
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.15B
- 52-week range
- $3.02 – $8.40
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.06B | $3.33B | $3.59B | $3.77B | $3.72B |
| Gross profit | -$202.0M | $282.0M | $302.0M | $187.0M | $14.0M |
| Operating income | -$117.0M | -$35.0M | -$3.0M | $58.0M | -$149.0M |
| Net income | -$102.0M | -$37.0M | -$11.0M | $85.0M | -$137.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.47 | -$0.17 | -$0.05 | $0.38 | -$0.60 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $935.0M | $1.00B | $912.0M | $929.0M | $886.0M | $997.0M | $992.0M | $1.28B |
| Net income | $26.0M | $54.0M | -$43.0M | -$70.0M | -$77.0M | $53.0M | -$272.0M | -$90.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.11 | $0.23 | -$0.19 | -$0.31 | -$0.34 | $0.23 | -$1.18 | -$0.39 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $216.0M | -$78.0M | -$261.0M | -$82.0M | -$525.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$63.0M | -$152.0M | -$87.0M | -$76.0M | -$99.0M |
| Free cash flow | $153.0M | -$230.0M | -$348.0M | -$158.0M | -$624.0M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $269.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $6.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $955.0M
- Total assets
- $7.24B
- Total liabilities
- $7.11B
- Total debt
- $5.24B
- Net debt
- $4.29B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $136.0M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 29, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 24,258,108
- Days to cover
- 9.93
- Change vs previous report
- -1.9%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.