Stocks · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
United Parcel Service, Inc. UPS
$93.02 -0.93% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $79.02B
Inexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 4 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +13.2%).
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $5.38, down 20.1% year over year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth30Weak
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 19%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 28%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 24%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 18%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 40%
Quality55Neutral
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 31%
- Gross marginBottom 24%
- Operating marginTop 49%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 34%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 32%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 44%
- Interest coverTop 48%
Value89Strong
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 13%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 20%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 16%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 25%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 49%
Momentum42Weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 37%
- 6-month returnBottom 39%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 46%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 47%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 15%
Revisions60Neutral
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 31%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 28%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 32%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 46%
Stability67Positive
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 23%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 48%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 28%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 44%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -2.7% | -0.3% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -9.9% | -20.1% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 18.3% | 16.6% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 9.5% | 7.3% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 3.9% | 6.1% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -0.3% | -2.7% | ↑ | Bottom 19% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -20.1% | -9.9% | ↓ | Bottom 28% |
| Gross margin | 16.6% | 18.3% | ↓ | Bottom 24% |
| Operating margin | 7.3% | 9.5% | ↓ | Top 49% |
| Net margin | 5.1% | 6.4% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 6.1% | 3.9% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 8.9% | — | Top 31% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -3.9% | — | Bottom 18% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.95×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -6.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +3.0 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 2.27×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 4.0×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 6.85%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -0.15%
- Shareholder yield
- 6.70%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.5%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.4%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 4
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +13.2%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -2.8%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $119.00
- Target vs current price
- +27.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 45
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 47%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | +6.7% | -6.6% | -5.4% | -9.1% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | +2.9% | -4.0% | -11.0% | -5.8% | +5.4% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | +8.2% | +0.2% | +3.1% | +7.9% | -1.6% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | +34.9% | +8.0% | +5.5% | +4.9% | +21.0% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | -0.6% | -10.6% | -16.3% | -13.6% | -13.3% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | +8.0% | -0.4% | -1.6% | +0.5% | +5.6% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | +9.1% | -14.1% | -16.4% | -12.1% | -26.8% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | +8.0% | +5.3% | +1.8% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $1.76 | $1.65 | +6.7% | $22.80B |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $1.07 | $1.04 | +2.9% | $21.20B |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $2.38 | $2.20 | +8.2% | $24.50B |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $1.74 | $1.29 | +34.9% | $21.41B |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $1.55 | $1.56 | -0.6% | $21.22B |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $1.49 | $1.38 | +8.0% | $21.55B |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $2.75 | $2.52 | +9.1% | $25.30B |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $1.76 | $1.63 | +8.0% | $22.25B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 17.3× | 15.7× | 62th | Top 13% |
| P/E (forward) | 12.9× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 9.7× | — | — | Top 16% |
| EV / Sales | 1.15× | — | — | Top 25% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.94% | — | — | Top 20% |
| Earnings yield | 5.78% | — | — | Top 13% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 12.8× – 28.4× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +10.2%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -20.1%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +56.2%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -5.5%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.1%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -8.8%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -11.4%
- RSI (14)
- 34.1
- Relative volume
- 0.97×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 30.1%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 61th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.81
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.40
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -22.5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -49.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | Sep 25, 2025 | -64.4% | 914 days | Not yet recovered |
| May 7, 2021 | Oct 4, 2021 | -18.0% | 103 days | 16 days (Oct 26, 2021) |
| Oct 12, 2020 | Jan 29, 2021 | -12.2% | 75 days | 49 days (Apr 12, 2021) |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Dec 1, 2021 | -11.0% | 25 days | 26 days (Jan 7, 2022) |
| Jan 7, 2022 | Jan 27, 2022 | -10.7% | 13 days | 3 days (Feb 1, 2022) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $79.02B
- P/E (TTM)
- 17.3
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $5.38
- Revenue (TTM)
- $89.93B
- Dividend yield
- 7.05%
- 52-week range
- $82.00 – $122.41
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $97.20B | $100.03B | $90.75B | $90.89B | $88.66B |
| Gross profit | $17.43B | $20.08B | $17.71B | $17.06B | $16.03B |
| Operating income | $13.11B | $12.97B | $9.37B | $8.69B | $7.87B |
| Net income | $12.89B | $11.55B | $6.71B | $5.78B | $5.57B |
| EPS (diluted) | $14.68 | $13.20 | $7.80 | $6.76 | $6.56 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $22.21B | $25.24B | $21.55B | $21.22B | $21.41B | $24.48B | $21.20B | $22.83B |
| Net income | $1.54B | $1.72B | $1.19B | $1.28B | $1.31B | $1.79B | $864.0M | $604.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.80 | $2.02 | $1.40 | $1.51 | $1.55 | $2.10 | $1.02 | $0.71 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $15.01B | $14.10B | $10.24B | $10.12B | $8.45B |
| Capital expenditure | -$4.19B | -$4.77B | -$5.16B | -$3.91B | -$3.69B |
| Free cash flow | $10.81B | $9.34B | $5.08B | $6.21B | $4.76B |
| Dividends paid | -$3.44B | -$5.11B | -$5.37B | -$5.40B | -$5.40B |
| Net share buybacks | -$249.0M | -$3.24B | -$2.00B | -$268.0M | -$841.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $4.65B
- Total assets
- $71.27B
- Total liabilities
- $56.17B
- Total debt
- $28.67B
- Net debt
- $24.02B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $15.07B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | $1.64 | Sep 3, 2026 |
| May 18, 2026 | $1.64 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $1.64 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | $1.64 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Aug 18, 2025 | $1.64 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| May 19, 2025 | $1.64 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | $1.64 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Nov 18, 2024 | $1.63 | Dec 5, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 25,679,543
- Days to cover
- 7.04
- Change vs previous report
- +1.3%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.