Stocks · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Valero Energy Corporation VLO

$406.30 -0.53% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $116.98B

Strong trend

Next earnings report: Oct 22, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $24.11, up 900.4% year over year.
  2. Over the past year the stock returned +142.3%, ahead of the S&P 500 by 127.2 percentage points.
  3. Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 14 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +23.6%).

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Energy sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth76Positive

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 41%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 2%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 13%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 23%
  • Revenue growth accelerationTop 35%
Quality62Neutral

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalTop 11%
  • Gross marginBottom 19%
  • Operating marginBottom 36%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 33%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 38%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 21%
  • Interest coverTop 10%
Value75Positive

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldTop 39%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldTop 34%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 49%
  • Sales / enterprise valueTop 15%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 49%
Momentum99Exceptional

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthTop 5%
  • 6-month returnTop 3%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 2%
  • Distance from 52-week highTop 1%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Top 5%
Revisions56Neutral

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 28%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsTop 2%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 45%
  • Upside to consensus price targetBottom 4%
Stability72Positive

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 35%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 36%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 43%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 21%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)-1.7%7.4%↑
EPS growth (YoY)384.9%900.4%↑
Gross margin2.5%11.3%↑
Operating margin0.8%7.5%↑
FCF margin2.7%7.6%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)7.4%-1.7%↑Bottom 41%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)900.4%384.9%↑Top 2%
Gross margin11.3%2.5%↑Bottom 19%
Operating margin7.5%0.8%↑Bottom 36%
Net margin5.4%0.6%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin7.6%2.7%↑—
Return on invested capital16.5%—Top 11%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR-11.4%—Bottom 23%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
1.51×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-5.7%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
0.0%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
+18.4 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
0.26×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
17.9×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
1.20%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
4.12%
Shareholder yield
5.33%
Share count change, 1 year
-5.8%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
-6.4%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
14
Beats in the last 8 reports
8 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+23.6%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+0.0%
Positive 20 days after report
5 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$381.90
Target vs current price
-6.0%
Analysts with a rating
37
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
54%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Jul 30, 2026+24.0%+3.4%+0.4%+15.5%—
Apr 30, 2026+33.5%+0.5%-5.8%-2.6%+21.3%
Jan 29, 2026+16.8%-0.8%+7.3%+10.7%+28.2%
Oct 23, 2025+20.0%+7.0%+5.4%+11.4%+14.1%
Jul 24, 2025+30.3%-4.9%-5.5%-4.8%+6.0%
Apr 24, 2025+116.9%-0.9%+1.5%+11.7%+27.8%
Jan 30, 2025+829.2%-2.9%+0.8%-7.1%-18.4%
Oct 24, 2024+16.3%-1.2%-3.1%+6.3%+1.6%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Jul 30, 2026$12.54$10.11+24.0%$44.48B
Apr 30, 2026$4.22$3.16+33.5%$32.38B
Jan 29, 2026$3.82$3.27+16.8%$30.37B
Oct 23, 2025$3.66$3.05+20.0%$32.17B
Jul 24, 2025$2.28$1.75+30.3%$29.89B
Apr 24, 2025$0.89$0.41+116.9%$30.26B
Jan 30, 2025$0.64$0.07+829.2%$30.76B
Oct 24, 2024$1.14$0.98+16.3%$32.85B

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)16.9×11.6×63thTop 39%
P/E (forward)8.3×———
EV / EBITDA9.1×——Top 49%
EV / Sales0.91×——Top 15%
Free-cash-flow yield8.65%——Top 34%
Earnings yield5.93%——Top 39%

P/E over the past five years

Range 3.3× – 58.2× since Dec 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
+142.3%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
+900.4%
Change in P/E multiple
-77.8%

Most of the move came from earnings growth.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✓ Price above 20-day average
  • ✓ Price above 50-day average
  • ✓ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
70
Days above the 200-day average
331
50-day average slope (20 days)
+13.6%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+9.0%
Distance from 50-day average
+14.4%
Distance from 200-day average
+56.1%
RSI (14)
65.5
Relative volume
0.65×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
33.8%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
43th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.56
Correlation with S&P 500
0.22
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-1.7%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-42.9%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Apr 5, 2024Apr 4, 2025-42.9%250 days157 days (Nov 18, 2025)
Jun 7, 2022Sep 26, 2022-32.5%76 days84 days (Jan 26, 2023)
Jan 26, 2023May 4, 2023-30.4%68 days213 days (Mar 11, 2024)
Jun 2, 2021Aug 20, 2021-28.7%56 days102 days (Jan 14, 2022)
Sep 28, 2020Oct 28, 2020-19.3%22 days8 days (Nov 9, 2020)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$116.98B
P/E (TTM)
16.9
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$24.11
Revenue (TTM)
$132.93B
Dividend yield
1.16%
52-week range
$155.29 – $419.04
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$113.98B$176.38B$144.77B$129.88B$122.69B
Gross profit$3.08B$16.75B$12.89B$4.76B$5.37B
Operating income$2.13B$15.69B$11.86B$3.75B$4.31B
Net income$930.0M$11.53B$8.84B$2.77B$2.35B
EPS (diluted)$2.27$29.00$24.95$8.58$7.57
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$32.88B$30.76B$30.26B$29.89B$32.17B$31.73B$32.38B$36.65B
Net income$364.0M$281.0M-$595.0M$714.0M$1.09B$1.13B$1.26B$3.72B
EPS (diluted)$1.14$0.89-$1.90$2.28$3.53$3.74$4.22$12.62
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$5.86B$12.57B$9.23B$6.68B$5.83B
Capital expenditure-$1.67B-$1.68B-$911.0M-$907.0M-$796.0M
Free cash flow$4.19B$10.89B$8.32B$5.78B$5.03B
Dividends paid-$1.60B-$1.56B-$1.45B-$1.38B-$1.41B
Net share buybacks-$27.0M-$4.58B-$5.14B-$2.88B-$2.60B

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$7.87B
Total assets
$64.66B
Total liabilities
$36.40B
Total debt
$11.35B
Net debt
$3.48B
Shareholders’ equity
$25.00B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Jul 31, 2026$1.20Aug 31, 2026
May 21, 2026$1.20Jun 23, 2026
Feb 5, 2026$1.20Mar 9, 2026
Nov 20, 2025$1.13Dec 18, 2025
Jul 31, 2025$1.13Sep 2, 2025
May 20, 2025$1.13Jun 18, 2025
Jan 30, 2025$1.13Mar 3, 2025
Nov 20, 2024$1.07Dec 20, 2024

Short interest

Shares sold short
9,700,070
Days to cover
3.07
Change vs previous report
-2.0%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

May 2, 2013
547-for-500
Dec 16, 2005
2-for-1
Oct 8, 2004
2-for-1