Stocks · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Valley National Bancorp VLY

$12.82 +1.18% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $7.10B

Next earnings report: Oct 22, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $1.20, up 53.8% year over year.
  2. Net debt is 5.3× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
  3. Revenue over the last four quarters was $2.98B, down 15.1% from a year earlier, slowing from -0.1% a quarter earlier.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Financial Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth35Weak

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 8%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 20%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 32%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 42%
  • Revenue growth accelerationBottom 12%
Quality20Very weak

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalTop 40%
  • Gross marginBottom 23%
  • Operating marginBottom 32%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 31%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 29%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 23%
  • Interest coverBottom 18%
Value65Positive

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldTop 21%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 49%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 40%
  • Sales / enterprise valueTop 49%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 31%
Momentum45Neutral

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthTop 23%
  • 6-month returnBottom 44%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 30%
  • Distance from 52-week highBottom 33%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 27%
Revisions57Neutral

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 49%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 17%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 31%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 22%
Stability21Very weak

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 48%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 25%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 26%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 23%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)-0.1%-15.1%↓
EPS growth (YoY)60.9%53.8%↓
Gross margin46.4%50.5%↑
Operating margin15.0%14.5%↓
FCF margin10.7%18.6%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)-15.1%-0.1%↓Bottom 8%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)53.8%60.9%↓Top 20%
Gross margin50.5%46.4%↑Bottom 23%
Operating margin14.5%15.0%↓Bottom 32%
Net margin23.3%12.9%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin18.6%10.7%↑—
Return on invested capital2.8%—Top 40%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR17.0%—Top 42%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
0.83×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
0.2%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
2.6%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
+20.3 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
5.35×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
0.3×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
3.49%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
1.61%
Shareholder yield
5.10%
Share count change, 1 year
-1.0%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+3.1%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
0
Beats in the last 8 reports
4 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+4.6%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+1.9%
Positive 20 days after report
6 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$16.50
Target vs current price
+28.7%
Analysts with a rating
21
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
62%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Jul 23, 2026-2.8%-0.5%-1.7%-0.6%—
Apr 23, 2026+5.8%+3.9%+0.5%+0.8%+10.7%
Jan 29, 2026+6.9%+3.3%+9.1%+9.0%+9.0%
Oct 23, 2025+8.6%+4.2%+8.2%+3.8%+16.4%
Jul 24, 2025+4.5%-1.8%-3.2%+0.5%+0.2%
Apr 24, 2025-5.3%+1.2%-0.3%+0.0%+10.4%
Jan 23, 2025-13.3%-0.2%+3.5%+0.4%-15.8%
Oct 24, 2024+0.0%+5.3%+6.3%+11.3%+7.5%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Jul 23, 2026$0.30$0.31-2.8%$560.7M
Apr 23, 2026$0.29$0.27+5.8%$540.4M
Jan 29, 2026$0.31$0.29+6.9%$541.2M
Oct 23, 2025$0.28$0.26+8.6%$511.1M
Jul 24, 2025$0.23$0.22+4.5%$495.0M
Apr 24, 2025$0.18$0.19-5.3%$478.4M
Jan 23, 2025$0.13$0.15-13.3%$474.6M
Oct 24, 2024$0.18$0.18+0.0%$463.8M

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)10.7×11.8×33thTop 21%
P/E (forward)10.1×———
EV / EBITDA20.6×——Bottom 40%
EV / Sales3.22×——Top 49%
Free-cash-flow yield7.82%——Bottom 49%
Earnings yield9.36%——Top 21%

P/E over the past five years

Range 6.3× – 16.4× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
+21.2%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
+53.8%
Change in P/E multiple
+2.4%

Most of the move came from earnings growth.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
-3.8%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+1.6%
Distance from 50-day average
-8.1%
Distance from 200-day average
-3.8%
RSI (14)
34.3
Relative volume
0.75×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
20.1%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
0th percentile · Low for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.91
Correlation with S&P 500
0.50
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-15.6%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-41.3%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Jan 14, 2022Jun 14, 2024-56.6%606 days521 days (Jul 16, 2026)
May 17, 2021Sep 21, 2021-19.3%88 days45 days (Nov 23, 2021)
Jul 16, 2026Sep 30, 2026-16.9%53 daysNot yet recovered
Nov 23, 2021Dec 20, 2021-12.0%18 days17 days (Jan 13, 2022)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$7.10B
P/E (TTM)
10.7
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$1.20
Revenue (TTM)
$2.98B
Dividend yield
3.43%
52-week range
$9.64 – $15.20
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$1.49B$2.18B$3.35B$3.57B$3.49B
Gross profit$1.33B$1.81B$1.83B$1.53B$1.88B
Operating income$640.7M$780.7M$678.3M$438.5M$743.9M
Net income$473.8M$568.9M$498.5M$380.3M$598.0M
EPS (diluted)$1.12$1.14$0.95$0.69$1.01
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$913.9M$886.5M$843.1M$867.6M$891.8M$892.1M$871.6M$326.2M
Net income$97.9M$115.7M$106.1M$133.2M$163.4M$195.4M$163.9M$170.9M
EPS (diluted)$0.18$0.20$0.18$0.22$0.28$0.33$0.28$0.31
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$837.1M$1.43B$378.2M$548.5M$343.8M
Capital expenditure$0$0$0$0$0
Free cash flow$837.1M$1.43B$378.2M$548.5M$343.8M
Dividends paid-$179.7M-$206.0M-$225.4M-$228.2M-$248.9M
Net share buybacks-$12.7M-$24.0M-$7.5M$442.3M-$55.3M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$9.13B
Total assets
$66.32B
Total liabilities
$58.40B
Total debt
$3.45B
Net debt
$2.49B
Shareholders’ equity
$7.92B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Sep 15, 2026$0.11Oct 1, 2026
Jun 15, 2026$0.11Jul 1, 2026
Mar 13, 2026$0.11Apr 1, 2026
Dec 15, 2025$0.11Jan 2, 2026
Sep 15, 2025$0.11Oct 1, 2025
Jun 13, 2025$0.11Jul 1, 2025
Mar 14, 2025$0.11Apr 1, 2025
Dec 13, 2024$0.11Jan 2, 2025

Short interest

Shares sold short
46,365,927
Days to cover
8.57
Change vs previous report
+8.0%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

May 9, 2012
21-for-20
May 4, 2011
21-for-20
May 5, 2010
21-for-20
May 6, 2009
21-for-20
May 7, 2008
21-for-20