Stocks · Technology · Information Technology Services
Verra Mobility Corporation VRRM
$2.81 -6.02% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $426.9M
Weak trendInexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 28, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Over the past year the stock returned -88.4%, behind the S&P 500 by 103.5 percentage points.
- The stock is 89% below its highest close of the past year.
- At 10.8× trailing earnings, the shares trade at the lowest P/E of the company's past five years.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Technology sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 47%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 43%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 11%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 43%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 41%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 49%
- Gross marginTop 1%
- Operating marginTop 28%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 11%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 34%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 12%
- Interest coverBottom 42%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 4%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 3%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 3%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 21%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 5%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 1%
- 6-month returnBottom 1%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 1%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 1%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 10%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 34%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 31%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 10%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 9%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 44%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 5%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 1%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 12%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 9.7% | 11.1% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 310.0% | 8.3% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 86.9% | 96.1% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 15.6% | 13.6% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 20.8% | 9.6% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 11.1% | 9.7% | ↑ | Bottom 47% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 8.3% | 310.0% | ↓ | Bottom 43% |
| Gross margin | 96.1% | 86.9% | ↑ | Top 1% |
| Operating margin | 13.6% | 15.6% | ↓ | Top 28% |
| Net margin | 4.4% | 4.3% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 9.6% | 20.8% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 4.5% | — | Top 49% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 9.7% | — | Top 43% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -10.5%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +20.1 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 3.77×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 2.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 43.25%
- Shareholder yield
- 43.25%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -5.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +4.4%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.3%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 1 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $6.50
- Target vs current price
- +131.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 12
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 33%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | +15.0% | +0.5% | -14.3% | -25.3% | — |
| May 6, 2026 | +0.0% | -1.2% | -6.4% | -71.5% | -63.5% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | -6.3% | +0.8% | -10.1% | -21.2% | -28.5% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | +8.8% | -0.7% | -4.2% | -10.1% | -14.5% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +3.0% | -0.7% | -4.3% | -2.5% | -5.2% |
| May 7, 2025 | +3.4% | -0.2% | +5.8% | +9.2% | +10.7% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | +10.0% | +0.2% | -16.3% | -18.8% | -8.3% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | +3.2% | -1.3% | -9.0% | -10.4% | +0.3% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.38 | $0.33 | +15.0% | $263.6M |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.25 | $0.25 | +0.0% | $223.6M |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $0.30 | $0.32 | -6.3% | $257.9M |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $0.37 | $0.34 | +8.8% | $261.9M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.34 | $0.33 | +3.0% | $236.0M |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.30 | $0.29 | +3.4% | $223.3M |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.33 | $0.30 | +10.0% | $221.5M |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $0.32 | $0.31 | +3.2% | $225.6M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 10.8× | 44.4× | 0th | Top 4% |
| P/E (forward) | 2.5× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.3× | — | — | Top 3% |
| EV / Sales | 1.45× | — | — | Top 21% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 22.66% | — | — | Top 3% |
| Earnings yield | 9.25% | — | — | Top 4% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 17.5× – 167.1× since Sep 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -88.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +8.3%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -79.3%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -7.2%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -13.7%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -32.7%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -75.5%
- RSI (14)
- 20.9
- Relative volume
- 0.70×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 66.2%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 94th percentile · High for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.22
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.05
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -88.7%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -90.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2024 | Oct 2, 2026 | -90.9% | 551 days | Not yet recovered |
| Feb 16, 2022 | May 9, 2022 | -28.8% | 56 days | 267 days (Jun 1, 2023) |
| Aug 1, 2023 | Sep 5, 2023 | -17.0% | 24 days | 67 days (Dec 8, 2023) |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Dec 1, 2021 | -15.0% | 13 days | 47 days (Feb 8, 2022) |
| Mar 15, 2021 | Mar 24, 2021 | -11.7% | 7 days | 28 days (May 4, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $426.9M
- P/E (TTM)
- 10.8
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.26
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.01B
- 52-week range
- $2.80 – $25.45
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $550.6M | $741.6M | $817.3M | $879.2M | $979.1M |
| Gross profit | $515.4M | $694.3M | $773.8M | $860.2M | $948.8M |
| Operating income | $111.9M | $164.7M | $188.8M | $136.0M | $238.4M |
| Net income | $41.4M | $92.5M | $57.0M | $31.4M | $136.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.25 | $0.58 | $0.36 | $0.19 | $0.85 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $225.6M | $221.5M | $223.3M | $236.0M | $261.9M | $257.9M | $223.6M | $263.6M |
| Net income | $34.7M | -$66.7M | $32.3M | $38.6M | $46.8M | $18.9M | $26.7M | -$48.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.21 | -$0.41 | $0.20 | $0.24 | $0.29 | $0.12 | $0.17 | -$0.32 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $193.2M | $218.3M | $206.1M | $223.6M | $255.8M |
| Capital expenditure | -$25.0M | -$48.2M | -$57.5M | -$70.9M | -$119.1M |
| Free cash flow | $168.2M | $170.2M | $148.6M | $152.8M | $136.7M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$100.0M | -$125.1M | -$100.0M | -$200.0M | -$132.4M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $54.8M
- Total assets
- $1.62B
- Total liabilities
- $1.39B
- Total debt
- $1.09B
- Net debt
- $1.04B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $223.6M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 14,332,749
- Days to cover
- 2.59
- Change vs previous report
- +12.7%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.