T-Mobile US rises 2.2% as Mint Mobile marks 10th anniversary with promotion

What happened

T-Mobile US (TMUS) rose 2.2% on October 8, 2026, after Mint Mobile launched a six-month promotional plan and T‑Mobile named Top 40 finalists in a Friday Night 5G Lights competition. The stock closed at $171.31. Mint Mobile announced the promotion and T‑Mobile posted the competition finalists on October 8, 2026, according to Business Wire and GuruFocus.

How big was the move

The stock rose 2.2% on the day and rose 5.9% over the last five sessions. Trading volume was 0.8 times its 20-day average, and the day’s change was 0.9 times a typical daily move for this stock, which the data classifies as an ordinary session. The S&P 500 fell 0.5% on the day while the Communication Services sector median rose 1.2%, making the stock’s performance 1.0 percentage points better than the sector median. Market sensitivity remained modest: the stock’s beta of 0.40 indicates the stock tends to move less than the market.

The technical picture

Technically, the stock was 1.7% above its 20-day moving average but 2.3% below its 50-day moving average and 10.1% below its 200-day moving average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day average, a sign of a weak longer-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (14 days) stood at 52, a neutral reading between 30 and 70. The shares were 25.8% below the 52-week high and had fallen 3.4% over one month, 8.7% over three months and 24.8% over one year, leaving the stock 40.4 percentage points behind the S&P 500 over one year. Volatility was 39% annualized over 60 days, higher than 96% of its own readings over five years, underscoring that recent price swings are large relative to its history even if daily moves are often muted.

Fundamentals and valuation

Over the four quarters through June 30, 2026, revenue was $92.19 billion, which grew 9.7% from a year earlier and compared with growth of 9.5% one quarter earlier. Diluted earnings per share were $9.55, while earnings per share growth from a year earlier fell 9.8%. Gross margin narrowed to 54.5% from 63.6% a year earlier, and operating margin declined to 20.3% from 23.1%. Free-cash-flow margin stood at 16.6% and return on invested capital was 7.1%. The balance sheet shows net debt of 4.0 times EBITDA, and share count over one year decreased by 4.6%.

On valuation, the stock traded at 17.9 times trailing earnings and 15.7 times expected earnings. The price to trailing earnings was lower than 95% of its own readings over the past five years (five-year median: 25.2 times earnings), while free-cash-flow yield was 8.7%. Those metrics point to a lower valuation relative to its recent history even as profit margins have compressed.

Earnings and analyst expectations

T-Mobile US last reported on July 23, 2026, when earnings per share were $2.99 against $2.59 expected, 15.4% above estimates. That was the second consecutive quarter beating estimates, and the average surprise over the last four reports was 7.0% above estimates. The typical two-day reaction after recent reports was that the stock rose 0.2%. The next report is scheduled for October 28, 2026. Analysts’ consensus price target was $231.60, which is 35.2% above the closing price, based on ratings from 54 analysts and a consensus rating of Buy; 80% of those ratings were Buy or higher.

PromtFinance scores placed the company strongly on Value at 80 and Revisions at 83, positively on Quality at 76 and Stability at 69, neutrally on Growth at 57, and weakly on Momentum at 32; those scores are ranked within the Communication Services sector.

What to watch

• October 28, 2026: next earnings report date.
• Mint Mobile promotion announced October 8, 2026: six months of any plan, including Unlimited, for $10 per month (six months for $60).
• July 23, 2026: last report EPS $2.99 against $2.59 expected, 15.4% above estimates.
• Consensus price target $231.60, 35.2% above the closing price.
• Net debt of 4.0 times EBITDA.