Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retail
Burlington Stores, Inc. BURL
$271.81 -1.28% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $17.33B
Strong growth
Next earnings report: Nov 24, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- At 24.4× trailing earnings, the shares trade at the lowest P/E of the company's past five years.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 11 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +14.9%).
- Net debt is 3.6× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 23%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 25%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 9%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 19%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 45%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 36%
- Gross marginTop 32%
- Operating marginTop 44%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 42%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 39%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 39%
- Interest coverTop 26%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 49%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 48%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 36%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 35%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 7%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 46%
- 6-month returnBottom 23%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 37%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 49%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 47%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 40%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 8%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 6%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 35%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 47%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 24%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 21%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 39%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.6% | 10.9% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 19.4% | 31.5% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 43.6% | 44.6% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 6.9% | 8.1% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 2.8% | 8.3% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 10.9% | 10.6% | ↑ | Top 23% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 31.5% | 19.4% | ↑ | Top 25% |
| Gross margin | 44.6% | 43.6% | ↑ | Top 32% |
| Operating margin | 8.1% | 6.9% | ↑ | Top 44% |
| Net margin | 5.8% | 5.0% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 8.3% | 2.8% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 9.0% | — | Top 36% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 9.9% | — | Top 19% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.98×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -7.0%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +4.3 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 3.55×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 12.6×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 1.79%
- Shareholder yield
- 1.79%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.0%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.6%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Aug 1, 2026 (filed Aug 27, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 11
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 8 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +14.9%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -1.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 2 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $383.30
- Target vs current price
- +41.0%
- Analysts with a rating
- 35
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 89%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | +35.2% | -7.6% | -18.1% | -18.8% | — |
| May 28, 2026 | +11.7% | -7.9% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +0.1% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | +2.9% | +6.9% | +1.0% | +10.0% | +7.7% |
| Nov 25, 2025 | +9.8% | -12.2% | -13.9% | -0.2% | +9.5% |
| Aug 28, 2025 | +24.2% | +5.3% | +7.5% | -6.3% | +0.7% |
| May 29, 2025 | +11.9% | -4.5% | -0.1% | -4.0% | +17.7% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | +8.0% | +8.7% | +2.7% | +7.7% | -3.7% |
| Nov 26, 2024 | +0.6% | -1.6% | -2.0% | -0.9% | -19.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | $2.96 | $2.19 | +35.2% | $3.00B |
| May 28, 2026 | $2.01 | $1.80 | +11.7% | $2.85B |
| Mar 5, 2026 | $4.89 | $4.75 | +2.9% | $3.64B |
| Nov 25, 2025 | $1.80 | $1.64 | +9.8% | $2.71B |
| Aug 28, 2025 | $1.59 | $1.28 | +24.2% | $2.70B |
| May 29, 2025 | $1.60 | $1.43 | +11.9% | $2.50B |
| Mar 6, 2025 | $4.07 | $3.77 | +8.0% | $3.27B |
| Nov 26, 2024 | $1.55 | $1.54 | +0.6% | $2.53B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 24.4× | 39.3× | 0th | Bottom 49% |
| P/E (forward) | 22.8× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.4× | — | — | Bottom 36% |
| EV / Sales | 1.84× | — | — | Bottom 35% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 5.83% | — | — | Top 48% |
| Earnings yield | 4.10% | — | — | Bottom 49% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 26.0× – 76.6× since Jul 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +6.3%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +31.5%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -25.3%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -9.6%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -9.5%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -12.6%
- RSI (14)
- 51.5
- Relative volume
- 0.66×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 43.2%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 60th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.67
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.27
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -27.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -38.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2021 | Sep 29, 2022 | -68.9% | 286 days | 950 days (Jul 16, 2026) |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sep 15, 2026 | -38.9% | 32 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Nov 2, 2020 | -12.1% | 18 days | 5 days (Nov 9, 2020) |
| Jan 6, 2021 | Jan 27, 2021 | -11.3% | 14 days | 19 days (Feb 24, 2021) |
| May 17, 2021 | Jun 18, 2021 | -10.3% | 23 days | 31 days (Aug 3, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $17.33B
- P/E (TTM)
- 24.4
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $11.14
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.22B
- 52-week range
- $226.85 – $378.33
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.32B | $8.70B | $9.73B | $10.63B | $11.57B |
| Gross profit | $3.89B | $3.53B | $4.14B | $4.61B | $5.08B |
| Operating income | $768.4M | $383.1M | $548.0M | $715.0M | $844.9M |
| Net income | $408.8M | $230.1M | $339.6M | $503.6M | $610.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | $6.00 | $3.49 | $5.23 | $7.80 | $9.51 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.53B | $3.28B | $2.50B | $2.71B | $2.71B | $3.65B | $2.86B | $3.00B |
| Net income | $90.6M | $260.8M | $100.8M | $94.2M | $104.8M | $310.4M | $114.7M | $184.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.40 | $4.02 | $1.58 | $1.47 | $1.63 | $4.84 | $1.79 | $2.88 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $833.2M | $596.4M | $868.7M | $863.4M | $1.23B |
| Capital expenditure | -$353.0M | -$451.1M | -$517.3M | -$892.0M | -$1.06B |
| Free cash flow | $480.1M | $145.3M | $351.5M | -$28.6M | $171.6M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$266.6M | -$316.9M | -$243.2M | -$256.3M | -$278.4M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $703.7M
- Total assets
- $10.04B
- Total liabilities
- $8.04B
- Total debt
- $5.91B
- Net debt
- $5.20B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $2.00B
As of Aug 1, 2026 (filed Aug 27, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 3,140,030
- Days to cover
- 1.97
- Change vs previous report
- +58.3%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.