Stocks · Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. MARA

$11.17 -0.53% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $4.28B

Expensive vs sectorHigh risk

Next earnings report: Nov 3, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $-9.45, down 943.7% year over year.
  2. Operating margin narrowed to -99.6% from 38.5% a year earlier.
  3. The diluted share count fell 13.5% in a year, mainly through buybacks.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Financial Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.

Growth16Very weak

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 29%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 1%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 1%
  • Revenue growth accelerationBottom 8%
Quality14Very weak

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalBottom 3%
  • Gross marginBottom 2%
  • Operating marginBottom 3%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 3%
  • Interest coverBottom 3%
Value3Very weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 2%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 4%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 3%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 15%
Momentum24Very weak

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 5%
  • 6-month returnTop 12%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 7%
  • Distance from 52-week highBottom 5%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Top 48%
Revisions18Very weak

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 8%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 17%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 47%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 41%
Stability2Very weak

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 4%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 4%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 4%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)23.1%0.7%↓
Gross margin31.0%-8.5%↓
Operating margin38.5%-99.6%↓
FCF margin-190.1%-194.7%↓

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)0.7%23.1%↓Bottom 29%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)-943.7%—Bottom 1%
Gross margin-8.5%31.0%↓Bottom 2%
Operating margin-99.6%38.5%↓Bottom 3%
Net margin-429.7%85.0%↓—
Free-cash-flow margin-194.7%-190.1%↓—
Return on invested capital-18.0%—Bottom 3%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR97.5%—Top 1%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-53.2%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
21.9%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
-12.1 pp
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
-18.8×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
0.00%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
-5.29%
Shareholder yield
-5.29%
Share count change, 1 year
-13.5%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+31.3%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
0
Beats in the last 8 reports
3 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
-50.2%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
-0.6%
Positive 20 days after report
3 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$13.25
Target vs current price
+18.6%
Analysts with a rating
20
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
45%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Aug 6, 2026-1060.4%-5.2%-14.2%-6.9%—
May 11, 2026-32.6%+3.5%-3.9%+6.5%-13.1%
Feb 26, 2026-100.0%-1.4%+8.4%-3.4%+58.1%
Nov 4, 2025+992.2%-6.7%-12.5%-33.1%-46.7%
Jul 29, 2025+2576.8%-3.2%-6.5%-10.3%+17.0%
May 8, 2025-355.9%+7.2%+19.1%+11.6%+20.3%
Feb 26, 2025+1024.4%+0.2%+12.5%+14.7%+27.5%
Nov 12, 2024-24.3%+0.9%-27.6%-8.8%-33.0%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Aug 6, 2026-$1.60$0.17-1060.4%$174.9M
May 11, 2026-$0.61-$0.46-32.6%$174.6M
Feb 26, 2026-$0.46-$0.23-100.0%$202.3M
Nov 4, 2025$0.27$0.02+992.2%$252.4M
Jul 29, 2025$1.84-$0.07+2576.8%$238.5M
May 8, 2025-$1.55-$0.34-355.9%$213.9M
Feb 26, 2025$1.24-$0.13+1024.4%$214.4M
Nov 12, 2024-$0.42-$0.34-24.3%$131.6M

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
EV / Sales7.87×——Bottom 15%
Free-cash-flow yield-36.57%——Bottom 4%
Earnings yield-84.60%——Bottom 2%

P/E over the past five years

Range 9.1× – 23.4× since Dec 31, 2023. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
-40.6%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
-943.7%
Change in P/E multiple
-24.1%

Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✓ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
22
50-day average slope (20 days)
-1.8%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+0.5%
Distance from 50-day average
-0.6%
Distance from 200-day average
+1.8%
RSI (14)
44.3
Relative volume
0.75×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
90.4%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
31th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
1.99
Correlation with S&P 500
0.40
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-51.1%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-78.3%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Nov 9, 2021Dec 28, 2022-95.9%285 daysNot yet recovered
Apr 5, 2021May 13, 2021-65.2%28 days120 days (Nov 2, 2021)
Feb 17, 2021Mar 8, 2021-40.5%13 days17 days (Mar 31, 2021)
Jan 8, 2021Jan 21, 2021-33.5%8 days12 days (Feb 8, 2021)
Oct 22, 2020Nov 2, 2020-30.0%7 days11 days (Nov 17, 2020)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$4.28B
EPS, diluted (TTM)
-$9.45
Revenue (TTM)
$804.2M
52-week range
$6.66 – $23.45
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$159.2M$117.8M$387.5M$656.4M$907.1M
Gross profit$116.8M-$33.7M-$15.3M-$159.4M-$432.9M
Operating income-$57.6M-$673.5M$220.9M$306.1M-$822.2M
Net income-$37.1M-$694.0M$261.2M$541.3M-$1.31B
EPS (diluted)-$0.37-$6.12$1.06$1.72-$3.69
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$131.6M$214.4M$213.9M$238.5M$252.4M$202.3M$174.6M$174.9M
Net income-$124.8M$528.5M-$533.2M$808.2M$123.1M-$1.71B-$1.26B-$609.7M
EPS (diluted)-$0.42$1.25-$1.55$1.84$0.27-$4.81-$3.31-$1.60
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow-$18.2M-$176.5M-$315.7M-$677.0M$94.7M
Capital expenditure-$708.9M-$41.1M-$27.6M-$253.5M-$407.1M
Free cash flow-$727.1M-$217.6M-$343.3M-$930.5M-$312.3M
Dividends paid$0$0$0$0$0
Net share buybacks$312.2M$361.5M$606.2M$1.82B$521.6M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$421.3M
Total assets
$4.35B
Total liabilities
$2.59B
Total debt
$2.47B
Net debt
$2.04B
Shareholders’ equity
$1.66B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).

Short interest

Shares sold short
104,599,144
Days to cover
2.38
Change vs previous report
-5.0%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

Apr 8, 2019
1-for-4
Oct 30, 2017
1-for-4
Dec 23, 2014
2-for-1
Jul 22, 2013
1-for-13