Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. RRGB
$8.05 +1.26% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $147.1M
High risk
Next earnings report: Nov 9, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count rose 15.6% in a year.
- Net debt is 10.6× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 80 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 19%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 32%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 36%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 16%
- Gross marginBottom 49%
- Operating marginBottom 17%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 21%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 8%
- Interest coverBottom 15%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 11%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 17%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 43%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 14%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 36%
- 6-month returnTop 1%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 33%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 48%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 21%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 6%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 33%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 25%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 8%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 14%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 13%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 3%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 8%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -4.5% | -3.7% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 22.3% | 35.4% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | -2.2% | -0.4% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -0.7% | -0.2% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -3.7% | -4.5% | ↑ | Bottom 19% |
| Gross margin | 35.4% | 22.3% | ↑ | Bottom 49% |
| Operating margin | -0.4% | -2.2% | ↑ | Bottom 17% |
| Net margin | -2.5% | -4.3% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -0.2% | -0.7% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -1.1% | — | Bottom 16% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -1.5% | — | Bottom 32% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -9.9%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.3%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +12.3 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 10.58×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -0.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.33%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.33%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +15.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +10.3%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jul 12, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $8.00
- Target vs current price
- -0.6%
- Analysts with a rating
- 38
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 37%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | +3503.6% | +4.2% | +30.4% | +4.7% | — |
| May 19, 2026 | -38.1% | +2.7% | +20.0% | +61.3% | +164.0% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | -46.4% | -2.4% | +19.4% | -17.2% | +22.3% |
| Nov 10, 2025 | +10.3% | +0.2% | -10.7% | -16.6% | -24.7% |
| Aug 13, 2025 | +204.0% | -2.6% | +8.1% | +0.2% | -24.4% |
| May 29, 2025 | +133.3% | -6.3% | +94.6% | +66.8% | +85.9% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | -88.0% | -1.1% | +5.9% | -9.8% | -36.8% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | -29.9% | +0.7% | -15.3% | -2.5% | -2.3% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | $0.12 | $0.00 | +3503.6% | $277.6M |
| May 19, 2026 | $0.13 | $0.21 | -38.1% | $378.3M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | -$0.41 | -$0.28 | -46.4% | $269.0M |
| Nov 10, 2025 | -$0.70 | -$0.78 | +10.3% | $265.1M |
| Aug 13, 2025 | $0.26 | -$0.25 | +204.0% | $283.7M |
| May 29, 2025 | $0.19 | -$0.57 | +133.3% | $392.4M |
| Feb 26, 2025 | -$0.94 | -$0.50 | -88.0% | $285.2M |
| Nov 6, 2024 | -$1.13 | -$0.87 | -29.9% | $274.6M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / EBITDA | 13.9× | — | — | Bottom 43% |
| EV / Sales | 0.52× | — | — | Top 14% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -1.22% | — | — | Bottom 17% |
| Earnings yield | -20.99% | — | — | Bottom 11% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 80
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.2%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +7.0%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -3.3%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +48.9%
- RSI (14)
- 53.1
- Relative volume
- 0.99×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 67.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 50th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 2.36
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.38
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -24.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -79.7%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | Apr 24, 2025 | -93.8% | 1033 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Oct 28, 2020 | -16.9% | 13 days | 8 days (Nov 9, 2020) |
| Nov 24, 2020 | Dec 14, 2020 | -14.9% | 13 days | 15 days (Jan 6, 2021) |
| Nov 10, 2020 | Nov 12, 2020 | -10.4% | 2 days | 3 days (Nov 17, 2020) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $147.1M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$1.69
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.19B
- 52-week range
- $2.46 – $10.95
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.16B | $1.27B | $1.30B | $1.25B | $1.21B |
| Gross profit | $394.4M | $419.6M | $417.8M | $852.8M | $822.4M |
| Operating income | -$37.1M | -$57.5M | $4.5M | -$53.1M | $2.8M |
| Net income | -$50.4M | -$78.9M | -$21.2M | -$77.5M | -$23.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$3.19 | -$4.98 | -$1.34 | -$4.93 | -$1.31 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $274.6M | $285.2M | $392.4M | $283.7M | $265.1M | $269.0M | $378.3M | $277.6M |
| Net income | -$18.9M | -$39.7M | $1.2M | $4.0M | -$18.4M | -$10.1M | -$2.2M | $386,000 |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.20 | -$2.48 | $0.07 | $0.21 | -$1.03 | -$0.56 | -$0.12 | $0.02 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $47.3M | $35.5M | -$1.2M | $7.0M | $37.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$42.3M | -$38.2M | -$49.4M | -$26.0M | -$30.8M |
| Free cash flow | $5.0M | -$2.6M | -$50.6M | -$19.0M | $6.2M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $0 | -$10.0M | $7.1M | -$479,000 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $22.8M
- Total assets
- $528.7M
- Total liabilities
- $634.3M
- Total debt
- $495.3M
- Net debt
- $472.4M
- Shareholders’ equity
- -$105.6M
As of Jul 12, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,647,512
- Days to cover
- 5.41
- Change vs previous report
- -5.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.