Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Agricultural Farm Products
Alico, Inc. ALCO
$38.39 +0.21% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $284.1M
Expensive vs sectorLow risk
Next earnings report: Nov 23, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin widened to -138.0% from -492.2% a year earlier.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $17.1M, down 61.4% from a year earlier, accelerating from -66.8% a quarter earlier.
- The shares trade at 182.8× trailing earnings, higher than 92% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
Growth8Very weak
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 1%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 2%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 1%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 7%
Quality8Very weak
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 44%
- Gross marginBottom 1%
- Operating marginBottom 1%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 3%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 5%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 5%
- Interest coverBottom 9%
Value8Very weak
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 29%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 11%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 36%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 1%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 6%
Momentum61Neutral
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 21%
- 6-month returnBottom 43%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 24%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 22%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Revisions45Neutral
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 4%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 45%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 2%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 34%
Stability96Exceptional
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 10%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 4%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 50%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 5%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -66.8% | -61.4% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | -465.3% | -72.1% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | -492.2% | -138.0% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 12.3% | -20.8% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -61.4% | -66.8% | ↑ | Bottom 1% |
| Gross margin | -72.1% | -465.3% | ↑ | Bottom 1% |
| Operating margin | -138.0% | -492.2% | ↑ | Bottom 1% |
| Net margin | 9.0% | -355.1% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -20.8% | 12.3% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 7.3% | — | Top 44% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -21.7% | — | Bottom 1% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- -0.25×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 1.0%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 3.7%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -16.5 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -2.39×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -5.0×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.53%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 3.42%
- Shareholder yield
- 3.96%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -2.7%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.7%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 10, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $45.00
- Target vs current price
- +17.2%
- Analysts with a rating
- 4
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 100%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | +139.5% | +2.3% | +4.9% | +5.8% | — |
| May 11, 2026 | +53.6% | -0.1% | -1.3% | +0.1% | -6.1% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | -900.0% | -2.4% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -1.0% |
| Nov 24, 2025 | -182.1% | +0.0% | +10.9% | +15.0% | +30.0% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | -119.3% | +2.7% | +1.9% | +3.9% | +1.6% |
| May 13, 2025 | -2950.0% | +0.7% | +5.1% | +7.4% | +10.0% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | +75.5% | -1.4% | -3.7% | -6.4% | -3.1% |
| Dec 2, 2024 | +147.5% | -1.3% | +3.7% | -4.9% | +9.6% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | $0.29 | -$0.74 | +139.5% | $9.0M |
| May 11, 2026 | $1.49 | $0.97 | +53.6% | $5.3M |
| Feb 4, 2026 | -$0.45 | -$0.05 | -900.0% | $1.9M |
| Nov 24, 2025 | -$1.10 | -$0.39 | -182.1% | $802,000 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | -$2.39 | -$1.09 | -119.3% | $8.4M |
| May 13, 2025 | -$10.98 | -$0.36 | -2950.0% | $18.0M |
| Feb 12, 2025 | -$0.23 | -$0.93 | +75.5% | $16.9M |
| Dec 2, 2024 | $0.19 | -$0.40 | +147.5% | $935,000 |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 182.8× | 7.9× | 92th | Bottom 29% |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.5× | — | — | Top 36% |
| EV / Sales | 13.55× | — | — | Bottom 1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -1.25% | — | — | Bottom 11% |
| Earnings yield | 0.55% | — | — | Bottom 29% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 4.5× – 186.0× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.0%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -2.5%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -4.3%
- RSI (14)
- 40.3
- Relative volume
- 0.85×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 21.7%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 20th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.38
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.23
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -13.7%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -20.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | May 16, 2023 | -47.4% | 270 days | 723 days (Apr 6, 2026) |
| Jan 5, 2022 | Feb 15, 2022 | -15.9% | 28 days | 37 days (Apr 8, 2022) |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Jul 31, 2026 | -15.1% | 79 days | Not yet recovered |
| Nov 16, 2020 | Mar 23, 2021 | -11.8% | 86 days | 38 days (May 17, 2021) |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Nov 2, 2020 | -10.1% | 18 days | 7 days (Nov 11, 2020) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $284.1M
- P/E (TTM)
- 182.8
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.21
- Revenue (TTM)
- $17.1M
- Dividend yield
- 0.52%
- 52-week range
- $31.32 – $45.01
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $108.6M | $91.9M | $39.8M | $46.6M | $44.1M |
| Gross profit | $23.9M | -$14.8M | $6.4M | -$56.4M | -$192.2M |
| Operating income | $14.4M | -$24.8M | -$4.2M | -$67.5M | -$203.9M |
| Net income | $34.9M | $12.5M | $1.8M | $7.0M | -$147.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.64 | $1.65 | $0.24 | $0.91 | -$19.29 |
| Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $935,000 | $16.9M | $18.0M | $8.4M | $802,000 | $1.9M | $5.3M | $9.0M |
| Net income | -$18.1M | -$9.2M | -$111.4M | -$18.3M | -$8.5M | -$3.5M | $11.4M | $2.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$2.38 | -$1.20 | -$14.58 | -$2.39 | -$1.11 | -$0.45 | $1.48 | $0.29 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $16.5M | $6.5M | -$6.3M | -$30.5M | $20.1M |
| Capital expenditure | -$22.3M | -$20.7M | -$16.7M | -$17.9M | -$5.5M |
| Free cash flow | -$5.8M | -$14.2M | -$22.9M | -$48.4M | $14.6M |
| Dividends paid | -$7.1M | -$15.1M | -$4.9M | -$1.5M | -$1.5M |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $465,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $55.6M
- Total assets
- $198.7M
- Total liabilities
- $93.8M
- Total debt
- $2.8M
- Net debt
- -$52.8M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $104.8M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 10, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | $0.05 | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | $0.05 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | $0.05 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Jan 2, 2026 | $0.05 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | $0.05 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | $0.05 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | $0.05 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Dec 27, 2024 | $0.05 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 185,450
- Days to cover
- 11.18
- Change vs previous report
- +6.4%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Feb 23, 1987
- 4-for-1