Stocks · Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty
Gevo, Inc. GEVO
$1.29 -1.53% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $318.9M
Strong growthWeak trendExpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 9, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $177.5M, up 121.4% from a year earlier, slowing from 314.9% a quarter earlier.
- Operating margin narrowed to -104.5% from -72.3% a year earlier.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Basic Materials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 3%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 1%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 1%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 4%
- Gross marginTop 18%
- Operating marginBottom 7%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 4%
- Interest coverBottom 10%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 2%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 5%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 3%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 42%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 18%
- 6-month returnBottom 7%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 12%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 12%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 24%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 29%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 50%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 27%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 13%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 18%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 26%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 15%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 314.9% | 121.4% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 44.3% | 42.9% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -72.3% | -104.5% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -114.6% | -31.8% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 121.4% | 314.9% | ↓ | Top 3% |
| Gross margin | 42.9% | 44.3% | ↓ | Top 18% |
| Operating margin | -104.5% | -72.3% | ↓ | Bottom 7% |
| Net margin | -119.9% | -72.8% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -31.8% | -114.6% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -40.9% | — | Bottom 4% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 415.1% | — | Top 1% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -40.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 5.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -117.0 pp
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -9.0×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -0.19%
- Shareholder yield
- -0.19%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.1%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -9.9%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +1.5%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $2.55
- Target vs current price
- +97.7%
- Analysts with a rating
- 14
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 71%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | +52.2% | -5.9% | +3.3% | +11.8% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | -150.0% | -1.0% | -15.6% | -13.7% | -28.8% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | +33.3% | -1.0% | +20.4% | +25.7% | -2.6% |
| Nov 10, 2025 | +25.0% | -3.2% | -10.0% | +1.8% | -21.5% |
| Aug 11, 2025 | +116.7% | +5.9% | +52.5% | +39.0% | +92.4% |
| May 13, 2025 | +10.0% | +4.2% | -0.8% | +2.5% | -3.4% |
| Mar 27, 2025 | +18.2% | +2.4% | -8.1% | -3.3% | -3.3% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | -28.6% | +10.5% | -17.4% | -11.0% | +5.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -$0.01 | -$0.02 | +52.2% | $46.5M |
| May 7, 2026 | -$0.05 | -$0.02 | -150.0% | $42.9M |
| Mar 5, 2026 | -$0.02 | -$0.03 | +33.3% | $45.0M |
| Nov 10, 2025 | -$0.03 | -$0.04 | +25.0% | $42.7M |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $0.01 | -$0.06 | +116.7% | $43.4M |
| May 13, 2025 | -$0.09 | -$0.10 | +10.0% | $29.1M |
| Mar 27, 2025 | -$0.09 | -$0.11 | +18.2% | $5.7M |
| Nov 7, 2024 | -$0.09 | -$0.07 | -28.6% | $2.0M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 2.43× | — | — | Bottom 42% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -17.73% | — | — | Bottom 5% |
| Earnings yield | -69.91% | — | — | Bottom 2% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.8%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -3.6%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -16.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -28.3%
- RSI (14)
- 28.6
- Relative volume
- 0.83×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 64.4%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 15th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.61
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.10
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -53.6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -69.0%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2021 | Aug 6, 2024 | -96.6% | 874 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jan 25, 2021 | Jan 29, 2021 | -23.3% | 4 days | 7 days (Feb 9, 2021) |
| Nov 27, 2020 | Dec 7, 2020 | -21.6% | 6 days | 7 days (Dec 16, 2020) |
| Jan 19, 2021 | Jan 20, 2021 | -21.4% | 1 days | 3 days (Jan 25, 2021) |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Oct 30, 2020 | -21.3% | 10 days | 14 days (Nov 19, 2020) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $318.9M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$0.90
- Revenue (TTM)
- $177.5M
- 52-week range
- $1.27 – $2.97
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $533,000 | $1.2M | $17.2M | $16.9M | $160.6M |
| Gross profit | -$7.2M | -$7.5M | $5.2M | $4.9M | $48.5M |
| Operating income | -$60.3M | -$102.7M | -$81.8M | -$90.8M | -$18.9M |
| Net income | -$59.2M | -$98.0M | -$66.2M | -$78.6M | -$33.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.30 | -$0.44 | -$0.28 | -$0.34 | -$0.14 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.0M | $5.7M | $29.1M | $43.4M | $42.7M | $45.3M | $42.9M | $46.5M |
| Net income | -$21.2M | -$17.6M | -$21.7M | $2.1M | -$8.0M | -$6.3M | -$21.7M | -$176.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.09 | -$0.07 | -$0.09 | $0.01 | -$0.03 | -$0.03 | -$0.09 | -$0.75 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$48.3M | -$44.3M | -$53.7M | -$57.4M | -$13.4M |
| Capital expenditure | -$65.9M | -$84.1M | -$54.5M | -$51.1M | -$30.1M |
| Free cash flow | -$114.2M | -$128.4M | -$108.2M | -$108.5M | -$43.5M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $489.4M | $150.0M | $0 | -$4.7M | $798,000 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $58.1M
- Total assets
- $490.7M
- Total liabilities
- $209.8M
- Total debt
- $170.7M
- Net debt
- $112.6M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $273.2M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 24,167,246
- Days to cover
- 11.96
- Change vs previous report
- -6.5%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jun 4, 2018
- 1-for-20
- Jan 6, 2017
- 1-for-20
- Apr 21, 2015
- 1-for-15