Stocks · Industrials · Industrial - Machinery
Graco Inc. GGG
$78.83 +1.06% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $12.63B
High qualityLow risk
Next earnings report: Oct 21, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The shares trade at 24.9× trailing earnings, lower than 86% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- The company holds net cash of $462.3M (cash above total debt).
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
Growth28Very weak
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 36%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 46%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 42%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 35%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 32%
Quality98Exceptional
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 8%
- Gross marginTop 9%
- Operating marginTop 3%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 32%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 49%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 12%
- Interest coverTop 2%
Value64Neutral
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 29%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 32%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 49%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 17%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 18%
Momentum39Weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 32%
- 6-month returnBottom 37%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 36%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 33%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 41%
Revisions12Very weak
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 35%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 39%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 13%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 34%
Stability99Exceptional
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 3%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 22%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 12%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 4.6% | 4.6% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 8.5% | 12.4% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 52.2% | 52.6% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 26.6% | 27.4% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 28.1% | 27.2% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 4.6% | 4.6% | ↓ | Bottom 36% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 12.4% | 8.5% | ↑ | Top 46% |
| Gross margin | 52.6% | 52.2% | ↑ | Top 9% |
| Operating margin | 27.4% | 26.6% | ↑ | Top 3% |
| Net margin | 23.5% | 22.3% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 27.2% | 28.1% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 18.8% | — | Top 8% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 1.4% | — | Bottom 35% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.24×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +5.0 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -0.63×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 194.7×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 1.49%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 2.60%
- Shareholder yield
- 4.10%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -0.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 26, 2026 (filed Jul 22, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 2 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +0.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $95.00
- Target vs current price
- +20.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 20
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 30%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | +12.6% | +1.0% | +12.5% | +10.8% | — |
| Apr 22, 2026 | -11.1% | -2.0% | -7.9% | -13.7% | -14.5% |
| Jan 26, 2026 | +0.0% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +7.3% | +0.8% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | -1.1% | -2.7% | -2.9% | -5.6% | +4.8% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | -5.3% | -0.0% | -3.0% | -1.1% | -5.7% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | +4.6% | -0.0% | +3.2% | +9.9% | +9.9% |
| Jan 27, 2025 | -16.9% | +0.1% | -2.0% | +0.5% | -8.0% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | -5.5% | -1.1% | -2.7% | +4.8% | +2.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $0.91 | $0.81 | +12.6% | $590.6M |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $0.66 | $0.74 | -11.1% | $540.1M |
| Jan 26, 2026 | $0.77 | $0.77 | +0.0% | $593.2M |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $0.73 | $0.74 | -1.1% | $543.4M |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $0.75 | $0.79 | -5.3% | $571.8M |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $0.70 | $0.67 | +4.6% | $528.3M |
| Jan 27, 2025 | $0.64 | $0.77 | -16.9% | $548.7M |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $0.71 | $0.75 | -5.5% | $519.2M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 24.9× | 28.1× | 14th | Top 29% |
| P/E (forward) | 24.0× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 16.6× | — | — | Top 49% |
| EV / Sales | 5.37× | — | — | Bottom 17% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.89% | — | — | Top 32% |
| Earnings yield | 4.02% | — | — | Top 29% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 23.0× – 30.9× since Jun 25, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -7.1%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +12.4%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -24.6%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.1%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.6%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -0.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -3.6%
- RSI (14)
- 55.5
- Relative volume
- 1.28×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 21.5%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 46th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.73
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.56
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -16.9%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -22.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2021 | Jun 16, 2022 | -29.4% | 115 days | 244 days (Jun 7, 2023) |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Jul 21, 2026 | -22.9% | 97 days | Not yet recovered |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -21.8% | 262 days | 214 days (Feb 13, 2026) |
| Jul 19, 2023 | Oct 25, 2023 | -20.2% | 69 days | 72 days (Feb 8, 2024) |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Mar 4, 2021 | -14.4% | 30 days | 33 days (Apr 21, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $12.63B
- P/E (TTM)
- 24.9
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $3.17
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.27B
- Dividend yield
- 1.85%
- 52-week range
- $72.51 – $95.69
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.99B | $2.14B | $2.20B | $2.11B | $2.24B |
| Gross profit | $1.03B | $1.06B | $1.16B | $1.12B | $1.17B |
| Operating income | $531.3M | $572.7M | $646.8M | $570.1M | $610.7M |
| Net income | $439.9M | $460.6M | $506.5M | $486.1M | $521.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.52 | $2.66 | $2.94 | $2.82 | $3.08 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $519.2M | $548.7M | $528.3M | $571.8M | $543.4M | $593.2M | $540.1M | $590.6M |
| Net income | $122.2M | $108.7M | $124.1M | $127.6M | $137.6M | $132.5M | $118.5M | $144.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.71 | $0.63 | $0.72 | $0.76 | $0.82 | $0.79 | $0.70 | $0.86 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $456.9M | $377.4M | $651.0M | $621.7M | $683.6M |
| Capital expenditure | -$133.6M | -$201.2M | -$184.8M | -$106.7M | -$45.7M |
| Free cash flow | $323.3M | $176.2M | $466.2M | $515.0M | $637.9M |
| Dividends paid | -$127.1M | -$142.1M | -$158.3M | -$172.1M | -$183.4M |
| Net share buybacks | $51.0M | -$197.8M | -$42.2M | $39.3M | -$380.1M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $507.6M
- Total assets
- $3.13B
- Total liabilities
- $607.8M
- Total debt
- $45.2M
- Net debt
- -$462.3M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $2.52B
As of Jun 26, 2026 (filed Jul 22, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | $0.30 | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | $0.30 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | $0.30 | May 6, 2026 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | $0.30 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | $0.28 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Jul 21, 2025 | $0.28 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Apr 14, 2025 | $0.28 | May 7, 2025 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | $0.28 | Feb 5, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 5,443,852
- Days to cover
- 3.41
- Change vs previous report
- -15.3%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Dec 28, 2017
- 3-for-1
- Mar 31, 2004
- 3-for-2
- Jun 7, 2002
- 3-for-2
- Feb 7, 2001
- 3-for-2
- Feb 5, 1998
- 3-for-2