Stocks · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

HighPeak Energy, Inc. HPK

$8.09 +3.06% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $991.9M

High risk

Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $-0.79, down 188.4% year over year.
  2. Operating margin narrowed to 15.7% from 29.1% a year earlier.
  3. The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 101 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Energy sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.

Growth16Very weak

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 11%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 10%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 11%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 40%
  • Revenue growth accelerationTop 26%
Quality42Weak

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalBottom 32%
  • Gross marginTop 49%
  • Operating marginTop 43%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 16%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 33%
  • Interest coverBottom 24%
Value38Weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 15%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 25%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 12%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 47%
Momentum73Positive

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 46%
  • 6-month returnTop 15%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 49%
  • Distance from 52-week highTop 28%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Top 7%
Revisions40Weak

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 7%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 20%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 24%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 22%
Stability20Very weak

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 14%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 9%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 28%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 33%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)-25.8%-12.6%↑
EPS growth (YoY)-230.3%-188.4%↑
Gross margin32.9%33.8%↑
Operating margin29.1%15.7%↓
FCF margin3.2%-1.7%↓

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)-12.6%-25.8%↑Bottom 11%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)-188.4%-230.3%↑Bottom 10%
Gross margin33.8%32.9%↑Top 49%
Operating margin15.7%29.1%↓Top 43%
Net margin-10.5%12.6%↓—
Free-cash-flow margin-1.7%3.2%↓—
Return on invested capital3.6%—Bottom 32%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR4.5%—Top 40%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-15.2%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
0.2%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
+17.5 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
2.48×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
0.9×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
1.16%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
0.40%
Shareholder yield
1.56%
Share count change, 1 year
+0.2%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+2.9%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jun 30, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
0
Beats in the last 8 reports
2 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
-100.0%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+1.8%
Positive 20 days after report
5 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$12.00
Target vs current price
+48.3%
Analysts with a rating
4
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
75%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Aug 10, 2026-280.0%+10.0%+3.2%+11.8%—
May 6, 2026+0.0%-9.0%+1.5%+18.9%+5.3%
Mar 11, 2026-425.0%+6.4%+21.8%+15.3%+50.9%
Nov 5, 2025-62.5%-1.3%-3.1%-6.5%-24.8%
Aug 11, 2025-16.7%-3.8%-14.2%-16.2%-28.2%
May 12, 2025+40.9%+8.8%+7.4%+21.8%-7.7%
Mar 10, 2025-60.0%-1.2%+0.3%-18.9%-8.6%
Nov 4, 2024+52.2%+4.2%+13.6%+20.6%+8.8%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Aug 10, 2026-$0.03$0.02-280.0%$272.4M
May 6, 2026-$0.02-$0.02+0.0%$215.9M
Mar 11, 2026-$0.21-$0.04-425.0%$165.8M
Nov 5, 2025$0.03$0.08-62.5%$188.9M
Aug 11, 2025$0.10$0.12-16.7%$200.4M
May 12, 2025$0.31$0.22+40.9%$257.4M
Mar 10, 2025$0.06$0.15-60.0%$234.8M
Nov 4, 2024$0.35$0.23+52.2%$271.6M

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
EV / EBITDA4.8×——Top 12%
EV / Sales2.41×——Bottom 47%
Free-cash-flow yield-1.49%——Bottom 25%
Earnings yield-9.77%——Bottom 15%

P/E over the past five years

Range 6.5× – 117.7× since Sep 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
+16.4%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
-188.4%
Change in P/E multiple
+123.5%

Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✓ Price above 20-day average
  • ✓ Price above 50-day average
  • ✓ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
5
Days above the 200-day average
101
50-day average slope (20 days)
+4.7%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+3.5%
Distance from 50-day average
+4.0%
Distance from 200-day average
+24.0%
RSI (14)
52.5
Relative volume
0.60×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
65.9%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
51th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.24
Correlation with S&P 500
0.06
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-6.4%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-78.5%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Apr 22, 2022Jan 22, 2026-89.7%940 daysNot yet recovered
Dec 22, 2020Mar 30, 2021-68.7%66 days220 days (Feb 10, 2022)
Oct 7, 2020Oct 27, 2020-41.6%14 days29 days (Dec 8, 2020)
Mar 8, 2022Mar 14, 2022-27.0%4 days22 days (Apr 13, 2022)
Dec 10, 2020Dec 11, 2020-11.7%1 days1 days (Dec 14, 2020)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$991.9M
EPS, diluted (TTM)
-$0.79
Revenue (TTM)
$843.0M
Dividend yield
0.49%
52-week range
$3.85 – $9.13
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$220.1M$755.7M$1.11B$1.07B$863.4M
Gross profit$119.1M$469.9M$483.0M$376.7M$178.7M
Operating income$101.8M$422.6M$426.5M$337.4M$150.0M
Net income$55.6M$236.9M$215.9M$95.1M$19.0M
EPS (diluted)$0.54$1.93$1.58$0.67$0.13
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$271.6M$234.8M$257.4M$200.4M$188.9M$165.8M$215.9M$272.4M
Net income$49.9M$9.0M$36.3M$26.2M-$18.3M-$25.2M-$127.4M$82.3M
EPS (diluted)$0.35$0.06$0.29$0.19-$0.15-$0.21-$1.02$0.59
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$147.0M$504.0M$756.4M$690.4M$511.6M
Capital expenditure-$291.0M-$1.31B-$1.13B-$621.2M-$522.2M
Free cash flow-$144.0M-$807.3M-$369.5M$69.2M-$10.6M
Dividends paid-$12.6M-$11.6M-$13.1M-$22.2M-$23.0M
Net share buybacks$25.3M$85.0M$155.8M-$35.2M-$154,000

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$146.3M
Total assets
$3.17B
Total liabilities
$1.62B
Total debt
$1.19B
Net debt
$1.04B
Shareholders’ equity
$1.55B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jun 30, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Dec 1, 2025$0.04Dec 23, 2025
Sep 2, 2025$0.04Sep 25, 2025
Jun 2, 2025$0.04Jun 25, 2025
Mar 3, 2025$0.04Mar 25, 2025
Dec 2, 2024$0.04Dec 23, 2024
Sep 3, 2024$0.04Sep 25, 2024
Jun 3, 2024$0.04Jun 25, 2024
Feb 29, 2024$0.04Mar 25, 2024

Short interest

Shares sold short
7,889,877
Days to cover
21.25
Change vs previous report
-13.6%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.