Stocks · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
NextNav Inc. NN
$13.32 -4.72% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.91B
Expensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 5, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin narrowed to -1900.4% from -1004.3% a year earlier.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $4.0M, down 36.5% from a year earlier.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Technology sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 2%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 47%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 23%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 11%
- Gross marginBottom 1%
- Operating marginBottom 2%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 21%
- Interest coverBottom 18%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 21%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 18%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 15%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 1%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 46%
- 6-month returnBottom 12%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 42%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 28%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 10%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 12%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 12%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 5%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 9%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 39%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 23%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 40%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -34.6% | -36.5% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | -75.9% | -178.7% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -1004.3% | -1900.4% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -716.5% | -1344.5% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -36.5% | -34.6% | ↓ | Bottom 2% |
| Gross margin | -178.7% | -75.9% | ↓ | Bottom 1% |
| Operating margin | -1900.4% | -1004.3% | ↓ | Bottom 2% |
| Net margin | -2812.5% | -2678.6% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -1344.5% | -716.5% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -19.9% | — | Bottom 11% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 5.2% | — | Bottom 47% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -15.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 493.8%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +30.7 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- Net cash
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -12.9×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -5.44%
- Shareholder yield
- -5.44%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +7.0%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +9.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 11, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 3 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -52.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.4%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $31.50
- Target vs current price
- +136.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 3
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 100%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | -54.8% | +15.6% | +24.4% | -1.4% | — |
| May 14, 2026 | +14.3% | +5.5% | +10.3% | +8.3% | -26.6% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | -184.6% | +1.6% | +12.5% | -3.0% | +29.7% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | +14.3% | -6.1% | -0.2% | +22.8% | +13.7% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | -242.9% | +0.8% | -5.0% | +5.3% | -13.6% |
| May 9, 2025 | -221.4% | -5.8% | -2.4% | -14.9% | +11.3% |
| Mar 12, 2025 | -66.7% | +1.1% | +16.8% | +9.1% | +14.4% |
| Nov 13, 2024 | +26.7% | -8.9% | +8.9% | +16.3% | -20.2% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | -$0.24 | -$0.16 | -54.8% | $1.1M |
| May 14, 2026 | -$0.12 | -$0.14 | +14.3% | $995,000 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | -$0.37 | -$0.13 | -184.6% | $943,000 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | -$0.12 | -$0.14 | +14.3% | $887,000 |
| Aug 6, 2025 | -$0.48 | -$0.14 | -242.9% | $1.2M |
| May 9, 2025 | -$0.45 | -$0.14 | -221.4% | $1.5M |
| Mar 12, 2025 | -$0.25 | -$0.15 | -66.7% | $1.9M |
| Nov 13, 2024 | -$0.11 | -$0.15 | +26.7% | $1.6M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 463.37× | — | — | Bottom 1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -2.80% | — | — | Bottom 18% |
| Earnings yield | -6.38% | — | — | Bottom 21% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.9%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.0%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -13.5%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -21.2%
- RSI (14)
- 38.0
- Relative volume
- 1.05×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 70.2%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 49th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.56
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.31
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -43.5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -47.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2021 | Mar 23, 2023 | -86.5% | 349 days | 407 days (Nov 4, 2024) |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Mar 4, 2025 | -47.8% | 51 days | 261 days (Mar 18, 2026) |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Jul 24, 2026 | -47.3% | 34 days | Not yet recovered |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Apr 28, 2026 | -26.9% | 6 days | 26 days (Jun 4, 2026) |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Apr 8, 2026 | -24.6% | 9 days | 6 days (Apr 16, 2026) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.91B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$0.85
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.0M
- 52-week range
- $10.87 – $24.42
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $763,000 | $3.9M | $3.9M | $5.7M | $4.6M |
| Gross profit | -$17.6M | -$7.9M | -$8.9M | -$5.1M | -$11.7M |
| Operating income | -$42.4M | -$65.5M | -$63.5M | -$60.1M | -$70.2M |
| Net income | -$144.7M | -$40.1M | -$71.7M | -$101.9M | -$189.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.47 | -$0.40 | -$0.66 | -$0.84 | -$1.42 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.6M | $1.9M | $1.5M | $1.2M | $887,000 | $945,000 | $995,000 | $1.1M |
| Net income | -$13.6M | -$32.3M | -$58.6M | -$63.2M | $483,000 | -$68.0M | -$10.6M | -$33.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.11 | -$0.27 | -$0.45 | -$0.48 | $0.01 | -$0.50 | -$0.12 | -$0.24 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$47.9M | -$37.1M | -$35.4M | -$38.0M | -$50.7M |
| Capital expenditure | -$1.3M | -$3.6M | -$2.8M | -$350,000 | -$50,000 |
| Free cash flow | -$49.2M | -$40.7M | -$38.2M | -$38.4M | -$50.8M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $2,000 | $3,000 | $955,000 | $35.2M | $2.8M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $228.8M
- Total assets
- $389.1M
- Total liabilities
- $54.6M
- Total debt
- $13.2M
- Net debt
- -$64.6M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $334.5M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 11, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 17,794,038
- Days to cover
- 7.82
- Change vs previous report
- +7.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.