Stocks · Communication Services · Broadcasting
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. SIRI
$26.31 +2.29% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $8.67B
Inexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 29, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin widened to 19.2% from -19.2% a year earlier.
- The shares trade at 10.4× trailing earnings, lower than 88% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- Net debt is 4.1× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Communication Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 30%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 22%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 25%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 36%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 44%
- Gross marginBottom 40%
- Operating marginTop 21%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 48%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 31%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 28%
- Interest coverTop 34%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 13%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 14%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 24%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 45%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 34%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 24%
- 6-month returnTop 36%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 31%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 33%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 38%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 30%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 18%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 36%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 42%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 27%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 35%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 41%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 28%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -0.3% | 0.4% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 47.5% | 46.2% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -19.2% | 19.2% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 11.6% | 18.0% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 0.4% | -0.3% | ↑ | Bottom 30% |
| Gross margin | 46.2% | 47.5% | ↓ | Bottom 40% |
| Operating margin | 19.2% | -19.2% | ↑ | Top 21% |
| Net margin | 10.2% | -20.5% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 18.0% | 11.6% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 5.1% | — | Top 44% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -1.7% | — | Bottom 25% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 2.39×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.5%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 2.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +7.1 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 4.06×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 3.7×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 4.20%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 1.08%
- Shareholder yield
- 5.28%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -4.2%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -4.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 3 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -15.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $34.43
- Target vs current price
- +30.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 32
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 63%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | -10.4% | -5.0% | -5.8% | -12.5% | — |
| Apr 30, 2026 | +2.9% | +0.7% | -0.3% | +11.6% | +16.7% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | -62.3% | +9.0% | +5.6% | +9.2% | +31.3% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | +7.1% | +10.1% | +5.1% | -0.7% | -4.1% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | -27.8% | -7.9% | -8.5% | +3.2% | -7.0% |
| May 1, 2025 | -15.7% | -9.0% | -1.3% | +4.5% | +9.5% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | +29.7% | +5.8% | +18.1% | +9.5% | -0.8% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | -1235.1% | -2.7% | -4.3% | -2.8% | -20.3% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.70 | $0.78 | -10.4% | $2.16B |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.72 | $0.70 | +2.9% | $2.09B |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.29 | $0.77 | -62.3% | $2.19B |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $0.84 | $0.78 | +7.1% | $2.16B |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.57 | $0.79 | -27.8% | $2.14B |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.59 | $0.70 | -15.7% | $2.07B |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $0.83 | $0.64 | +29.7% | $2.19B |
| Oct 31, 2024 | -$8.74 | $0.77 | -1235.1% | $2.17B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 10.4× | 17.1× | 12th | Top 13% |
| P/E (forward) | 8.8× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 7.8× | — | — | Top 24% |
| EV / Sales | 2.09× | — | — | Bottom 45% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 17.87% | — | — | Top 14% |
| Earnings yield | 9.65% | — | — | Top 13% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 8.3× – 134.2× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 136
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -3.9%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -7.8%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +2.6%
- RSI (14)
- 40.1
- Relative volume
- 1.17×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 33.2%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 42th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.07
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.45
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -19.3%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -66.0%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2023 | Apr 8, 2025 | -75.2% | 431 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jun 8, 2021 | May 9, 2023 | -51.8% | 483 days | 49 days (Jul 20, 2023) |
| Jan 27, 2021 | May 12, 2021 | -16.0% | 73 days | 18 days (Jun 8, 2021) |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Jan 15, 2021 | -12.3% | 26 days | 7 days (Jan 27, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $8.67B
- P/E (TTM)
- 10.4
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $2.54
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.60B
- Dividend yield
- 4.10%
- 52-week range
- $19.77 – $32.66
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.70B | $9.00B | $8.95B | $8.70B | $8.56B |
| Gross profit | $4.40B | $4.52B | $4.38B | $4.20B | $4.03B |
| Operating income | $2.02B | $2.04B | $1.95B | -$1.52B | $1.47B |
| Net income | $1.31B | $1.21B | $1.26B | -$1.67B | $805.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.20 | $3.10 | $3.24 | -$4.93 | $2.25 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.17B | $2.19B | $2.07B | $2.14B | $2.16B | $2.19B | $2.09B | $2.16B |
| Net income | -$2.46B | $287.0M | $204.0M | $205.0M | $297.0M | $99.0M | $245.0M | $239.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$7.24 | $0.80 | $0.59 | $0.57 | $0.84 | $0.28 | $0.72 | $0.70 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $2.00B | $1.98B | $1.83B | $1.74B | $1.90B |
| Capital expenditure | -$388.0M | -$426.0M | -$650.0M | -$728.0M | -$653.0M |
| Free cash flow | $1.61B | $1.55B | $1.18B | $1.01B | $1.25B |
| Dividends paid | -$268.0M | -$1.34B | -$65.0M | -$143.0M | -$365.0M |
| Net share buybacks | -$1.52B | -$647.0M | -$274.0M | -$6.0M | -$136.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $174.0M
- Total assets
- $27.18B
- Total liabilities
- $15.28B
- Total debt
- $9.46B
- Net debt
- $9.28B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $11.91B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | $0.27 | Aug 26, 2026 |
| May 11, 2026 | $0.27 | May 27, 2026 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $0.27 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.27 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | $0.27 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| May 9, 2025 | $0.27 | May 28, 2025 |
| Feb 7, 2025 | $0.27 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $0.27 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 36,971,997
- Days to cover
- 9.83
- Change vs previous report
- +16.4%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Sep 10, 2024
- 1-for-10
- Oct 10, 2011
- 1-for-4
- May 3, 2011
- 6-for-7