Stocks · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Safe Pro Group Inc. Common Stock SPAI
$4.38 -0.90% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $91.1M
Strong growthExpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 13, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $2.9M, up 92.6% from a year earlier, accelerating from -19.8% a quarter earlier.
- Operating margin widened to -485.0% from -726.8% a year earlier.
- The diluted share count rose 34.9% in a year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 4%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 2%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 1%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 1%
- Gross marginBottom 5%
- Operating marginBottom 4%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 1%
- Interest coverBottom 2%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 14%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 14%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 6%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 3%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 14%
- 6-month returnTop 44%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 13%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 18%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 41%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 15%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 16%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 4%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 27%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 1%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -19.8% | 92.6% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 46.2% | 3.0% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -726.8% | -485.0% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -349.1% | -292.9% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 92.6% | -19.8% | ↑ | Top 4% |
| Gross margin | 3.0% | 46.2% | ↓ | Bottom 5% |
| Operating margin | -485.0% | -726.8% | ↑ | Bottom 4% |
| Net margin | -500.0% | -731.9% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -292.9% | -349.1% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -111.2% | — | Bottom 1% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -19.2% | — | Bottom 2% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -45.0%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 118.2%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +3049.9 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- Net cash
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -1110.3×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -19.59%
- Shareholder yield
- -19.59%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +34.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +37.6%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 14, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 1 of 4
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -51.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +4.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 6 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $13.00
- Target vs current price
- +196.8%
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | +0.0% | +37.7% | +16.1% | +0.2% | — |
| May 15, 2026 | +6.7% | -1.4% | -4.8% | +16.1% | +6.8% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | -50.0% | +7.3% | +5.9% | +19.7% | +11.3% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | -163.6% | -3.7% | -6.4% | -3.5% | -10.1% |
| Aug 14, 2025 | — | +3.5% | +18.9% | +132.7% | +41.4% |
| May 15, 2025 | — | -3.6% | -4.3% | -3.3% | +27.4% |
| Mar 28, 2025 | — | -4.3% | -34.3% | +18.1% | -8.7% |
| Nov 14, 2024 | — | -2.9% | +54.6% | +56.5% | +24.2% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | -$0.15 | -$0.15 | +0.0% | $1.3M |
| May 15, 2026 | -$0.14 | -$0.15 | +6.7% | $1.2M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | -$0.15 | -$0.10 | -50.0% | $214,000 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | -$0.29 | -$0.11 | -163.6% | $101,422 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | -$0.13 | — | — | $92,753 |
| May 15, 2025 | -$0.27 | — | — | $184,802 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | -$0.06 | — | — | $887,779 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | -$0.34 | — | — | $330,756 |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 28.29× | — | — | Bottom 3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -9.26% | — | — | Bottom 14% |
| Earnings yield | -17.81% | — | — | Bottom 14% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +5.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.2%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -5.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -4.5%
- RSI (14)
- 46.3
- Relative volume
- 0.52×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 98.0%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 19th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 3.68
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.36
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -51.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -66.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | Apr 4, 2025 | -66.2% | 84 days | 95 days (Aug 21, 2025) |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Dec 17, 2025 | -63.9% | 42 days | Not yet recovered |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Nov 18, 2024 | -61.2% | 53 days | 4 days (Nov 22, 2024) |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Sep 26, 2025 | -24.5% | 11 days | 15 days (Oct 17, 2025) |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Nov 27, 2024 | -13.7% | 2 days | 2 days (Dec 2, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $91.1M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$0.78
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.9M
- 52-week range
- $3.23 – $9.05
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.2M | $917,720 | $2.2M | $606,681 |
| Gross profit | $518,537 | $311,081 | $906,146 | $202,178 |
| Operating income | -$502,843 | -$6.3M | -$7.2M | -$13.7M |
| Net income | -$507,641 | -$6.3M | -$7.4M | -$14.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.07 | -$0.46 | -$0.51 | -$0.84 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $330,756 | $887,779 | $184,802 | $92,753 | $101,422 | $227,704 | $1.2M | $1.3M |
| Net income | -$3.7M | -$1.4M | -$4.0M | -$1.9M | -$5.0M | -$3.4M | -$2.8M | -$3.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.34 | -$0.10 | -$0.27 | -$0.13 | -$0.29 | -$0.20 | -$0.14 | -$0.15 |
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $1.1M | -$2.0M | -$4.1M | -$6.2M |
| Capital expenditure | -$26,344 | -$30,172 | -$436,389 | -$241,353 |
| Free cash flow | $1.1M | -$2.0M | -$4.5M | -$6.5M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $1.2M | $1.0M | $4.7M | $20.6M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $10.2M
- Total assets
- $13.5M
- Total liabilities
- $1.6M
- Total debt
- $595,013
- Net debt
- -$9.6M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $12.0M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 14, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 438,952
- Days to cover
- 5.06
- Change vs previous report
- +40.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.