Stocks · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
TransDigm Group Incorporated TDG
$1,092.66 +0.21% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $60.99B
Next earnings report: Nov 11, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- At 33.2× trailing earnings, the shares trade at the lowest P/E of the company's past five years.
- Net debt is 6.1× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
Growth76Positive
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 28%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 50%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 42%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 16%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 30%
Quality54Neutral
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 10%
- Gross marginTop 5%
- Operating marginTop 1%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 18%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 16%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 11%
- Interest coverBottom 42%
Value52Neutral
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 44%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 49%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 45%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 7%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 5%
Momentum29Very weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 31%
- 6-month returnBottom 34%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 29%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 50%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 16%
Revisions53Neutral
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 49%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 28%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 34%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 47%
Stability70Positive
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 10%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 19%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 30%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 11%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 13.3% | 16.6% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 8.2% | 9.4% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 59.4% | 59.6% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 46.0% | 46.2% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 22.2% | 19.3% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 16.6% | 13.3% | ↑ | Top 28% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 9.4% | 8.2% | ↑ | Top 50% |
| Gross margin | 59.6% | 59.4% | ↑ | Top 5% |
| Operating margin | 46.2% | 46.0% | ↑ | Top 1% |
| Net margin | 21.3% | 22.5% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 19.3% | 22.2% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 16.0% | — | Top 10% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 17.6% | — | Top 16% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.03×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -0.3%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +3.1 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 6.15×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 2.4×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 8.68%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 2.74%
- Shareholder yield
- 11.42%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -0.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +0.4%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 27, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 4
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +4.8%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -3.8%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 2 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $1,457.00
- Target vs current price
- +33.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 39
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 49%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | +5.5% | -0.8% | -4.8% | -8.9% | — |
| May 5, 2026 | +4.1% | +3.6% | +4.3% | +8.5% | +8.7% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | +1.6% | -9.3% | -9.4% | -7.6% | -20.4% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | +7.8% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +0.7% | +0.5% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | -2.9% | -11.9% | -12.4% | -18.9% | -17.0% |
| May 6, 2025 | +1.7% | -5.5% | -3.8% | -1.1% | +9.2% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | +0.0% | -3.3% | -1.3% | -0.2% | +4.5% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | +6.2% | -3.8% | -1.4% | -6.5% | -6.6% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $10.87 | $10.30 | +5.5% | $2.74B |
| May 5, 2026 | $9.85 | $9.46 | +4.1% | $2.54B |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $8.23 | $8.10 | +1.6% | $2.29B |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $10.82 | $10.04 | +7.8% | $2.44B |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $9.60 | $9.89 | -2.9% | $2.24B |
| May 6, 2025 | $9.11 | $8.96 | +1.7% | $2.15B |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $7.83 | $7.83 | +0.0% | $2.01B |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $9.83 | $9.26 | +6.2% | $2.19B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 33.2× | 47.4× | 0th | Top 44% |
| P/E (forward) | 26.6× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 18.4× | — | — | Bottom 45% |
| EV / Sales | 9.15× | — | — | Bottom 7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.16% | — | — | Bottom 49% |
| Earnings yield | 3.02% | — | — | Top 44% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 37.2× – 72.6× since Jul 3, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -14.9%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +9.4%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -17.8%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -5.3%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.8%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -7.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -12.3%
- RSI (14)
- 38.5
- Relative volume
- 0.76×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 24.6%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 31th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.83
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.46
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -24.6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -33.6%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | Sep 17, 2026 | -33.6% | 285 days | Not yet recovered |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Oct 12, 2022 | -25.6% | 232 days | 69 days (Jan 23, 2023) |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Jan 27, 2021 | -16.2% | 17 days | 31 days (Mar 12, 2021) |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -14.6% | 128 days | 17 days (May 2, 2025) |
| Jun 23, 2021 | Sep 8, 2021 | -14.3% | 53 days | 44 days (Nov 9, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $60.99B
- P/E (TTM)
- 33.2
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $32.96
- Revenue (TTM)
- $10.01B
- 52-week range
- $1,071.25 – $1,463.03
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.80B | $5.43B | $6.58B | $7.94B | $8.83B |
| Gross profit | $2.51B | $3.10B | $3.84B | $4.67B | $5.31B |
| Operating income | $1.69B | $2.21B | $2.92B | $3.53B | $4.17B |
| Net income | $680.0M | $866.0M | $1.30B | $1.71B | $2.07B |
| EPS (diluted) | $10.39 | $13.40 | $22.03 | $25.62 | $32.08 |
| Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.19B | $2.01B | $2.15B | $2.24B | $2.44B | $2.29B | $2.54B | $2.74B |
| Net income | $468.0M | $493.0M | $479.0M | $492.0M | $610.0M | $445.0M | $535.0M | $539.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $5.79 | $7.62 | $8.24 | $8.47 | $7.75 | $6.62 | $9.20 | $9.39 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $913.0M | $948.0M | $1.38B | $2.04B | $2.04B |
| Capital expenditure | -$105.0M | -$119.0M | -$139.0M | -$165.0M | -$222.0M |
| Free cash flow | $808.0M | $829.0M | $1.24B | $1.88B | $1.82B |
| Dividends paid | -$73.0M | -$1.09B | -$38.0M | -$2.04B | -$9.63B |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | -$912.0M | $215.0M | $245.0M | -$334.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $2.77B
- Total assets
- $24.04B
- Total liabilities
- $36.19B
- Total debt
- $33.35B
- Net debt
- $30.57B
- Shareholders’ equity
- -$12.16B
As of Jun 27, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2025 | $90.00 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Oct 4, 2024 | $75.00 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Nov 17, 2023 | $35.00 | Nov 27, 2023 |
| Aug 18, 2022 | $18.50 | Aug 26, 2022 |
| Dec 27, 2019 | $32.50 | Jan 7, 2020 |
| Aug 15, 2019 | $30.00 | Aug 23, 2019 |
| Aug 31, 2017 | $22.00 | Sep 12, 2017 |
| Oct 20, 2016 | $24.00 | Nov 1, 2016 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,067,135
- Days to cover
- 3.17
- Change vs previous report
- +18.7%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.