Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retail
Tilly's, Inc. TLYS
$4.61 +0.66% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $137.9M
Strong trend
Next earnings report: Dec 2, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Over the past year the stock returned +130.5%, ahead of the S&P 500 by 114.7 percentage points.
- At 76.2× trailing earnings, the shares trade at the highest P/E of the company's past five years.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 5 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +83.7%).
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 41%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 13%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 11%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 10%
- Gross marginBottom 43%
- Operating marginBottom 10%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 12%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 37%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 31%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 35%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 7%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 9%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 2%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 1%
- 6-month returnTop 40%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 3%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 47%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 8%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 13%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 23%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 33%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 32%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 13%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 3%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 5%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 1.7% | 6.1% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 26.5% | 32.3% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | -8.8% | -4.3% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -4.8% | 1.9% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 6.1% | 1.7% | ↑ | Top 41% |
| Gross margin | 32.3% | 26.5% | ↑ | Bottom 43% |
| Operating margin | -4.3% | -8.8% | ↑ | Bottom 10% |
| Net margin | 0.3% | -8.3% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 1.9% | -4.8% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -8.6% | — | Bottom 10% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -6.3% | — | Bottom 13% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.3%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.3%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +14.8 pp
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -0.08%
- Shareholder yield
- -0.08%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +3.0%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +1.5%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Aug 1, 2026 (filed Sep 3, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 5
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +83.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +2.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 6 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $5.50
- Target vs current price
- +19.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 17
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 41%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | +63.6% | -3.8% | +2.5% | +16.9% | — |
| Jun 3, 2026 | +21.2% | -0.7% | +18.8% | -2.5% | -14.1% |
| Mar 11, 2026 | +166.7% | +3.2% | +82.9% | +197.5% | +233.5% |
| Dec 3, 2025 | +83.3% | +22.4% | +33.3% | +35.4% | -6.1% |
| Sep 3, 2025 | +350.0% | +13.4% | +12.8% | +15.1% | -33.5% |
| Jun 4, 2025 | -12.1% | -3.0% | -4.5% | +19.4% | +44.0% |
| Mar 12, 2025 | -60.7% | -7.8% | -32.4% | -47.5% | -59.2% |
| Dec 5, 2024 | -16.2% | -2.9% | -21.7% | +0.9% | -8.2% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | $0.27 | $0.17 | +63.6% | $163.5M |
| Jun 3, 2026 | -$0.26 | -$0.33 | +21.2% | $124.7M |
| Mar 11, 2026 | $0.10 | -$0.15 | +166.7% | $155.1M |
| Dec 3, 2025 | -$0.05 | -$0.30 | +83.3% | $139.6M |
| Sep 3, 2025 | $0.10 | -$0.04 | +350.0% | $151.3M |
| Jun 4, 2025 | -$0.74 | -$0.66 | -12.1% | $107.6M |
| Mar 12, 2025 | -$0.45 | -$0.28 | -60.7% | $147.3M |
| Dec 5, 2024 | -$0.43 | -$0.37 | -16.2% | $143.4M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 76.2× | 9.4× | 100th | Bottom 31% |
| P/E (forward) | 23.6× | — | — | — |
| EV / Sales | 0.44× | — | — | Top 9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.17% | — | — | Top 35% |
| Earnings yield | 1.31% | — | — | Bottom 31% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 4.3× – 72.7× since Jul 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 10
- Days above the 200-day average
- 144
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +3.5%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +8.8%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +11.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +32.1%
- RSI (14)
- 56.4
- Relative volume
- 0.38×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 67.8%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 60th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.36
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.05
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -15.4%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -92.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021 | May 14, 2025 | -96.1% | 871 days | Not yet recovered |
| Aug 24, 2021 | Oct 13, 2021 | -19.8% | 35 days | 24 days (Nov 16, 2021) |
| Mar 12, 2021 | Mar 24, 2021 | -17.8% | 8 days | 44 days (May 26, 2021) |
| Jun 23, 2021 | Jul 19, 2021 | -15.4% | 17 days | 26 days (Aug 24, 2021) |
| Dec 3, 2020 | Dec 22, 2020 | -14.3% | 13 days | 12 days (Jan 11, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $137.9M
- P/E (TTM)
- 76.2
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.06
- Revenue (TTM)
- $582.9M
- 52-week range
- $1.14 – $6.25
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $775.7M | $672.3M | $623.1M | $569.5M | $553.6M |
| Gross profit | $276.7M | $202.8M | $165.7M | $149.7M | $164.5M |
| Operating income | $87.6M | $11.5M | -$27.6M | -$49.8M | -$19.3M |
| Net income | $64.2M | $9.7M | -$34.5M | -$46.2M | -$17.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.06 | $0.32 | -$1.16 | -$1.54 | -$0.58 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $143.4M | $147.3M | $107.6M | $151.3M | $139.6M | $155.1M | $124.7M | $163.5M |
| Net income | -$12.9M | -$13.7M | -$22.2M | $3.2M | -$1.4M | $2.9M | -$8.0M | $8.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.43 | -$0.45 | -$0.74 | $0.10 | -$0.05 | $0.10 | -$0.26 | $0.27 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $63.4M | -$1.4M | -$6.7M | -$42.0M | $4.1M |
| Capital expenditure | -$13.4M | -$15.1M | -$14.0M | -$8.2M | -$4.7M |
| Free cash flow | $50.0M | -$16.5M | -$20.7M | -$50.2M | -$589,000 |
| Dividends paid | -$61.6M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $9.6M | -$10.9M | $400,000 | $294,000 | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $62.2M
- Total assets
- $347.1M
- Total liabilities
- $260.2M
- Total debt
- $169.4M
- Net debt
- $117.1M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $86.9M
As of Aug 1, 2026 (filed Sep 3, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | $1.00 | Dec 15, 2021 |
| Jun 24, 2021 | $1.00 | Jul 9, 2021 |
| Feb 11, 2020 | $1.00 | Feb 26, 2020 |
| Feb 14, 2019 | $1.00 | Feb 27, 2019 |
| Feb 8, 2018 | $1.00 | Feb 20, 2018 |
| Feb 13, 2017 | $0.70 | Feb 24, 2017 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 740,326
- Days to cover
- 1.00
- Change vs previous report
- +23.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.